cover of episode F*ck Trump Back + Freeze the Line

F*ck Trump Back + Freeze the Line

2025/2/21
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Rick Wilson: 我认为本周特朗普犯下最大的错误,也是大家一直在谈论的历史性问题,就是对普京的投降。这令人难以置信。我已经在我的博客、电视节目和播客中多次谈到这个问题。但本周的民调显示,特朗普严重误判了形势。普京不受欢迎,不被认为是好人,不被认为是我们可以信任或与之做生意的人。事实上,大约70%的美国人认为他是一个独裁者。你不能这么快地、这么轻易地将邪恶重新包装,唐纳德。如果二战结束后希特勒自杀了,他不可能建立什么‘希特勒美味香肠屋’。这个品牌很糟糕。成为战犯对你的品牌有害。而普京是一个战犯。特朗普却拥抱了他。有很多情况表明,正如我所说,第三次世界大战可能在本周爆发。我确实相信我们可能已经经历了那样的时刻。不是指枪战。但当一百年后历史学家回顾这段历史时,他们会说,是的,那是唐纳德·特朗普引发第三次世界大战的那一周,因为他不知道自己在做什么。我们要去指挥乌克兰,却没有让乌克兰参与其中,我们把俄罗斯当作这场由俄罗斯发动的战争中的好人,这种想法是荒谬的。特朗普一遍又一遍地说:‘我们需要和平。’好吧,那就给他打电话。给弗拉德打电话说:‘嘿,混蛋,别再这样了。结束了。放下吧。你什么也得不到。’但唐纳德·特朗普做不到,因为人们看到他软弱而愚蠢。这是我们低估特朗普的地方。人们认为特朗普很聪明。特朗普不聪明。特朗普很狡猾,很狡诈,但他不聪明。而他现在不聪明到什么程度,从他处理普京的方式就可以看出来。美国人也看到了这一点——我们也从民调结果中看到了这一点。这不是一个善于谈判的人。普京是一个善于谈判的人。你知道我们到目前为止从俄罗斯得到了什么吗?什么也没有。一点好处也没有。我们从俄罗斯那里什么也没得到。没有让步,没有承认,没有收回,什么也没有。好吧?这个家伙拥有某种神奇的谈判能力的想法一直都是胡说八道。普京再次证明了这一点。我们知道普京正在利用特朗普。我们知道普京正在像操纵提琴一样操纵他。我们知道,没有什么比操纵唐纳德·特朗普更能让他感到自豪的了。他喜欢把这个人当傻瓜耍。本周最大的问题,也是最重要的部分,是本届政府的权力过大正在加速发展。他们的所作所为正在让人们越来越不相信他胜任这项工作。经济数据开始变得令人不安。市场开始变得紧张。关税问题令人非常担忧。他们要接管美联储,让唐纳德·特朗普来管理它,这更是令人非常担忧。所有这些对唐纳德·特朗普都不利。这些对特朗普都不起作用。我知道现在很容易害怕他,也很容易害怕他们正在做的事情。他们正在做的事情是可怕的,伙计们。我并没有轻描淡写,也没有丝毫缩小其影响。但他并非不死之身。他并非刀枪不入。从政治角度来说,他并非防弹。他是一个正在犯错的人。他犯错是因为他不那么聪明。他犯错是因为他有一个名叫埃隆·马斯克的令人毛骨悚然的伙伴,现在他已经名义上成为了总统。他犯错是因为国会一直被动,现在他们害怕了。因为他们看到了选民身上正在发生的事情。他们每天都在受到伤害。他们对此感到愤怒。他们没有公开表示任何意见,因为他们害怕特朗普。但他们的生存现在岌岌可危。他们的政治生存现在岌岌可危。朋友们,问题是唐纳德·特朗普犯了很多错误。很多。这些错误会伤害他。我知道现在很容易灰心。我知道很容易感觉自己被打败了,我们对此无能为力。继续说。继续积极行动。继续联系你的国会议员,无论是共和党还是民主党。每天都狠狠地批评他们,让他们为此奋斗。不要犹豫向你的民选领导人呼吁。在参议院,我们的优势非常非常非常小。在众议院,我们的优势也很小。现在众议院的这些共和党人如果没有一些民主党的帮助,什么也做不了。告诉你的民主党代表,不要为这些人做任何事情。冻结这条线。不要通过预算。让特朗普为此负责。因为他们试图通过的预算将使埃隆想要注入美国体系的许多毒药合法化。不要这样做。保持坚强。我们下周将再次讨论这个问题。感谢你们所有人。当然,你可以在林肯计划的播客上关注我。当然,你也可以在《敌人名单》播客上关注我。查看我的博客。在lincolnproject.us上关注林肯计划。如果你想支持我们在林肯计划中所做的工作,请访问lincolnproject.us/helpLP。感谢大家,感谢你们。我们下周见。

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Your task will not be an easy one. Your enemy is well-trained, well-equipped, and battle-hardened. There is not a liberal, anti-conservative America, face of America. Good night, and good luck. Hey everybody, it's Rick, and welcome back to another week where there's something happening that is going to be very consequential. And this week, the elephant in the room is that Trump is really fucking up.

