cover of episode Erik Torenberg on How Startups Can Help Save The World

Erik Torenberg on How Startups Can Help Save The World

2022/6/29
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Erik Torenberg: 初创企业是解决世界重大问题的最有效组织。它们在各个领域(如太空探索、电动汽车和国防)都取得了显著成就。初创企业对经济增长的贡献巨大,它们创造就业机会,推动经济发展,且其成功数量没有自然限制,仅受资本、创始人及创意数量的限制。 此外,初创企业还能促进初创企业生态系统的增长。例如,On Deck 帮助创始人、团队和资本高效匹配;A-Team 帮助组建团队;Pave 提高薪酬效率。初创企业和政府应该合作,而不是对抗。政府应创造公平的商业环境,而初创企业则负责创新。由于竞争、问责制和优胜劣汰的机制,初创企业比政府更有创新力。政府机构缺乏竞争,没有问责制,因此创新动力不足。政府资金对初创企业至关重要,但资金使用效率有待提高,政府应减少浪费,提高资金使用效率。政府在支持初创企业方面扮演着多重角色:建立法治、提供资金来源、成为早期客户,并承担风险与初创企业合作。促进初创企业发展的政策议程应包括:减少不必要的监管或增加实验空间,以及增加人口数量(通过提高出生率、降低死亡率或增加移民)。美国应效仿中国,通过增加人口来增强国家实力。经济增长对许多人来说难以理解,人们习惯于零和博弈的思维模式,难以理解经济增长的正和博弈属性。经济增长与环境保护并不矛盾,技术创新是实现可持续发展的关键。机构衰败的原因包括:人才流向初创企业,透明度的提高,以及缺乏竞争和问责制。机构衰败和人们对经济增长的误解导致了虚无主义的兴起,这阻碍了创新和进步。一些人对人类和科技的负面看法是错误的,人类是天生具有技术性的物种,科技进步是解决问题的关键,而不是逃避问题。改变现状需要改进叙事,让更多人了解科技的积极意义,并积极参与到政治和社会活动中。如果成为美国总统,将优先解决移民问题,因为移民对美国创新和经济增长至关重要。美国存在严重的教育危机,体现在考试成绩、收入潜力、就业率和学生满意度等方面。解决教育危机需要政府和初创企业合作,创造公平的竞争环境,并提供资金支持。为了改善美国未来,人们应该重新树立乐观主义,明确美国价值观,积极参与到社会和政治活动中,并支持那些能够推动创新和进步的初创企业。科技的价值观(例如互助合作、股权激励和远程办公)正在向全球传播,这为未来发展带来了乐观前景。 Lucas Bagno: Ian Cinnamon:

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are startups considered the most effective organizations for solving big problems?

Startups are highly effective at creating new technologies to address major challenges due to their competitive nature, market accountability, and ability to innovate rapidly. Examples include SpaceX for space exploration, Tesla for electric vehicles, and Anduril for defense. Startups operate in an evolutionary environment where the best ideas succeed, driving significant advancements in areas like healthcare, education, and housing.

What role does government play in supporting startups?

Governments provide a business-friendly environment through property rights, rule of law, and low corruption. They also act as initial customers and funders for startups, enabling them to take risks and achieve commercial viability. For example, the U.S. government was SpaceX's first customer, allowing it to develop its rocket technology. Governments can further support startups by reducing regulation and fostering areas of experimentation.

Why is increasing population a key focus for a pro-startup agenda?

A larger population leads to more people starting businesses, joining companies, and driving innovation. It also strengthens the economy by increasing the number of customers and talent. For example, China's power stems from its massive population, despite having a GDP per capita similar to Mexico. Increasing population can be achieved through higher birth rates, reduced mortality, and immigration, which also helps balance demographics and sustain economic growth.

How has the narrative around economic growth shifted in recent years?

Economic growth has become unpopular due to a lack of understanding of its positive-sum nature. Many people still view the world through a zero-sum lens, where more resources for some mean fewer for others. However, technological advancements and productivity growth have decoupled economic growth from resource usage, enabling higher incomes and reduced poverty. Misconceptions about growth being harmful to the planet persist, despite evidence that innovation can lead to sustainable development.

What is the relationship between startups and government innovation?

Startups and governments can work together, with governments providing a supportive environment and startups driving innovation. Historically, governments led major projects like the Hoover Dam and the moon landing, but today, startups outperform due to competition and market accountability. Governments can still play a critical role by funding startups, being early customers, and reducing regulatory barriers to foster innovation.

Why is storytelling important for startups and Silicon Valley?

Storytelling is crucial for capturing hearts and minds and shaping public perception. Silicon Valley has often been portrayed negatively in the media, leading to a tech lash. By investing in storytelling, startups can counter these narratives, highlight their positive impact, and inspire others. This shift is evident in movements like transhumanism and progress studies, which aim to popularize technological and economic growth.

What are the key values Silicon Valley is exporting globally?

Silicon Valley is exporting values like shared upside culture, equity alignment, and decoupling work from location. These values emphasize helping others without expecting immediate returns, aligning incentives through equity, and enabling global access to opportunities. For example, Web3 promotes expanded ownership, and remote work allows people worldwide to participate in the startup economy, unlocking underutilized talent.

What is the current state of education in the U.S., and how can startups address it?

