cover of episode The battle for Congress

The battle for Congress

2024/10/22
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Today, Explained

Key Insights

Why is New Jersey's 7th District considered a key race for control of the House?

It's a competitive district that used to be solidly Republican but has shifted towards Democrats in the Trump era, making it crucial for determining House control.

Why did some traditionally Republican districts turn back to red in the 2022 midterms?

Some districts that turned blue as a reaction to Trump shifted back to red, indicating a subtler realignment that didn't result in a predicted 'red wave'.

Why is Tom Kean Jr.'s public speaking ability a concern for his campaign?

He's not a good public speaker and struggles with off-the-cuff questions, which could lead to gaffes that harm his election chances.

Why does Tom Kean Jr. avoid taking questions off the cuff?

He's cautious and rarely takes off-the-cuff questions to avoid gaffes that could jeopardize his election.

Why is Sue Altman's past association with the Working Families Party a liability?

Her opponent uses her past positions, like supporting defunding the police, against her to portray her as a radical liberal activist.

Why is the Texas Senate race between Ted Cruz and Colin Allred significant?

It's a test of whether demographic shifts towards Democrats in Texas are enough to flip the state, potentially altering the Senate balance.

Why is Rick Scott's candidacy in Florida considered less favorable for Democrats than Ted Cruz's race in Texas?

Rick Scott's opponent, Debbie Mucarcel-Powell, is less polished and not raising as much money, making a Democratic win in Florida less likely compared to Texas.

Why is Sherrod Brown's reelection campaign in Ohio considered a toss-up?

He's running against a well-funded, attack-oriented candidate in a state that President Obama won but Trump did not, making his reelection uncertain.

Chapters

The episode discusses the key races that will decide control of the House in 2024, focusing on New Jersey's 7th District and the challenges faced by Republican Tom Kean Jr.
  • New Jersey's 7th District has shifted from solidly Republican to competitive due to demographic changes.
  • Tom Kean Jr. is a moderate Republican trying to hold onto his seat, but he faces challenges in public speaking and media interactions.
  • Kean's cautious approach and avoidance of off-the-cuff questions have become a liability.

Shownotes Transcript

Republicans are projected to take the Senate in November, but Democrats have a fighting chance to win the House — if they can turn out a broad anti-Trump coalition.

This episode was produced by Miles Bryan and Peter Balonon-Rosen, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Matt Collette and Amanda Lewellyn, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Andrea Kristinsdottir, and hosted by Noel King.

Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)

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Republican Congressman Thomas Kean Jr. at a memorial for Ukrainian soldiers. His contested House seat is key to the control of the House of Representatives next year. Photo by Serhiy Morgunov/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images.

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