The Dismal Science

Join the AICD’s Chief Economist Mark Thirlwell GAICD for this weekly deep dive into the latest econo

Episodes

Total: 217

117 - Compare the market

2022/6/23

The market has the cash rate in Australia at 3.6% by year's end, up from the current 0.85%. This wou

116 - Tight said Fed

2022/6/16

A bit going on. The Fed is tightening, markets are freaking, crypto is collpasing. Are we headed for

115 - That 70s show

2022/6/10

The world is facing a period of prolonged stagflation akin to the 70s, according to the World Bank.

114 - Review that

2022/6/2

Amid calls for a wide-ranging review of the RBA, we look at what's at stake. Plus, house prices fall

113 - Vibe shift

2022/5/27

Paul Keating said when the government changes, the country changes. But does the economy change? We

Unemployment is now lower than it's ever been but real wages continue to go backwards. What can we d

111 - Rate expectations

2022/5/6

The RBA has lifted the cash rate for the first time in more than a decade. How much more is there to

110 - Gotcha

2022/4/15

We run through the latest labour market data and ask whether it's ok for a Prime Ministerial candida

The Reserve Bank is signalling it will raise rates imminently, while the Fed Reserve is about to emb

108 - L'aussie en rose

2022/4/4

The budget position is better than expected and treasury forecasts are rosy for the Australian econo

An OECD simulation warns of a 1 percentage point hit to global growth from the war in Ukraine, consu

The global economy is being hit hard by supply shocks - first war in Ukraine and now the covid resur

Surging prices, war in Ukraine, the spectre of nuclear conflict – how worried should we be? This epi

104 - NAIRU collar

2022/2/25

Wages growth is off the pandemic floor but remains historically weak. How low can unemployment go in

103 - Interesting times

2022/2/11

We are back! Markets are roiling at the prospect of interest rate hikes over 2022. Will central bank

102 - It's quizmas time

2021/12/24

It's another bumper quizmas episode. We score Mark on last year's quiz, look ahead to 2022 and run t

Directors have identified labour shortages as the biggest economic challenge facing Australian busin

100 - Raising the bat 🏏

2021/12/7

Our founding economist Stephen Walters, now NSW Chief Economist, comes back for our 100th episode to

99 - The wisdom of the DAO

2021/11/26

Grab bag this week for our 99th episode: Four more years for Jerome Powell, President Biden taps the

98 - COP out?

2021/11/20

The COP26 climate talks were largely a failure against their stated goals. So is there any hope for