The U.S. faces an education crisis, with stagnant test scores, rising tuition costs, and a trillion-dollar student debt burden. Startups are addressing this by creating alternatives at every level, from childcare (Tiny Care) to homeschooling (Primer) and apprenticeships (Multiverse). These innovations aim to improve access, affordability, and quality of education, encouraging public institutions to evolve and compete.

How can immigration policies support startup growth?

Immigration policies that attract skilled workers can significantly boost startup growth by increasing the talent pool. Immigrants have founded many successful startups and contributed to innovation, with one-third of U.S. Nobel Prize winners being immigrants. Policies that streamline immigration and focus on attracting younger, skilled individuals can help address demographic imbalances and drive economic growth.

What keeps Erik Torenberg optimistic about the future of startups and innovation?

Erik Torenberg remains optimistic because Silicon Valley's values, such as shared upside culture and equity alignment, are spreading globally. The decoupling of work from location through remote work has unlocked underutilized talent worldwide. Additionally, the potential to organize the world's ambition and leverage idle human assets on a global scale excites him, as it promises to drive innovation and economic growth.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
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Hey, everyone. This is Lucas Banho, an investor at Village Global, and I'm here with my co-host, Ian Cinnamon. Welcome to SolarPunk. In this podcast, we cover topics related to space and defense and discuss how technology can contribute to a better and safer world.

Hey everyone, welcome to another episode of Village Global Solarpunk. As all of our regular listeners know, here at Solarpunk we spend a lot of time talking about the aerospace and defense industries. And today we're really excited to welcome a co-worker of ours here at Village, Eric Thorenberg.

Eric has spent a ton of time thinking about how startups can help save the world and how to grow the startup economy. And we're really excited to have a conversation with Eric today as to how startups relate to those industries and how they can help us build a better and safer world.

Eric is a co-founder and general partner here at Village Global and also a co-founder and co-CEO at OnDeck. Before that, Eric was on the founding team of Product Hunt. And through Village and OnDeck, he's focused on growing the startup economy. Now, onto the show. It's great to be here.

Awesome. Well, you're a very familiar face to us, so we're really excited to have the opportunity to have this conversation. And part of the reason why we want to do this is because we spend a lot of time, Ian and I, talking about space and defense and why these things matter. And you have talked a ton about why startups can save the world.

So I think there is a very important link between those two. So I was hoping maybe we could start off by commenting on your investment thesis. How do you look about the startup economy, the role that startups play in the world in growing the startup economy? Yeah, that's a great question, Lucas. As we all know, and as the listeners know, Village invests across sectors, across every sector, and is network-driven. But

to the extent that there are things that I'm excited about or ways of explaining some of our investments, startups saving the world is one way of looking at it. Over the past few decades, we've realized that startups are the most effective orgs at creating new technologies for some of our biggest problems, whether it's space and SpaceX, whether it's electric vehicles and Tesla, whether it's Andrel doing for defense, as you've covered. And

We at Village are investing in startups that do that, right? Whether it's applied intuition for autonomous vehicles, whether it's living carbon for climate, whether it's loyal and spring discovery for longevity, whether it's first resonance in Hadrian for manufacturing, and some of the startups that you've featured on the show that we've backed. Startups that are trying to bend the cost curves in healthcare, education, and housing, something we'll talk about later. So startups saving the world, I think it was one thesis.

And another thesis related to that is startups are saying the world will then startups that help create more startups, i.e. startups that help grow the startup economy also have a big impact, right? Startups create jobs disproportionately, startups disproportionately contribute to economic growth, which we'll also talk about.

And there's no natural rate limiter on the amount of successful startups. The amount of startups is just limited by the amount of capital, founders, and good ideas. So if you want more startups, you can either increase the inputs or

or you can accelerate the matching, the effectiveness by which founders capital and ideas find each other. And we have a few companies that do that. That's what On Deck does, which I helped start. On Deck, we say we're trying to organize the world's ambition, i.e. accelerate the rate at which ideas, talent, and capital can find each other, remove bottlenecks for people to start companies. What are those bottlenecks?

It's finding a co-founder, getting the right idea, raising money, but also things like people have healthcare challenges or they have immigration challenges. And so OnDeck does that by programs that help people start companies, join companies, and get better at their jobs.

But then we have companies like A-Team, right, that helps match talent, create teams for hire, so more startups can get built. But then also startups like Pave that helps make compensation more efficient, which is important to startups and employees. So the broad thesis are startups can save the world and startups help create more startups.

So given all of the variables that go into starting a company, one of them that you briefly touched on is capital. And obviously where we are right now is markets are down. There's a lot of doom and gloom out there. How do you think that affects the number of startups being created? Does that affect the inputs? How should founders think about that?

Yeah, absolutely. So there's the inputs are startups, capital, ideas, customers, and in an environment where there's less capital, that's going to affect the amount of startups. The other thing that's related is the effectiveness by which they match. And so I'm excited to see, you know,

Fundraising marketplaces is still an unsolved problem. How many times do we see on Twitter, who's the best investor for SaaS, for space? Who invests in this, et cetera? You'd think as an industry, we would have solved this problem by now, but we haven't. But if all founders knew

you know, had a better sense for like, how many times are we helping founders with their investor lists and yet how redundant is that process? So I'm excited for us as an industry to figure out how to better match founders and investors. And in terms of how founders should think about it, well, I think, you know, we've seen in the Series A and Series B stage,

a correction in valuation that's really significant. And we haven't yet seen it for seed and pre-seed to the same degree. And I think it just takes a little bit of swallowing the bitter pill of like, "Hey, it's a different market out there." And so have different expectations, otherwise the round might not get done. And that's what we're advising a lot of our companies right now. And that could change.

