FiveThirtyEight Politics

Election Day was a moment of truth for pollsters. After high-profile misses in 2016 and 2020, and wi

We are beginning to get a clearer view of what a second Trump administration might look like. Presid

Latino voters made a big jump to the right this election cycle. While the numbers aren’t final, AP V

Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all m

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the resul

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide fo

Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538

It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too.In this Halloween installment of the 538 Poli

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as

Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fi

We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information

For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of

With Election Day just two weeks away, Republicans and Democrats are zeroing in on undecided voters.

We talk plenty about the presidential race on the 538 Politics podcast, but of course, that is not t

With three weeks until Election Day, the 538 crew analyzes the state of what remains an extremely cl

For those in swing states, political ads are an inescapable part of life. But if you haven’t experie

There is officially less than a month until Election Day. In this installment of the 538 Politics po

The crew reacts to the first and only vice-presidential debate between Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and O

There's a lot going on in the world as we head into the final stretch of the 2024 election: a devast

We are in the frantic final weeks of the presidential campaign, which means Americans are obsessing