I know you think that is obviously sort of self-evident. You think, oh my God, of course Trump's fucking up. Of course he's making every mistake in the book. But I don't know if you've thought it through as much as you should, because there's actually some good news here this week. There is a growing sense of awareness

that the impacts of turning Elon Musk and a bunch of weird incel dudes loose in the government is like, you know, coating yourself with barbecue sauce and running through a party of wolves. People are starting to figure out that's not a great idea. In the red states, a great story this week out of Wisconsin, dairy farmers suddenly shocked at the multi-billion dollar contracts that

that they had to sell cheese to the government. It's just, I'm not just going to sell warehouse somewhere. It was going to USAID by, not anymore, farmers in the Midwest, farmers in the South, realizing the same thing. Peanut farmers. I, soybean farmer in North Florida, who reached out to me, friend of a family member of a family, or a friend of a friend of a family member. We sort of know each other vaguely. He's not really a fan. Big Trumper reached out to me and said, well, shit.

A lot of my soy product was going to USAID contracts. I didn't really think that through. You know what? I really resisted. I was going to say, yeah, no shit. But I said, I'm so sorry, man. That's really tough. Maybe you should write the congressman. Maybe you should tell him how you feel. Maybe you should call him. You're a donor. You're a rich guy, relatively speaking, for the part of the state he's in. The shock is rippling through MAGA.

I'd like to point out that hurricane season is going to start in a few weeks or a few months. And in Florida and North Carolina and Louisiana and Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia and South Carolina, all states that have recently been hit with devastating tornadoes and hurricanes, they're going to take FEMA out of the budget. The House is taking FEMA out of the budget. This is a mistake.

The House is trying to cut these programs post hoc, trying to clean up Elon's mess. But the things the government is supposed to do, we can all argue about how many things they should be doing and what they should be doing and what degree they should be doing them. But let's say something. As a pilot, I'm okay paying taxes so I get air traffic controllers that keep my plane from hitting somebody else's plane. As an American citizen, I'm okay paying

having the National Nuclear Assurity Administration make sure that our nuclear weapons don't fall into the hands of some idiot, or that they don't get left laying around by mistake somewhere, or that they're not unsafe in some way. I'm okay paying taxes for that. That's okay. But that's a mistake Trump is making. This teardown of the government is a mistake he's making. Calling himself a king actually triggered a lot more people than I thought.

It would. On the right, we're like, come on. You can't. You can't. You can't do that, man. That's too much. That's a bridge too far. It's not a joke, Donald. I want to say that the stuff you're seeing from Trump's bubble that he's living in, it's starting to break the numbers. You should be optimistic about this. This is a big elephant in the room that these mistakes are causing. Trump is down 11 points in his approval rating. 11.

In three and a half weeks, this is not bad news, guys. This is actually good news. The things he's doing are having a very direct impact on the way he is perceived. Creepy wingman Elon Musk is about as popular as drug-resistant syphilis with most of the American voters. He's about a 25% to 28% approval rating, about a 55% to 60% disapproval.

That has to mean, because math is real, that about 40% of Republicans at the minimum don't like the shenanigans, don't like the BS, don't like the idea of turning loose into the government a bunch of creepy, incel guys who normally would be home wanking to anime. That's a callback, y'all.

Instead of spreading them loose in the government and giving them access to your Social Security information, your banking information, the Treasury's information. And this week, they're getting your Internal Revenue Service information. And by the way, just as a quick aside, if you're a member of Congress, Elon Musk has your tax returns now. How are you feeling? You feel good? All you guys on Wall Street, Elon Musk has your tax returns now. You feeling good? Next time he goes to raise money, he's going to walk in that room and know exactly what all you made.

Next time he goes to do a financing round, he's going to have every bit of information about every financial transaction that you and your companies have made, whether you're in the Valley or on Wall Street. Feel good? You feel safe? Because you shouldn't. We'll be right back.

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Get an expert now on TurboTax.com. Only available with TurboTax Live Full Service. Real-time updates are only in iOS mobile app. See guarantee details at TurboTax.com slash guarantees. And now, back to the show. Now, the biggest mistake I think this week, obviously, and you've heard me talk about this a lot this week. I'm not going to belabor this point. The historic elephant in the room is the capitulation to Putin. Unbelievable.

And I have talked about it on my sub stack. I've talked about it on TV. I've talked about it on the podcast for Lincoln and for Enemies List. I've said a lot about it. But the polls that are out this week show you how badly Donald Trump has misread this situation. Vladimir Putin is not popular. Vladimir Putin is not considered a good guy. He's not considered someone we can trust or do business with. In fact, about 70% of Americans think he's a dictator.

Oh, oh, I'm sorry. You can't rebrand evil that quickly. You can't rebrand evil that transparently and easily, Donald. You know, it's why if World War II had ended and Hitler had offed himself, he couldn't have formed like Hitler's house of delicious sausages. The branding is bad. Being a war criminal is bad for your brand. And Putin is a war criminal. Trump has embraced him.