But there's a question as to, you know, is this the anomaly or was the last two years where, and a lot of our founders are first-time founders, a lot of founders are first-time founders. They've only, you know, started companies in an environment where maybe that was the anomaly. So that's also something to consider. So a fair number of the companies that we profile or talk about on the Solar Punk series end up being fairly high capital intensive companies.

Now, not all of them. We have a lot of great companies that are purely software-based, low CapEx, et cetera. But for the founders thinking of that high CapEx environment, who might be in the early stages, do you think that's going through a correction too? Or how should those founders be thinking about the world they're in? Should they be indexing more on low CapEx intensive ideas? That's a great question. I think you

You want to have founder market fit, right? So you want to, if you're a founder, you want to work on a company or a product that you are more likely to have an advantage in doing so. And so for these deep tech startups, you know, the advantages are deep expertise, you know, like vertical specific expertise and

an ability to raise capital and what is it ability to raise capital? You're, you're well-known by other investors, you're a pedigreed, uh, et cetera. You have some capital of your own. And so, yeah, if you don't have deep experts, deep expertise or, um, you know, an ability to raise capital, uh, go to web three, my friend, I'm just teasing. Um, I don't, I don't want to dissuade anyone from, from, um, from going out to start a company that, that that's what we do, but, um, it might be a bit harder than it was, uh, two years ago. Um,

Now, maybe that means you go work at Hadrian for a year or two years or build up that Air Force Resonance or Andrew or whatever, build up that credibility and respect. Or at the same time, to argue against myself, we now have American dynamism as an industry, right? Catherine started the first practice at A16Z, but there are lots of other...

firms are calling it different things. And so maybe there's more capital in the space than there was two years ago, even though there's less capital overall. I think in terms of the overall impact, I mean, founders should do what they're meant to do. And they should not let the market determine whether they are or not going to be successful if they're just starting a company because that market could change in six to 12 months.

Right. And then Eric, so you mentioned Catherine in American Dynamism and something that she talked about when we had her on the show is how, you know, the world's best talent is no longer working for the government. That is something that happened back in 1950. Why are startups saving the world and not the government? You know, what happened and what's this future that we're headed towards? It's important to realize that startups and government work together, right?

right um and then it's the question is what is the role of government well at the very minimum government creates a level playing field by which businesses can operate in a trusted environment right hernando de soto wrote about you know what makes the us and other developed nations unique

is that they have property rights, rule of law, low corruption. And Lucas, you're from Brazil. Obviously, we know, and my mom's Colombian, we know what it's like to be in regions that don't have the same business-friendly environment. So at the very minimum, government has to provide a business-friendly environment. And we take that for granted here.

We take that for granted in ways that other immigrants don't. But at the same time, it's very true that, you know, I said startups are saving the world. The startups are the ones innovating. Where, you know, from in the mid-20th century, government innovated, right? The Hoover Dam, the Manhattan Project, the moon landing. And so why isn't that the case today?

Well, I would argue that there are structural reasons why startups will just outperform. One is that startups have competition. They have market accountability. They're forged in the evolutionary Petri dish where tons of players are trying to innovate. The best one wins, all the others fail, and then go do something else. Whereas governments are, you know, by nature, like don't have competition and, you know,

areas that don't have competition, they're called monopolies. And monopolies don't innovate because they don't have to. There's no check. There's no accountability. There's no evolutionary process. And so this is why we see a lack of innovation. And when areas that are totally dominated by the government,

uh housing and health care and education prices skyrocket right so so one is the structural incentive of competition the other structural incentive is incentives if you you know if you start a company and you you know if hadrian is the next big thing you know uh the whole team gets rich whereas sometimes public organizations or non-profits sometimes

Certainly, they don't get rich, but sometimes they even have the reverse incentive, which is if they solve their problem that the org has been created to build, their organization is no longer needed.

And so they have this perverse incentive to preserve the problem for which they are paid to be the theoretical solution. So there are structural incentives and those structural incentives have led to this huge talent gap, right? And the best people used to serve in government. And then in the 70s, we had venture capital and private equity emerge, which meant people can get richer sooner in their career. But then more broadly, and this is the last thing I'll say about it, is

you know, as organizations that have no sort of accountability, like public organizations, they become what someone called a vitocracy. There's too much regulation. We're not allowed to develop, let's say, for example, new drugs with the FDA because it costs a billion dollars, the drug. We're not allowed to fly supersonic jets because they're too noisy. We're not allowed to build nuclear power plants. We've outlawed too many things. And

And so people want to grow where they can build freely and make money for doing so. And this is Peter Thiel's argument for why we've had innovation in bits and not atoms. There's been too much regulation. Eric, so at the same time, while I hear you there, you're...

Someone painting a picture of, you know, it's almost startups versus the government who's innovating more. How is that pushing forward? What about all of the billions or tens of billions of dollars or more that flow from the government into startups to whether it be CIPR grants or different vehicles to help these startups get off the floor and be that initial source of capital?

