cover of episode Dollar Stores Show Lower-Income Americans Are Tightening Their Belts

Dollar Stores Show Lower-Income Americans Are Tightening Their Belts

2024/12/13
logo of podcast WSJ What’s News

WSJ What’s News

People
A
Alex Ossola
A
Andrew Tangel
J
Jinjoo Lee
J
Joseph Pisani
Topics
Alex Ossola: 本期节目讨论了美国低收入家庭的经济状况以及政府为限制中国获得先进人工智能芯片而制定的新规。美元店的数据显示,低收入消费者正在减少支出,推迟购买,这反映了他们面临的财务压力。同时,波音公司生产的新的总统专机项目也面临严重延误。 Andrew Tangel: 波音公司生产的用于总统的飞机项目,由于生产问题、管理失误、供应商问题、质量问题和劳动力短缺等问题,导致项目严重延误,这使得新飞机可能无法在下一任总统上任时交付。 Jinjoo Lee: 美元店的数据显示,低收入消费者正在推迟购买,并在月底减少支出。这表明,即使疫情后低收入家庭的情况有所改善,但工资增长放缓、政府援助减少以及持续的通货膨胀正在影响他们的财务状况。通货膨胀对低收入家庭的影响更大,因为他们将更大比例的收入用于必需品。 Joseph Pisani: 一个新兴的行业——专业“挠背师”正在兴起,他们通过轻柔地摩擦顾客的背部、手臂和头皮来帮助顾客放松身心,收费通常在每小时100美元以上。社交媒体在这一行业的兴起中发挥了重要作用。 Alex Ossola: 美国政府正在准备新的规则,以限制向某些国家出售先进的人工智能芯片,目的是为了限制中国获得这些芯片。这些规则可能会与其他国家发生冲突,因为这些国家不希望美国干预他们的采购行为。与此同时,亚马逊的工会成员投票授权罢工,麦肯锡公司也因其在阿片类药物危机中的作用而道歉并支付巨额和解金。众议院议长佩洛西在海外旅行中受伤住院。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are lower-income Americans showing signs of financial strain?

Wage growth for the lowest-income Americans has slowed significantly since 2022, lagging behind that of the richest households. Additionally, post-pandemic boosts to government assistance, like food stamps, are no longer in place, and the cumulative impact of inflation over the past few years has hit harder for lower-income families who spend a higher proportion of their income on necessities like rent, utilities, and groceries.

How are dollar stores reflecting the financial strain of lower-income consumers?

Dollar stores report that consumers are delaying purchases until the last minute and spending less toward the end of the month when their budgets are depleted. For example, they are not shopping in advance for occasions like Halloween and are opting for cheaper alternatives in other retail sectors, such as cheaper tires or eating at home more often.

What are the key factors contributing to the financial challenges faced by lower-income households?

The key factors include slower wage growth for the lowest-income Americans, the end of post-pandemic government assistance programs, and the compounding effect of inflation, particularly on necessities like food, housing, and medical care, which consume a larger portion of their income compared to higher-income households.

Why is inflation more burdensome for lower-income families?

Lower-income families spend a higher proportion of their income on essential items like rent, utilities, and groceries, where inflation has been more severe and persistent compared to discretionary purchases. The Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that 71% of spending for the poorest Americans goes toward food, housing, and medical care, compared to 65% for the richest households.

What are the potential solutions to alleviate the financial strain on lower-income households?

Solutions would require either a significant slowdown in inflation or a catch-up in wage growth. However, inflation picked up slightly in November, and food stamp benefits barely increased for fiscal year 2025, indicating continued challenges for lower-income families.

Why are the new Air Force One planes delayed, and what are the implications for Boeing?

The delays are due to a series of production problems, supplier issues, quality concerns, and labor shortages, particularly for workers with special security clearances. The project has been a financial strain on Boeing, costing billions in losses, and the planes are now expected to be delivered later than the original 2024 target, meaning President-elect Trump won't fly on them during his second term.

What is the U.S. doing to restrict China's access to advanced AI chips?

The U.S. is preparing new rules to limit China's access to advanced AI chips, aiming to close backdoor access through purchases in other nations. These restrictions are part of a broader strategy to block China's access to advanced chips, chip-making equipment, and other technology, with potential implications for international trade relations.

Chapters
The U.S. is planning restrictions on the sale of advanced AI chips to limit China's access, potentially causing conflict with other nations involved in chip purchases. This is the latest in a series of moves to curb China's access to advanced technology.
  • New U.S. rules will restrict the sale of advanced AI chips to limit China's access.
  • The restrictions aim to close backdoor access to chips via other nations.
  • The rules may cause conflict with nations who don't want U.S. intervention in their purchases.
  • China has denounced the curbs and retaliated with its own export restrictions.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Imagine this, a workforce so adaptable it can pivot whenever your business pivots and a supply chain that can handle the pressure. That's the revolutionary power of SAP Business AI. And that's just the beginning. Revolutionary technology, real world results.

