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The End of the Obama Coalition

2024/11/13
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The Ezra Klein Show

Key Insights

Why has the Democratic Party been losing nonwhite and working-class voters?

The Democratic Party has become more beholden to special-interest nonprofits, which reflect the interests of the donor class rather than the broader electorate.

How did the Obama era change the structure of the Democratic Party?

The Obama era saw the rise of a national machine centered around urban political support, foundations, nonprofits, and mass media, which centralized power and influence.

What role do nonprofits play in modern Democratic politics?

Nonprofits have become influential in setting the Democratic agenda, often reflecting the interests of the donor class rather than the party's core voter base.

Why did the Obama coalition fail to become an enduring majority?

The coalition's strategies to solidify support from nonwhite and working-class voters failed, leading to their defection to the Republican Party.

How does the current Democratic Party differ from its pre-Obama structure?

The current party is more centralized and homogeneous, with power concentrated in urban machines and nonprofits, unlike the more decentralized and diverse pre-Obama structure.

What is the significance of the nonprofit complex in the Democratic Party?

The nonprofit complex has become a modern form of patronage, influencing policy and campaign strategies through campaign finance donations and grants.

How has social media influenced the power dynamics within the Democratic Party?

Social media has empowered single-issue groups, allowing them to amplify their demands and exert pressure on Democratic politicians, often leading to more extreme positions.

Why did the Democratic Party's economic populism fail to attract working-class voters?

Despite becoming more economically populist, the party's cultural positions alienated working-class voters who felt disconnected from the party's agenda.

What challenges does the Democratic Party face in appealing to nonwhite voters?

The party's reliance on astroturf nonprofits, which do not represent the broader interests of nonwhite voters, has led to policy positions that do not resonate with these voters.

How can the Democratic Party break free from its current institutional structure?

The party needs to reduce its dependence on mega-donor contributions and nonprofit staffers, and instead focus on policies and leaders that resonate with its core voter base.

Chapters

The discussion begins with the Democratic Party's struggle to retain nonwhite and working-class voters, questioning the effectiveness of their political strategies.
  • Democrats have failed to solidify support from Black, Hispanic, working-class, and union voters.
  • Voters are fleeing to Donald Trump, indicating a disconnect between the party and its core base.

Shownotes Transcript

The Democratic Party has been hemorrhaging nonwhite and working-class voters. There are a lot of theories about why that has been happening, blaming it on the party’s ideas or messaging or campaign tactics. But I think the problem might be deeper than that — rooted in the structure of the Democratic Party itself.

Michael Lind is a columnist at Tablet magazine, a co-founder of New America and the author of “The New Class War: Saving Democracy From the Managerial Elite).” He argues that the Democratic Party in recent years has become more beholden to special-interest nonprofits, which claim to represent large constituencies but actually reflect the interests of the donor class. In this conversation, we discuss why he thinks the nonprofit complex became so powerful, how that might have led to a disconnect between the Democratic Party and its core voter base and what he thinks Democrats could do to course correct.

Book Recommendations:

Where Have All the Democrats Gone?) by John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira

Tyranny, Inc.) by Sohrab Ahmari

Mother Jones) by Elliot J. Gorn

Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at [email protected].

You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast). Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs).

This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact-checking by Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota and Isaac Jones. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser.

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