How do you view companies that are trying to utilize that? And what's your take on how that's enabling the future of innovation?

I think that is critical and Elon and many others have benefited tremendously from that and perhaps couldn't exist separate from that. It's worth understanding that all the money that goes into government is taken from companies, or is taken from private individuals. So it's not like the government is creating that money out of thin air, whereas private companies actually are to some extent. And so, yes, if you're saying, hey,

Should we take tax dollars and give it back to these companies? Yes, I think that's great. And the question I'd have is how much waste, like what percent of those tax dollars actually goes to those companies and how can we increase that? And I think that's one problem where it's like,

this is why people don't appreciate some of these bigger companies that contribute so much to the tax base or these people, these billionaires that contribute so much to the tax base is because they don't realize that when money in the form of services or as we saw during COVID, like literal money,

we think that like government owns that money when really they're just redistributing it. And, and, and the question or the challenge is how do we have as minimal waste along the way, right? There's, there's this charity called give directly that they say, Hey, we're going to take your money and we're just going to give it straight to, to, you know, you know,

someone who in need, and we're going to have as minimal waste in that as possible. And I would love the same if we knew that we have no idea where tax dollars go, right? But if we knew that they were going to like SpaceX or Tesla, like directly, or as much as possible, even, or things that are, you know, whether it's housing or healthcare education, that would be amazing. Yeah.

So I think we're all in agreement that we want more efficient use of our tax dollars. And I'm with you. I, of course, would love to pay less taxes and see it be used a lot better. However, I do want to push you on the point

that the government funding is simply kind of redirecting that money. So you mentioned Elon and SpaceX as one example. To my understanding, it wasn't just the initial capital that the government provided that enabled SpaceX. It was the fact that the government was SpaceX's initial customer.

So if you're building a rocket company, no commercial company, no private telecom satellite company is going to say, great, let me strap my $100 million satellite on your rocket that has never flown before and may or may not work. Where the US government and the US Space Force or Air Force at the time...

would go to SpaceX and Elon and say, "Look, we know this is important for innovation. We will pay you so that we could be a customer of yours." So it's not just the redirecting of the tax money. It's almost more of saying the government's willing to be that initial customer in order to get you to commercial viability. You know, 100%. And so to rephrase sort of like, if one asks, what's the role of government in terms of helping these companies?

One, we talked about the rule of law, property rights, that kind of stuff we take for granted. But two, we talked about capital source. And then three, being a customer, being a buyer, and being willing to take risks in working with startups and not just the big incumbents that sort of, you know,

are prone to regulatory capture. And so that is a huge opportunity for government to stay involved. And one thing I like to say also is private companies in some ways should take direction from how government should operate in theory, whereas private companies should be more long-term oriented. This is why we talk about Web3 a lot, but one of the things that

I'm really excited about Web3 is expanded ownership and expanded participation. And this is what public organizations in theory are all about, which is the users are shareholders too.

And so, yes, government plays a critical role. And I think private organizations can learn from how public organizations are structured and vice versa. Public organizations should have competition. Customers should have the ability to choose between different options, which forces people to be at their best.

Totally. And Eric, so you mentioned the government should be willing to take the risk, willing to be the customer, and a few other things. On that topic, what would a pro-startup policy agenda look like? A pro-startup agenda would have a couple items. So one is we need either less regulation or more areas of experimentation in areas that have been way too complicated.

regulated way too much. We talked about housing, we talked about healthcare, we talked about education. These things, prices have skyrocketed, whereas in other industries where it hasn't been regulation, they've decreased significantly. In the next decade, we might see college costs like a million dollars a year. And it's just, we're restricting supply and stuff. I can get into why it's so expensive, but those areas, as well as

Biotechnology, the FDA is way too restrictive. I mean, all these three-letter agencies across sectors, people have talked about what we've had innovation in bits and non-atoms, and that's because atoms are too regulated. And we now finally, we've had so much innovation in bits that now people are coming for the atoms. Like software has eaten so much of the world already, now it's coming for the whole thing. And governments, a startup agenda would be playing nice with that.

would be letting that happen effectively. Another more broad thing I would say in terms of pro-startup agenda is an agenda that focused on increasing our population.

an increased population, and you can increase population in a few ways by either increasing births, increasing birth rate, decreasing deaths, or increasing immigration. But when you have more people, you have more people starting businesses, more people joining businesses, more people being customers, more innovation, and a better economy, and more startups. And so the thing that holds that back,

There's a huge opportunity there. Let me back up for a second. People say, "Oh, why does population matter?" Well, look at China. China has the GDP per capita of Mexico. That's not very big. It just has so many people. And if you look at the power of China, why does the NBA bend the knee to China? Why does Hollywood bend the knee? We could talk about all these organizations that bend the knee to China because they have so much power.

it's because they have so many people, right? And if we could increase our population, the US should be like the, you know, trying to be a draft almost for all the talented people globally. It should have a multi-pronged agenda, whether it's increased immigration, you know, trying to improve the demographics with birth rate. And then also, you know, focusing on longevity. I can get into each one of those, but those are some high level thoughts on what a

pro-startup agenda could look like. No, I love that. And I think your point on China is spot on. And I wanted to bring this back a little bit. You mentioned my background in Brazil, your background in Colombia. You would expect, given all the things that you said,

for people, at least here in the US, to embrace economic growth, to think about economic growth and capitalism as a positive thing. And yet, you know, the narrative has shifted quite a bit, especially in the last 10 years. So why is it, in your perspective, that economic growth has become so unpopular?

economic growth is deeply unintuitive, right? Because we're communists with our families. Like we, you know, everything's equal, we all share. And so we expect that to work at scale, right? It's tough to explain to someone making $8 an hour why the minimum wage

won't help them. And the real answer is they'll probably be unemployed. It's tough to explain compounding returns. We've evolved for a zero-sum world that Malthus predicted would continue, and we still haven't internalized that the economy is positive sum. And what's interesting is that Malthus was actually a correct historian.