The U.S. is preparing new rules to limit China's access to advanced AI chips. And dollar stores offer a window into how low-income households are faring. And right now, those consumers are showing signs of financial strain. Dollar stores have been saying that consumers are holding off on purchases until the last minute. And they're spending less toward the end of the month when they've used up their budget.

Plus, why Donald Trump may never get to fly in the new Air Force One that he negotiated for. It's Friday, December 13th. I'm Alex Osola for The Wall Street Journal. This is the PM edition of What's News, the top headlines and business stories that move the world today.

The U.S. is preparing rules that would restrict the sale of advanced artificial intelligence chips in certain parts of the world. People familiar with the matter say the restrictions are an attempt to limit China's ability to access those chips and to close its backdoor access when China purchases chips in other nations that it can't obtain directly from the U.S.,

But the new rules could cause conflict with those other nations who don't want Washington micromanaging their purchases. It's the latest in a series of moves from the Biden administration as it attempts to block Chinese access to the most advanced chips, as well as chip-making equipment and other technology. The latest round of curbs could come this month, weeks before President-elect Donald Trump takes office. China has denounced the U.S. curbs on chip purchasing and retaliated by limiting the export of some minerals used in chip production.

In business news, Amazon union members at two New York City warehouses have voted unanimously to authorize strikes. Teamsters, one of the largest unions in the U.S., has given Amazon a December 15th deadline to negotiate a contract addressing wages and working conditions, the union said. Amazon wasn't immediately available for comment.

And consulting giant McKinsey has apologized for its role in helping Purdue Pharma turbocharge its sales of OxyContin opioid painkiller.

McKinsey also agreed to pay a $650 million settlement and enter into a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Justice Department. That agreement will resolve criminal and civil claims stemming from its opioid-related work. McKinsey has already paid nearly $1 billion to settle hundreds of civil lawsuits related to the opioid crisis.

During Donald Trump's first presidential term, he awarded a nearly $4 billion contract to Boeing to deliver two new presidential planes. Their first flights are currently slated for 2026. Now, we're exclusively reporting that an array of issues have caused further delays, which means the president-elect likely won't get to fly on a new Air Force One during his second term either. Here to tell us more is Wall Street Journal aviation reporter Andrew Tangle. Andrew, tell me more about this delay from Boeing. What

What's been going on? It's been a string of production problems and management slip-ups with these two very important aircrafts.

They've had a host of supplier problems. They've had quality issues. They've had labor problems trying to get enough workers who have these special security credentials called the Yankee White clearance on top of their security clearance because this program is so highly classified because it's supposed to be a flying White House for the president. And it's just a huge, complicated project.

project that has just not happened as quickly as Boeing and the Air Force originally envisioned. And it just dragged on and on and on. Problems have mounted. Boeing has eaten billions of dollars in losses for shareholders, and the planes just aren't finished. Okay, so given all these issues, what's the new timeline for when Boeing might deliver these new planes?

When Boeing did this deal after Trump personally negotiated it during his first term, the plan was to deliver the planes by the end of 2024, so this year. And they're nowhere near meeting that milestone. And the Air Force next year is supposed to work with Boeing on a new master schedule that will take into account the delays from all of these mounting problems and presumably have a realistic

estimate for when these planes are going to be complete. But the long and short of it is, is that these new planes that Trump has been so fixated on will not be ready for him to fly on as president in his second term. Boeing and Air Force representatives declined to discuss the project's timeline when you reached out, and a spokeswoman for Trump's transition team didn't respond to a request for comment. What do these planes mean for Boeing's business and its reputation?

For Boeing, it's a relatively small project in their portfolio, but its importance to the country is outsized and its effect on Boeing's finances over the last few years has also been outsized. It's just been a big money pit.

And Boeing doesn't have any money at the moment to keep pouring in there. So it just adds to the strain the worse the problems get. It also complicates the ability of the commander in chief of the United States to be able to get around. That was Wall Street Journal aviation reporter Andrew Tangle. Coming up, what can consumer behavior at dollar stores tell us about the state of low income households in the U.S.? That's after the break.

If your business needs a new application, then developers will have to write code. A lot of code. If an application needs to be modernized,

then you'll need time, resources, and caffeine. If this sounds daunting, then use Watson X Code Assistant. Built with IBM's Granite code model, it's AI designed to multiply developer productivity so you can generate code quickly. Learn more at ibm.com slash code assistant. IBM, let's create.

