cover of episode 2024 Election preview special led by Rachel Maddow

2024 Election preview special led by Rachel Maddow

2024/11/4
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The Rachel Maddow Show

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Chris Hayes
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J. Ann Selzer
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Nicole Wallace
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Rachel Maddow
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Steve Kornacki
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Rachel Maddow:本期节目对2024年美国总统大选进行前瞻性分析,重点关注最新民调结果、候选人竞选策略以及选民情绪。她特别关注了Ann Selzer的艾奥瓦州民调结果,该民调显示哈里斯领先特朗普,并对这一结果进行了深入分析。此外,她还讨论了其他民调结果,包括NBC新闻的民调,并分析了这些民调结果的意义和局限性。 她还采访了多位专家,包括民调专家J. Ann Selzer、哈里斯竞选团队高级顾问David Plouffe以及多位政治评论员,就民调结果、选民情绪、竞选策略等问题进行了深入探讨。 最后,她还关注了亚利桑那州的计票安全问题,并采访了亚利桑那州务卿Adrian Fontes。 J. Ann Selzer:Selzer对艾奥瓦州民调结果感到惊讶,她指出哈里斯的支持率上升并非由于选民立场转变,而是由于更多新选民的加入,尤其是在老年人、女性和大学毕业生群体中。她还分析了男性选民对特朗普支持率下降的原因,并强调老年选民的投票率很高。 David Plouffe:Plouffe表示哈里斯竞选团队的数据显示,在七个关键摇摆州,选情非常胶着,但后期决定投票的选民更倾向于哈里斯。他还谈到了亚利桑那州和内华达州的堕胎相关公投可能对选民投票率的影响。 其他参与者:其他参与者就民调结果的可靠性、选民的政治热情、候选人的竞选策略、堕胎问题、经济问题以及计票安全等问题进行了深入探讨,并对大选结果进行了预测。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are electric vehicles (EVs) important for Arizona's economy?

EVs have created 11,000 jobs in Arizona and brought billions in investment, strengthening local communities and manufacturing leadership.

Why is polling being viewed with skepticism in the 2024 election?

Polling has had high-profile misses in recent cycles, and there's concern about politically motivated 'garbage polls' affecting perceptions.

Why is the Iowa poll by Ann Selzer considered significant?

Ann Selzer's polls are known for their uncanny predictive accuracy, and her recent Iowa poll shows Kamala Harris ahead, which is unexpected given Iowa's historical voting patterns.

How has Kamala Harris's campaign strategy impacted her polling?

Harris's campaign focused on economic messages and personal story, which resonated with voters, particularly women and older voters, leading to surprising leads in states like Iowa.

Why is security a major concern for election officials in Arizona?

Security concerns stem from threats and disruptions in previous elections, necessitating physical fortifications and increased security measures.

How does the Harris campaign view the economy in their messaging?

The Harris campaign emphasizes economic policies benefiting the middle class and addresses specific concerns like housing and grocery prices, tying these to broader economic messages.

Why did Michelle Norris resign from The Washington Post?

Norris resigned after the paper's owner, Jeff Bezos, blocked the editorial board from endorsing a presidential candidate, which she felt compromised journalistic integrity.

What is the significance of Kamala Harris's election night watch party at Howard University?

The choice underscores Harris's historic candidacy and her connection to Howard University, symbolizing unity and the importance of her background in her campaign.

Why is the FBI warning about fake videos related to the election?

The FBI is alerting the public to fake videos impersonating the FBI to spread misinformation about election security and voting mechanics.

Chapters
The chapter discusses the rise of the electric vehicle (EV) industry in the United States, highlighting job creation and investment in local communities.
  • Over a million EVs were sold in the U.S. last year.
  • The EV industry has created 11,000 jobs in Arizona.
  • Billions of dollars of investment have been brought into local communities.

Shownotes Transcript

Rachel Maddow and her MSNBC colleagues look ahead to Election Day.