In his era, more people did mean fewer resources. More didn't mean higher incomes. What happened with the Industrial Revolution is that we figured out how to get income and population growing in tandem thanks to productivity growth.

And then what happened a few decades ago is that we also figured out how to get economic growth and resource usage decoupled more from less as Andrew McAfee, the title of his book, he calls the process dematerialization. And so people haven't kind of like understood that

economic growth makes them, people will sort of laugh, like trickle down, oh, that's not real. But no, it's actually real. Like our standard of living is, you know, orders of magnitude better than it used to be. We've gotten so many people out of poverty, that's because of economic growth. And then for the people who say, oh, but it's bad for the planet. Not anymore. We figured out how to decouple it. And the only way to a better planet is through tech

technological innovation. And that comes from more people and more economic growth. That's a very solar punk response, Eric, which we love, right? Like thinking about how is this going to work in pushing the earth and our planet forward in a positive way, yet also encouraging that growth. You know, we've heard a lot of talk about the decadence of our institutions. In your mind, what is driving that? And

And is the decadence related to economic growth at all? So it's a few things that we can put together here. One is the talent gap that we talked about. Talent are going to startups. And so that means that kind of the rest of the institutions, academia, media, government, others, which have had decreased approval ratings for quite some time, they're just getting...

they're not getting the best and the brightest in the way that they used to because the incentives aren't there for them to be able to innovate freely or profit or have as big of an impact, frankly. So one is the talent gap. Two is there's just more transparency, right?

And so the question is, is it that they're getting worse or just we didn't know how bad it was, right? Take public schools. Are they better today than they were 50 years ago? Maybe. Or maybe they're just as bad and we just didn't realize it due to lack of transparency and context back then. Then there's just the matter of, as I talked about earlier, industries that don't...

have accountability. They just get more bureaucratic and sporadic as they get older. And part of it is that the internet has changed a lot. And biology puts it, no institution that precedes the internet will survive the internet. And so those are just a handful of reasons why institutions haven't been able to keep up.

Oh, and you also asked about economic growth. Well, yeah, Eric Weinstein has this concept of embedded growth obligations where certain institutions just expected to be able to receive, you know, have certain budgets based on our growth rate. And what happens when that growth rate isn't the same growth rate as it used to be? Well, now things become more zero sum. And what happens when things become zero sum? You start to fight over the scraps.

And so, Eric, I think this is the perfect setup for something else that Ian and I have talked quite a bit in the podcast, which is the rise of nihilism. You know, if I hear the things that you're saying, which is, you know, people do not understand economic growth. And then on the other side, you have the decadence of the institutions. Does that, you know, like, does the sum of those two things just equal nihilism? Like, is that how those factors interact? Is it almost an equation?

Well, it's fascinating because you can think of nihilism in two ways. You can think of nihilism in the world is going to go to shit and I am just going to like play video games and not care or whatever, or just like, you know, do meme songs or whatever it is. And there's definitely some of that. But then there's also nihilism in the sense of like, the world is going to shit and I'm going to like riot in the streets, right? I'm going to like dedicate my life

to changing this, to changing the world. And so, and I'm much more concerned about the second kind, because the

Because the first kind, that's sad, but they're not going to get in your way. The second kind is actively preventing growth, preventing innovation. And we have a lot of these people. And it's a similar ideology to the Unabomber. Humanity is bad. Humans are bad. Humans' impact on the world is bad. And you shouldn't have children because humans are bad for the planet.

Ezra Klein yesterday in his article, and good on him, he was encouraging people to have children, but he said that the question he receives the most in his social milieu, and he's like an elite, is should I have kids given that there's a climate crisis and I don't want them to experience a climate crisis or contribute to the climate crisis? The fact that we have

incredibly intelligent people, that's the most common question he gets asked, asking that is scary. And it's not because, I think nihilism is the wrong word, because it's not because they don't care. It's because they have a

incorrect understanding of the world. I don't know you guys, but when I was growing up, everyone was worried about overpopulation. There was a population bomb, this book that came up and then Bill Gates was working on some stuff. And it was only recently that we realized, oh, the problem is actually underpopulation.

