It's a competitive district that used to be solidly Republican but has shifted towards Democrats in the Trump era, making it crucial for determining House control.
Some districts that turned blue as a reaction to Trump shifted back to red, indicating a subtler realignment that didn't result in a predicted 'red wave'.
He's not a good public speaker and struggles with off-the-cuff questions, which could lead to gaffes that harm his election chances.
He's cautious and rarely takes off-the-cuff questions to avoid gaffes that could jeopardize his election.
Her opponent uses her past positions, like supporting defunding the police, against her to portray her as a radical liberal activist.
It's a test of whether demographic shifts towards Democrats in Texas are enough to flip the state, potentially altering the Senate balance.
Rick Scott's opponent, Debbie Mucarcel-Powell, is less polished and not raising as much money, making a Democratic win in Florida less likely compared to Texas.
He's running against a well-funded, attack-oriented candidate in a state that President Obama won but Trump did not, making his reelection uncertain.
Republicans are projected to take the Senate in November, but Democrats have a fighting chance to win the House — if they can turn out a broad anti-Trump coalition.
This episode was produced by Miles Bryan and Peter Balonon-Rosen, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Matt Collette and Amanda Lewellyn, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Andrea Kristinsdottir, and hosted by Noel King.
Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)
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Republican Congressman Thomas Kean Jr. at a memorial for Ukrainian soldiers. His contested House seat is key to the control of the House of Representatives next year. Photo by Serhiy Morgunov/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images.
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