cover of episode One Voter to Understand Trump’s Win

One Voter to Understand Trump’s Win

2024/11/7
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Ested Herndon
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Ested Herndon:本文探讨了2024年美国大选的结果,特朗普轻松赢得选举人票并有望赢得普选票。作者采访了一位密歇根州的选民Monica,以了解她投票给特朗普的原因。这反映了美国社会的新变化和选民的复杂心态。 Monica的投票决定并非易事,她经历了失业和经济困境,这直接影响了她的投票选择。她对两党候选人都存在不满,认为哈里斯立场摇摆不定,缺乏组织性;而特朗普虽然言辞粗鲁,但立场明确。 Monica的投票最终基于个人利益,她希望特朗普能够提振美国制造业,并取消电动汽车强制要求,从而帮助她重返工作岗位。她承认自己的选择带有一定的自私性,但她认为如果大多数人都和她一样,结果将会不同。她还谈到了对政治集会中极端言论的看法,认为这并不代表整个政党的立场。 Monica的经历和选择代表了一部分选民的心声,他们对现状不满,但又对两党候选人都缺乏信心,最终基于个人利益做出了选择。 Monica:我最终投票给了特朗普。主要原因是我认为特朗普会让美国制造业保持强劲,并且减少电动汽车的强制要求,这对我找回工作至关重要。哈里斯的立场摇摆不定,让我难以捉摸她的真正立场。虽然特朗普言辞粗鲁,但他立场明确。 我的投票基于个人利益,因为我失业了两个月,经济状况非常糟糕。我买了一套房子,但失业后我可能无力承担房贷。如果我的投票只是基于个人利益,那么我不会在意谁获胜。但事实是,很多人和我一样,基于自身经济状况做出了选择。 特朗普承诺取消电动汽车强制要求,这将使我的公司能够继续生产在美国制造的汽车,例如Ram 1500皮卡。虽然这并非万全之策,但我认为这是我重返工作岗位的最佳机会。 我同意特朗普在许多政策上的立场,但哈里斯在堕胎问题上的立场是我唯一支持她的原因。然而,在经济困境面前,其他问题都显得不那么重要了。我需要先解决自己的经济问题,才能考虑其他社会问题。 我意识到自己很自私,但我认为如果大多数人都和我一样,结果就会不同。我参加过特朗普的集会,也参加过自由派集会,我发现任何群体在集会中都可能表现出极端行为,但这并不代表整个政党的立场。我相信美国的制度能够制衡特朗普,防止他实施极端政策。 如果民主党提名其他候选人,例如罗伯特·肯尼迪或者图尔西·加巴德,我可能会投票给民主党。我对拜登和哈里斯都不满意,哈里斯从未赢得过初选,这让我难以接受。这次选举让我认识到,在两党制下,独立投票并不能有效表达我的诉求。我的投票是基于冲动、个人利益和对现状的不满。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Monica vote for Trump in the 2024 election?

Monica voted for Trump because she believed he would support U.S. manufacturing and roll back EV mandates, which she felt were crucial for her job security in the automotive industry.

What were Monica's concerns about Kamala Harris?

Monica was concerned about Harris's flip-flopping on policies and her lack of clear, consistent messaging, which made it difficult for Monica to trust her stance on key issues like fracking and economic policies.

How did Monica's personal economic situation influence her vote?

Monica's vote was heavily influenced by her recent layoff in the automotive industry and her fear of not being able to afford her new house. She prioritized her immediate job security over broader social issues.

What did Monica think Trump could do for her job?

Monica believed Trump could help her job by rolling back EV mandates and supporting U.S. manufacturing, which she felt would allow her company to keep producing vehicles like the Ram 1500 in the U.S. rather than outsourcing to Mexico.

Why did Monica feel that Harris's policies didn't align with her needs?

Monica felt that Harris's policies, particularly on economic issues like fracking, were inconsistent and didn't address her immediate concerns about job security and the future of U.S. manufacturing.

How did Monica justify voting for Trump despite concerns about his rallies?

Monica justified her vote by comparing the energy at Trump rallies to that of liberal protests, arguing that individuals can get caught up in group dynamics. She believed that the broader political system would keep Trump in check.

What did Monica think about the Democratic primary process?

Monica was critical of the Democratic primary process, feeling that candidates like RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard were more appealing than Harris, who she felt was pushed onto voters without genuine support.

Why didn't Monica vote against Trump in the 2020 election?

Monica didn't vote against Trump in 2020 because she was dissatisfied with both Biden and Harris. She felt that Biden was losing his mental acuity and that Harris's policies were inconsistent, making it hard for her to support them.

What was Monica's overall sentiment about the 2024 election?

Monica's overall sentiment was one of frustration and self-interest. She felt unheard by the Democratic Party and prioritized her immediate economic needs over broader political considerations.

Chapters
Monica's vote for Trump was driven by her personal economic situation and the belief that Trump would support U.S. manufacturing, particularly in the automotive industry.
  • Monica voted for Trump due to concerns about job security in the automotive industry.
  • She felt Harris's policies were too inconsistent and did not address her immediate needs.
  • Monica's decision was influenced by her recent layoff and financial instability.

Shownotes Transcript

For more than two years, we’ve been asking pretty much everyone we meet a version of the same question:

Who are you going to vote for and why?

And on Wednesday morning, we had the answer to that question. Or at least the first part.

Donald Trump easily won the electoral vote, and as of early Thursday, he’s on track to win the popular vote too.

The second part of the question — the why of 2024 — is a little more complicated. It will take time to answer in its entirety.

But we wanted to start small, by talking with one Michigan voter. She came to mind on election night, when it became clear that it was going to be a Trump victory and that the sweep of his support was telling a new story about this country.

 

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