And so people have a flawed narrative around that. They have a flawed narrative around nature, right? They think that we need to go back to this like glorious garden of Eden, right? But we don't live in nature as we understood it centuries ago, right? Nature is, you know, average lifespan of 30 and like your five or six kids die at childbirth or whatever. Like nature is trying to kill you, right? Like

You can't live in New York, like the New York we know and love. Like that's just not natural. And I'm not even talking about the buildings. I'm talking about like they've brutal winters, right? Without technology, living in places like New York would be miserable. So when people talk about nature, they're talking about this like magical,

know fantasy land of nature like nature without lions roaming or or nature that's like somehow has medicine or internet connection or like a warm bed and so what what with the what i call them what they fail to to realize is that you know humans are naturally a technological species like

we build tools to make our lives better. And so, biology has this framework called the techno-progressives and techno-conservatives. It says, techno-progressives look at the world and ask, how can we improve faster? How can we create nuclear power, genetic modification, space travel, internet, all the stuff that you guys talk about on the show. And techno-conservatives, they say, how do we delay it?

How do we almost reverse the technology growth and live how we used to live? And the simple fact that people have to realize is that that may have worked for a world of 10 million people, but it's not going to fit a world of 8 billion people. And we can't tell the rest of the world, like, hey, we have had all these nice things. You can't have these nice things now. And so the only way out is through. And thankfully, we've decoupled resource usage so that we're all aligned here. But

to put a pin on it nylon is is is a wrong word because the people who are the problem are the people who care so much that they're getting in the way of of growth even at their own expense so how do we course correct this right this sounds like a large systemic problem is this done at a low level at a high level like how do we even begin to uh help fix this by

telling the story by arguing, right? And I think one of the pros and cons of the startup world in the past, a startup culture, right? It was really kind of like, you go back to like Paul Graham, YC, like don't, just focus on your customers, just focus on customers, that kind of thing. I think what we realized like,

like too late perhaps is that we also need to, that being a full stack startup is also owning your distribution, is also owning your media, is also in some ways in the future, like owning your governance potentially too. But like we let other people tell the story

for us. And they told an incorrect story that cast us as the victim, as the oppressors and made tech the whipping boy, right? Why are people so negative on tech? Because, you know, partially because they, you know, have had incorrect stories told by the media. And so when you say what needs to change, we need to invest in storytelling, in capturing hearts and minds in the same way that we do on building incredible products.

And we're starting to do that. You see, you know, Balaji is pushing a lot the transhumanist stuff. Like he's really focused on, you know, on that narrative. You see Mike Solana, right? Like focusing on a better SF or like a more inspiring America, more inspiring nationalism. You see Patrick Carlson and Tyler Cowen with progress studies, right? Trying to,

popularize economic growth by educating people on how it's the best thing to reduce poverty. So it's bottoms up in terms of storytelling. And then it's also tops down in terms of some of the policy things we were talking about earlier in terms of, hey, we need more people to solve this, whether it's immigration or focusing on our birth rate, et cetera. So in the vein of fixing things, Eric,

tomorrow, news for you, you wake up, you're president of the United States. What's the first thing that you're going to do to take action on what you just stated? Yeah. Well, let me focus on immigration here for a second because immigrants are one third of America's Nobel prize winners. They're 50% of America's billion dollar startups.

And like high immigration, high skilled immigration is like a trillion dollar check lying on the ground, right? The number of successful companies, which we establish is, is going to help solve some of our crucial problems is just limited by talent and capital, but talent is one of the big limiters. And, and this has been our superpower. Like we have, you know, universities have for decades gotten the best people in the world. Our companies have gotten the best people in the world. Like how many, you know, Indian CEOs are there like a lot, right? Um, and so, um, we need, um,

more people. And we need, so I would highly focus, like change our tune on immigration. This has been a Trump and Biden thing, by the way, they've both been, you know, it's been a, what's it called? Horseshoe theory, like the left and the right at this point, like, you know, they work for the wrong reasons. They worry about, you know, immigration. And it's not just, by the way, that we need more people, it's that we also need more younger people.

Because younger people, not to be ageist, I'm just saying, generalizing, relative to boomers, relative to people retiring, they start more businesses, they buy more stuff, and that subsidizes older people who aren't producing or spending. And one problem we have, and it's a global problem, is that our demographics are out of whack. China's one child policy, they now have a three child policy. They're trying to correct for that. And the number one thing by far that's keeping US average

working age low population is immigration.

especially Hispanic immigration. And you see what happens to countries where the demographics get out of whack, like Russia's demographic is really out of whack. And, you know, Peter Zahan predicted a few years ago that they were going to have to invade Ukraine and invade other sort of nearby area regions because they just need more people, they need more resources. And if you think about how bad the culture war is now, let's just say in America, like imagine how bad it would be with even worse, you know, economic growth or even, you know,

more diminishing diminishing pie than we, without then rather than having a growing pie. So I, I did deeply focus on, on immigration in terms of focusing on the birth rate. I think that's interesting. I mean, I think, I think there's a few things that can be done there. One is, um,

There's fertility startups like we invested in Orchid, a carrot fertility on the benefit side. There's fertility technology, there's childcare startups, we invested in tiny care, we invested in Primer, which is a homeschool company. There's housing companies, we invested in Constra 4, construction startup, Houseable.

on the housing side, because if people are able to afford a house, that means they're more likely to have kids. There's upskilling. There's a whole set of reasons why people are having less and less kids. And I think both startups and policies can help address that. But also a culture that understands, that isn't asking the questions that Ezra Klein's friends are asking. A culture that realizes that the way to have impact in the world, or one of them, is to have...

children that go out and make an impact. And I'm glad, you know, Lucas, Ian and myself have have agreed to have seven kids each. I'm really glad. I signed up for nine. So, you know, there we go. Exactly.