There are a lot of scenarios where, as I've said, that World War III started this week. And I honestly believe that we may well have had that. Not the shooting part. But when historians look back 100 years from now, they're going to go, yeah, that was the week that Donald Trump triggered World War III because he didn't know what he was doing. The idea that we were going to go and dictate to Ukraine without having Ukraine in the room, and that we were going to treat Russia as the good guy in a war that Russia started

in a war where Donald Trump says over and over, "We need peace." Okay, call your boy. Call Vlad and say, "Hey, motherfucker, no more. Done. Set it down. You get nothing." But Donald Trump can't do that because people are seeing he's weak and stupid. This is something we underestimate about Trump. People think Trump is smart. Trump is not smart. Trump is crafty. He is sly, but he's not smart.

And the degree of his not smartness right now is really on display with the way he's handling Putin. And Americans are seeing it in the – and we're seeing the results of it in the polling. This is not a guy who is a good negotiator. Putin is a good negotiator. You know what we've got out of Russia so far? Jack and shit.

A combination of zero jack and zero shit. Nothing. We've got nothing out of Russia. No concessions, no admissions, no walk back, no nothing. Okay? And the idea, sorry, my dogs are barking. You know what happens around this place. Okay. All right. All right. We're going to go mobile. We're going to go mobile. We're in Rick's house. We're going mobile. I don't know where they, I don't know what door they're at.

Let's go see. Let's go see if they're in the front. Anyway, look, the idea that this guy has some sort of magical negotiating ability has always been BS.

And Putin is proving it one more time. We know that Putin is rooking Trump. We know Putin is playing him like a damn fiddle. We know that there's nothing that this guy loves more than to manipulate Donald Trump. I mean, it is his pride and joy to manipulate Donald Trump. He loves playing this guy for a fool. We'll be right back.

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Learn more at phrma.org slash IPWorksWonders. And now, back to the show. I don't know where the dogs went, but here we are. We're upstairs. But the real elephant in the room of the week, and the biggest part of this, is that the overreach in this administration is going faster and faster. The things they're doing are giving people less and less confidence that he's good at this work.

The economic numbers are starting to get queasy. The markets are getting kind of nervous. The idea about tariffs is getting very nerve-wracking. The idea that they're going to take over the Federal Reserve and let Donald Trump run it is super nerve-wracking. None of this is good stuff for Donald Trump. None of this works for Trump. I know it is easy to be scared of him right now, and it's easy to be scared of the things they're doing. And the things they're doing are horrific, guys. I'm not soft-pedaling that. I'm not minimizing that at all.

But he is not immortal. He is not covered with steel. He is not politically speaking bulletproof. He is a guy who is making mistakes. And the mistakes he's making are because he's not that smart. The mistakes he's making are because he's got a creepy wingman named Elon Musk who has now become the president in all but name. The mistakes he's making are because Congress has been passive and now they're scared.

Because they see what's starting to happen with their constituents. They're getting hurt every day. They're angry about it. They haven't said anything publicly because they're afraid of Trump. But their survival is now at stake. Their political survival is now at stake. Folks, the elephant in the room is that Donald Trump's making a lot of mistakes. A lot. And they're going to hurt him. I know it's easy to get down right now. I know it's easy to feel like you've been beaten and there's nothing we can do about it. Keep talking.

Keep being active. Keep reaching out to your member of Congress, Republican or Democrat. Beat them over the head every day to fight this. Do not hesitate to appeal to your elected leaders. In the Senate, we have a very, very, very narrow margin. In the House, we have a narrow margin. There's nothing these Republicans can do right now

in the House without some Democratic help. Tell your Democratic reps, not a goddamn thing for these people. Freeze the line. Do not pass a budget. Make Trump own it. Because that budget they're trying to pass is going to codify a lot of the poison that Elon wants to put in the American system.

Don't do it. Stay strong. We'll be back next week with another elephant in the room. We appreciate all of you. You can follow me, of course, on the Lincoln Project podcast. You can follow me, of course, on the Enemies List podcast. Check out my sub stack. Follow us at the Lincoln Project at lincolnproject.us. And if you want to support the work we do here at the Lincoln Project, go to lincolnproject.us slash helpLP. Thanks for everything, everybody. Appreciate you. We'll see you next week.

The Lincoln Project Podcast is a Lincoln Project production. Executive produced by Whitney Hayes, Ben Howe, and Joey Wartner Cheney. Produced by Whitney Hayes. Edited by Riley Mayne. Hey folks, if you want to support the Lincoln Project's work against Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and this MAGA craziness,

Go to action.linkinproject.us slash help LP. If you'd like to get in touch or have suggestions for a guest or a show topic, or just want to say hi, our email is podcast at linkinproject.us. For our MAGA friends, please, no more nudes. Thanks so much, and we'll talk to you again next time. Good night, and good luck.