Some local election officials are prepared to reject election results due to a belief that elections since 2020 have been fraudulent and that their certification legitimizes these elections. This belief is fueled by a movement that aims to deny elections and change how they are run, often driven by individuals who doubt past election results.
The Washoe County commission meeting on July 9, 2024, was significant because it marked the first time a county failed to certify an election since Nevada became a state. This decision was influenced by a crowd of people who believed the election was fraudulent and pressured the board to reject certification.
Since January 6, 2021, the 'Stop the Steal' movement has evolved into a coordinated campaign focused on local levels, aiming to influence the certification process of elections. This includes organizing at the grassroots level, funding efforts, and recruiting local activists to question and potentially block election certifications.
Robert Beetle played a central organizing role in Washoe County by channeling community anger into more constructive or destructive directions, depending on perspective. He started Operation Sunlight, a local media hub, and helped conduct a takeover of the local Republican party to bring in more far-right candidates who were skeptical of past election results.
Local citizens like James Homes and Susan Venus contribute to election denial efforts by acting as citizen detectives, investigating what they perceive as fraud in the election system. They collect evidence of alleged irregularities and work with local organizers like Robert Beetle to push for changes in the election process and certification.
The 'pricing strategy' is a template for local activists to start their own election integrity groups, focusing on taking back control of local election offices. It involves recruiting citizens to investigate fraud, organizing local political parties, and aiming to get like-minded individuals onto local boards that make decisions about voting and certification.
The certification process involves local election boards stamping and sending along the results of elections. It is being challenged because some individuals and groups believe that certification legitimizes fraudulent elections. They argue for a change in the process to allow more discretion and investigation before certification, which goes against the established legal obligation of the boards.
If local election boards fail to certify elections, it could lead to the invalidation of those elections, creating chaos and undermining public trust in the democratic process. This could escalate to higher-stakes elections, including the presidency, where a single county's failure to certify could have broader implications for the electoral college and the final vote count.
Election officials view the increased scrutiny and challenges as a strain on an already overworked and underpaid system. They feel that there is no amount of explaining that can satisfy those who believe in election fraud, and this constant questioning creates an extra burden on the system, which is designed to protect voters but is not made to easily remove individuals who may have made mistakes on their registrations.
The long-term impact of Donald Trump's 'Stop the Steal' movement is the questioning of the machinery of democracy, which has been functioning well for over two centuries. This movement has introduced doubts about the certification process and the integrity of elections, potentially leading to more local challenges and a continued erosion of trust in the electoral system, regardless of Trump's political future.
On Tuesday night, as the voting ends and the counting begins, the election system itself will be on trial.
Jim Rutenberg, a writer at large for The Times, explains how some local election officials entrusted with certifying ballots are preparing to reject the results and create chaos in the weeks ahead.
Guest: Jim Rutenberg), a writer at large for The New York Times and The New York Times Magazine.
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