So, Eric, we're talking a lot about policymaking, government, and how all of those things relate to startups. What is your perspective on how politics and ideology in Silicon Valley, you know, and let's say Silicon Valley, the actual physical location, but also broadly, has evolved over time? I think that we now have a renewed appreciation of

for how important politics is. Like people, you know, it's fascinating, right? Like the media narrative on tech. And I was talking about the tech lash. And one way of saying framing the tech lash, by the way, is saying that it was actually just media versus tech, but it was actually never, it was like the Rotten Tomatoes phenomenon, right? Where like Dave Chappelle gets like 99%, you know, approval rating by the fans.

but the critics hate it. Or Fauci, the reverse. Critics love it, but the fans hate it. And similarly, startups have been popular. It was Facebook, it was DoorDash, it was Amazon. They're way more popular than these other institutions, right? But they kind of let themselves... They didn't fight back. And then we realized that by apologizing all the time, we're actually being painted as the enemy and we're not the enemy. We have responsibility, of course, but like...

We are choosing the wrong strategic direction and choosing the wrong moral direction. And so we've built a kind of like immunity or a change in narrative or a vibe shift where tech is now standing up for itself. And in one of these places where you see this is San Francisco, right? So going back to the narrative, the narrative at first on the tech lash was,

They're making all these toys, all these stupid apps. When I was at Product Hunt, it was like, all these silly apps, et cetera, not making a big impact. They think they're doing something, but they're not, et cetera. Then the narrative changed to, oh, they're ruining the world. They're the reason why democracy is over. It changed in a second. Similarly, you see that in San Francisco. If you say, hey,

if tech is so powerful, why can't it swing city council elections that are decided by a few hundred votes to protect their own narrow interests? It's incredible. We can build SpaceX, but we can't win an election that just can't get a few hundred people to go out to vote. And so I think that's changing. You see Gary Tan, you see Solana, you see a lot of people are saying, hey, we need to be more active in areas other than startups. Like

Nadia Asparova has this framework of Davos man, startup man, and crypto man. And Davos man tried to spread liberal democracy around the world. Startup man is trying to present the founder mindset.

And I'm in there. We've talked about why startups are great. But startups are not the only thing. Ideas matter. And startups, we're starting to realize that ideas are really important. And you see people getting more active in media. We're starting to tell our stories, not just Solana. We also have Ben Thompson and Pac. We're doing tech native analysis.

You see it happening in government, right? On both sides, like Peter Thiel is now running these candidates, right? Like on the other side, like Reid Hoffman is getting, is really involved. You know, SBF is really involved. You know, on academia side, like, you know, Patrick Halston just launched a new research institute, right? And we're seeing startups like, you know, Lambda, Multiverse and OnDeck, like try to get involved there. And then these like movements that I talked about earlier, progress studies, transhumanism, tradhumanism. And so, yeah,

What we've learned is that we can't just sit on the sidelines. Like we have to get involved.

I love that. And I guess, so you've done a ton of thinking around education. So this is actually a topic that we have not really covered on Solopunk so far. But given how much you've thought about education, how much do you think that the issues that we've discussed actually relate to education somehow? And is your view that we actually have an educational crisis in America? Yeah.

We have to admit that we have an education crisis in this country. Like on any axis that you look at it, if we go through K-12, test scores, earning potential, employment rates, student satisfaction, teacher salaries have over the last 20 years stayed flat. And college tuition, revenues, and student debt have skyrocketed.

we have a trillion-dollar student debt loan, we're not training people for the jobs that they need, we're not filtering people for companies anymore, and we're

eliminating competition on both the K-12 side and the higher education side. The public school teachers have an NPS of negative 17 percent. Teachers say 10 percent of other teachers are unsatisfactory educators. Fifty-five percent of Americans think that K-12 is heading down the wrong track.

So what do we, what do we do about that? Well, we do what, what, what, you know, it's time to build. And so, you know, we at village, right, we've invested at every level of the stack in terms of, you know, from childcare, tiny care, right. Uh, homeschool, uh, primer, um, high school, Sora schools, you know, college, uh, you know, and apprenticeships, a multiverse on deck. Like we need to, if, if, if, if the government is not going to create, um,

their own competition, we need to do it outside the system and create such a better product that's going to encourage public schools to improve. So yes, there is a crisis, but yes, there also is a flurry of people who are acknowledging that human capital is what's going to make this country work.

And so they're building in that area as well. So as we solve those problems with technology and great companies, like you mentioned, if we fast forward five or 10 years and let's say the government starts to take notice, how do you see that evolving? Is it a collaboration between these companies and the government is more privatization of education? What's your hope of how this evolves over time? My hope is...

is that they work together in the ways that we were describing earlier. That they set a level playing field. I don't want Trump University to exist. I don't want just anyone to go create a university. I want some accreditation, but I don't want it to be a cartel.

