cover of episode In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These Three Issues

In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These Three Issues

2024/9/30
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FiveThirtyEight Politics

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This chapter discusses the potential impact of Hurricane Helene, the escalating Israel-Hezbollah war, and various political scandals on the 2024 election. It analyzes whether these events will shift voter focus from the main campaign issues and influence voter perceptions of the candidates. The impact of these events on key swing states and the House of Representatives races is also examined.
  • Hurricane Helene's destruction and loss of life could influence voter perceptions of government competence.
  • The escalating Israel-Hezbollah war might become a factor if it expands to involve other major regional actors.
  • Political scandals, particularly in New York, may impact Democratic popularity in key states.
  • A scandal involving Republican Representative Anthony D'Esposito could influence control of the House.

Shownotes Transcript

There's a lot going on in the world as we head into the final stretch of the 2024 election: a devastating hurricane, a growing war in the Middle East, multiple high profile scandals and an upcoming VP debate. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks whether any of these big stories are changing the subject of the campaign.

They also look at what how former President Trump and Vice President Harris are appealing to voters on some of the issues voters say are most important to them: the economy, immigration and abortion. Both Harris and Trump recently gave major economic speeches, Harris talked tough on immigration during a visit to the Southern border and Trump tried to allay concerns about his stance on abortion. But are they changing voters' perceptions?

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