By many metrics, the U.S. economy seems to be doing OK. Inflation has eased, wage growth has been decent, and many Americans have more in savings than they did pre-pandemic. But lower-income consumers aren't feeling any of that. Dollar stores, a bellwether for that group's spending, started seeing signs of consumers' belt tightening in recent months. Jinju Lee is a columnist for Heard on the Street.

So, Jinju, what are the signs of consumers' financial strain at dollar stores and other retailers? So dollar stores have been saying that consumers are holding off on purchases until the last minute. For instance, they're not shopping in advance for occasions like Halloween. They're buying it closer to when they need it. And they're spending less toward the end of the month when they've used up their budget.

And it's not just dollar stores. McDonald's, they said poor consumers are eating at home more and their $5 meal has been very popular. Monroe, which is an auto repair service chain, said people are trading down to cheaper tires.

This is interesting, especially because lower income households have actually fared pretty well in the years following the pandemic. Lower wage workers saw bigger pay increases and stimulus checks and food stamps help them accumulate savings. So what's changed here? So wage growth for the lowest income Americans has actually slowed down a lot since 2022. And now it lags behind that of the richest households.

And some of the post-pandemic boosts to government assistance, like the food stamp program, are no longer there. And the cumulative impact of inflation over the last few years are catching up to them. Inflation, though, is affecting everyone, right? So what makes it hit harder for lower-income families? Lower-income families spend a higher proportion of their paychecks on bare necessities, which

like rent, utilities, groceries, and inflation in those categories have been more severe and more persistent than discretionary purchases like clothes and furniture. So the Bureau of Labor Statistics, for example, assumes that about 71% of spending

goes towards food, housing and medical care for the poorest Americans. For the richest households, that number is closer to 65 percent. It sounds like these years of inflation have had this compounding effect for these lower income folks. What might help them start feeling better? Hard to tell. We need to see inflation slow down more and or see wages catch up.

And inflation actually picked up slightly in November. So that's not a great sign. In addition to that, food stamp benefits barely increased for fiscal year 2025. So that's another headwind. That was WSJ Heard on the Street columnist Jinju Lee. Thanks so much, Jinju. Thank you.

In U.S. markets, concerns about softer spending by lower-income customers dragged down consumer goods stocks like Nike and Coca-Cola, and they, in turn, dragged the Dow about 0.2% lower. The S&P 500 was flat, and Nasdaq inched ahead 0.1%.

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was hospitalized after falling on an overseas trip. Her spokesman said that Pelosi, who's 83, was traveling with a bipartisan congressional delegation in Luxembourg to mark the 80th anniversary of a World War II battle. He added that Pelosi won't be able to attend the remainder of the events. A person familiar with the incident said she tripped and fell after a group photo with other lawmakers and officials, and a separate person said Pelosi could walk with help and was alert. ♪

If you're looking for a wellness appointment as a way to relax, there's a massage or maybe a facial. Now, though, customers are seeking out professional back scratchers as a way to de-stress. A small but growing field of scratchers are making a living off their nails, hoping there's a healthy market of people who will pay for what a spouse or a wooden spoon will do for free. Joseph Pisani is a reporter for The Wall Street Journal and is scratching the surface of this story. Joseph, what

What exactly are these back scratchers doing? Are they literally scratching an itch? They say they're not scratching itches. They're using their nails and they're gently rubbing it against the skin, going up and down the back, down the arms, up into the scalp. And in one case, she's putting the tip of her nails inside people's ears. They say it's a way for customers to get relaxed and it's different than scratching an itch.

Okay. I'm curious about the economics here. How much does it cost to get your back scratched? And are the scratchers earning enough to actually make a living? Most of them are charging $100 or more an hour.

And they say they are making a living. And part of the growth is from social media. And one person I talked to in Pasadena, California, she quit her job as a pattern maker. She was making six figures. And now she said she's earning more than she made before. And part of it was because of social media. That was our reporter, Joseph Pisani.

And that's What's News for this week. Tomorrow, you can look out for our weekly markets wrap-up, What's News in Markets. Then on Sunday, we'll be looking at how the youth vote shifted in Donald Trump's favor in the presidential election and what Gen Z voters are thinking about the president-elect, politics, and the role of government in their lives. That's in What's News Sunday. And we'll be back with our regular show on Monday morning. Today's show was produced by Anthony Bansi and Pierre Bien-Aimé with supervising producer Michael Cosmitas. Michael LaValle wrote our theme music.

Aisha Al-Muslim is our development producer. Scott Salloway and Chris Sinsley are our deputy editors. And Falana Patterson is the Wall Street Journal's head of news audio. I'm Alex Osola. Thanks for listening. Viking, committed to exploring the world in comfort. Journey through the heart of Europe on an elegant Viking longship with thoughtful service, cultural enrichment, and all-inclusive fares. Discover more at viking.com.