I want people, you know, I want if you want to go out and create a K through 12, you know, high school or create a higher education, create a college that tries to compete with Harvard. I want you to be able to do that because that's going to make our product better. I want us to start stop restricting supply while subsidizing demand. Why are we encouraging people to take these loans? You know, the average person has like thirty thousand dollars in debt and

half the country doesn't even have $2,000 of disposable income. You can't even charge that debt in bankruptcy. ISAs could be one model that are more aligning between students and colleges. ISAs have their own challenges. Across the board, we have to stop restricting supply and subsidizing demand. Then we have to do what we were talking earlier, which is create a level playing field, build

be a funder, right? Like, you know, Race to the Top was one sort of initiative in K-12, but there could be others that give capital to the best ones or that act like VCs almost. And then also, you know, be a buyer when helpful and when it makes a difference. Love it. And Eric,

So putting together all of those threads, you know, if you're a listener, if you're someone that cares about the future of America and America values, what do you recommend them to do? You know, what's the what's the call to action coming out of this conversation?

There's a few ways I'd look at that question. One is that, you know, one critique of our culture is that we've become too pessimistic, right? You know, Peter Thiel has a couple of examples, right? Of like, you know, Nixon declared war on cancer in 1970 and said we would defeat cancer in 1976. And so today, you know, we wouldn't even declare war on Alzheimer's, like even though, you know, one third of 85 year olds suffer from it.

In infrastructure, Golden Gate Bridge was built in 1930s. Today, it takes seven years to build an access road that costs more than the original bridge. Across the board, we're expecting less than our governments than ever before. You see this really played out by sci-fi.

All the sci-fi is dystopian. We have Black Mirror, where's the White Mirror? We're talking about telling our stories earlier, so reinvesting in optimism as a fundamental narrative. Then also you say about one thing that's really interesting, you talk about it on your podcast, is you take it as an assumption and a given that American values mean something that everyone agrees on. Say, "Okay, how can companies do more to spread American values?"

Whereas if you say, "Hey, what can someone who wants to spread American values, what can they do?" Well, first they should codify what those values are because I don't think that they're given. I think that we're still fighting for them in this country. Is free speech an American value? That seems really up for debate in the last month or two with Elon and Twitter. Are free markets American value? Well, that seems really up for debate. When you say American values,

be specific as to what exactly you're spreading and then realize that there are battles in this country for what those mean and learn the different sides, get involved, like pay attention to ideas. That's one big takeaway is that startups, it's time to build, but it's also time to learn. It's also like time to understand

that Nadia has this great blog post called Idea Machines that everyone should read. The reason why you're working on a startup in the first place is because you heard Paul Graham or you heard Patrick Halston or you heard whatever. And we need more of those people who inspire people to do new things. Like who's the Paul Graham of climate? Who's the Paul Graham of nuclear power? Who's the Paul Graham of XYZ? We need kind of these leaders

to um to inspire more people just this is how we started the podcast right like you can either solve cancer or help other people solve cancer you can either save save the world or you know improve the infrastructure by which other people can can go do that and ideas are part of the infrastructure to go do that totally and on your point about optimism versus pessimism on top of

of all of the challenges, what is it that keeps you optimistic that we're going to be able to overcome them? I think one thing that keeps me so optimistic is that the values of technology, you know, we say Silicon Valley as a space, but right now it's a mindset because it's expanded far out beyond Silicon Valley. They're starting to get exported to the world.

to the rest of the country and also globally. And what are those values? Well, there's a few of them. One is that people help each other out without asking for anything in return. It's a shared upside culture, right? Like, you know, skin in the game, people invest in each other. People don't want to miss the next big thing. That's really big. We were talking earlier about how to make economic growth more popular. One way is by, you know, the progress studies work, education. Another way is let's just give people more

equity, right? And that's why Web3, right? It gives people more upside. Like, that's why people love, like all these socialists love Web3, right? It's like, because they get rich, right? Like, so it's really funny. Like, what if, you know, the US has been, you know, gave experiments to UBI? What if instead of it was UBI, what if it was instead like

you know, stocks in the S&P 500. And that way you'd be like rooting for Amazon, rooting for Facebook, rooting for these companies because you'd be aligned with them. So more equity alignment, I feel like it's a Silicon Valley value that is now being exported into the world. And that's a positive sum view. Whereas like in Hollywood, you don't have that, right?

Hollywood, there's a certain number of movies that get made each year, certain number of roles for people to fill them. So there's opportunity cost, but there's no opportunity cost in startup. Sorry, there's no natural rate limiter in startups. It's just the amount of capital, the amount of talent, the amount of ideas and

And more and more people getting exported to that means there's going to be much more of that. And so that is one thing that has me optimistic. And the fact that what COVID enabled the past two years is more remote. So we finally decoupled where you work from where you live, which means people all over the world are getting access to that. Let me close on this one idea, which is we were talking about organizing the world's ambition. I'm excited about this idea that--

Uber and Airbnb are marketplaces that figured out how to utilize an idle asset. Airbnb turns spare bedroom into cash. Uber turns your car into cash. But the most valuable asset in the world that's underutilized, that's idle asset, isn't cars or bedrooms. It's people. There are billions of people whose talents are underutilized. These are people with the same IQ, same potential, getting paid 100x more because of where they live.

And so seeing that opportunity being spread globally is what gets me really excited. Wow, Eric, that is what a amazing outlook on the world. And I think something that inspires definitely myself and I'm sure Lucas and honestly, the entire Village team. So thank you for sharing that outlook. I absolutely love it. Thank you so much, Eric. Thank you. It's been a great episode. Thank you.

If you're an early stage entrepreneur, we'd love to hear from you. Check us out at villageglobal.vc.