Evening Edition: A New Trump Term Promises Pivots On Foreign Policy

2024/11/6

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John Saucier

Victoria Coates

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John Saucier: 本次选举关注国家安全，选民希望找到能够保障国家安全和繁荣的领导人。特朗普大胆预测能够迅速结束乌克兰战争，并利用其与泽连斯基和普京的关系促成解决方案。他不会像拜登政府那样犹豫，会利用美国的力量，包括军事援助和经济制裁，来解决问题。肯尼迪也支持特朗普，部分原因在于相信特朗普能够解决乌克兰战争。结束乌克兰战争可能需要领土让步，但这需要一个对双方都可接受的谈判解决方案，而不是简单的让步。特朗普会对俄罗斯施加更严厉的经济制裁，欧盟也需要承担责任。特朗普可能会利用北约作为与俄罗斯谈判的筹码，并继续要求北约盟友增加国防开支。乌克兰对库尔斯克地区的控制可能是结束战争的筹码，但朝鲜军队出现在乌克兰表明中俄等国正在合作，这需要特朗普利用其影响力来改变局面。特朗普会对中国采取强硬的经济措施，利用美国经济的优势，并促进美国经济增长，尤其是在能源、创新和科技领域。 Victoria Coates: 特朗普会寻求对双方都可接受的谈判解决方案，而不是简单的让步，并会对俄罗斯施加比过去两年更严厉的经济制裁。特朗普会继续要求北约盟友增加国防开支，这是他上任后就提出的要求，许多北约盟友没有达到2%的国防开支目标，特朗普的压力促使一些国家增加了开支，但一些主要的北约盟友国防开支仍然低于2%。乌克兰应该更加重视北约盟友的国防开支问题。朝鲜军队出现在乌克兰表明中俄等国正在合作，这与2017年不同，但特朗普可能利用其影响力来改变这种局面，乌克兰的军事行动也能提供筹码。特朗普会对中国采取强硬的经济措施，利用美国经济的优势，并促进美国经济增长，尤其是在能源、创新和科技领域，这些领域是中国无法竞争的。特朗普会立即与中东盟友接触，重申美国的支持，并寻求对以色列有利的解决方案。特朗普在第一任期内对以色列的支持促成了亚伯拉罕协议，他希望达成更多类似协议，并确保以色列在冲突中获胜。特朗普希望在就职前结束加沙战争，并达成新的和平协议。特朗普的胜选是常识的胜利，也是一场国家安全选举，选民更看重谁更能保障国家安全和繁荣。特朗普的胜选是民意的体现，她希望他能团结所有美国人，开启美国的新黄金时代。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why might President-elect Trump be able to end the war in Ukraine?

Trump's respect from both Zelensky and Putin, his clear signaling of U.S. might, and potential economic repercussions against Russia could facilitate a negotiated settlement.

How does Trump plan to handle China's aggressive actions?

Trump aims to leverage economic pressure, particularly in sectors like energy, innovation, and technology, where China is less competitive, to counterbalance China's influence.

What role might NATO play in Trump's foreign policy?

Trump may use NATO's increased defense spending as a bargaining chip with Russia, emphasizing the need for allies to meet their 2% GDP defense spending commitments.

How does Trump view the Middle East peace process?

Trump supports a negotiated ceasefire that results in a victory for Israel, aiming to avoid temporary solutions that lead to future conflicts and potentially broker new peace deals.

Why does Victoria Coates believe Trump won the election?

Coates attributes Trump's victory to voters prioritizing national security and economic prosperity, seeing Trump as the candidate who can deliver both.

Chapters

Discussing President-elect Trump's potential to end the war in Ukraine without ceding territory to Russia, focusing on his approach to leverage and negotiation.

Trump aims to negotiate a settlement acceptable to both Ukraine and Russia.
He plans to use severe economic repercussions as a bargaining tool.
The EU's role in supporting Ukraine is crucial.

Shownotes Transcript

After his 2024 presidential victory, President-elect Donald Trump will be in control of U.S. foreign policy come Inauguration Day. On the campaign trail, he has been bold in his predictions of what he can accomplish on the world stage, including plans to end the war in Ukraine and to quell China's aggressive actions.

FOX’s John Saucier speaks with former Trump administration deputy national security advisor Victoria Coates about how Trump may achieve peace in Ukraine without appeasing Putin, the Trump record on negotiating peace in the Middle East, and the likelihood that President Trump would solve China’s hostilities with economic consequences.

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