Financial education, macro insights & actionable investment ideas. From the desk of a former Head of
Good morning and welcome back to The Macro Compass. This is Alf writing.It’s almost been 3 yea
The key macro event of 2024 is approaching: US elections are around the corner.Next week I will rele
The Chinese real estate market is de-leveraging very hard. Economists estimate Chinese households ha
The news of the week is NOT the Fed cutting 50 bps - yes sure, that’s important but there is s
We are observing a true regime change in markets.And for macro investors, it’s incredibly impo
We just witnessed one of the biggest market panic events ever seen in the last 4 decades.At some poi
The S&P500 realized volatility is below 10%.Credit spreads are super tight, and aside from some
The Fed hiked rates above 5%, and yet the US economy doesn't break.Back in 2022 already, the yield c
When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry.But it’s when a recession hits
Hey, this is Alf - welcome back to The Macro Compass!Last week was big for macro and markets.Today&#
Here is a trillion (dollar) reasons why the US economy is likely to hold up until elections: between
If you have been around for the last 10 years as a global macro investor you have experienced a situ
Animal spirits are running loose.Bitcoin just hit all-time highs;NFTs of penguins and monkeys sellin
Welcome back to The Macro Compass.Let me cut to the chase: The Macro Trading Floor is back!TMTF was
Next week is huge: revisions to 2023 CPI, US labor market print, the Fed, and most importantly the Q
The Fed has been running QT for a while and yet there is still abundant liquidity in the financial s
Macro investing without deeply understanding bond markets is like eating soup with a fork.You can st
Welcome back to The Macro Compass - may 2024 be your best macro year ever!Let me get straight to the
As macro investors we are often inundated with flashy headlines, and recently Japan has been front a
‘‘Who are the biggest whales in the bond market?’’If you’d go around a
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