19 Days to Go: Early Voting, Dance Parties and Third Parties

2024/10/17

The Daily

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript

People

Astead Herndon

Lisa Lerer

Michael Barbaro

Rebecca Davis O’Brien

Shane Goldmacher

Topics

Michael Barbaro: 本期节目讨论了2024年美国总统大选的最新动态，包括特朗普在竞选过程中的反复无常行为，哈里斯针对黑人男性选民的策略，以及首轮提前投票结果。 Lisa Lerer: 特朗普在宾夕法尼亚州的市政厅会议上行为古怪，这既符合其一贯风格，又对其竞选造成负面影响。他的行为虽然博得部分支持者的喜爱，但也使其在一些摇摆选民，特别是女性选民面前失分。 Shane Goldmacher: 特朗普在与富裕捐款人的私人会面中表现出愤怒和不当言论，这反映了他竞选资金方面的劣势，也凸显了他对政治对手的敌意。他将反对者称为“内部敌人”，并暗示可能动用军队对付他们，这是一种潜在的权力滥用。 Rebecca Davis O’Brien: 哈里斯正试图通过关注黑人男性选民来弥补民调中的差距，她通过广告和公开露面，直接向黑人男性选民宣传，试图争取他们的选票。同时，她还需要顾及其他选民群体，这是一种平衡策略。此外，第三方候选人可能会对哈里斯在关键摇摆州的选情构成威胁，尤其是在密歇根州，大量选民对哈里斯关于以色列和加沙的立场不满，这可能会导致他们支持第三方候选人。 Michael Barbaro: 佐治亚州首日提前投票人数创历史新高，这可能反映了选民的积极性，但其意义尚不明确。提前投票和邮寄投票通常倾向于民主党，但2020年的情况比较特殊，因此难以进行直接比较。高投票率可能反映了双方竞选活动的组织程度，而不是一方的优势。在竞选后期，关注民调平均值比关注个别民调结果更有效。

Deep Dive

Chapters

Donald Trump displayed erratic behavior on the campaign trail, including playing DJ at a town hall and making alarming statements about deploying the military against political opponents. This behavior contrasts with Kamala Harris's disciplined approach, highlighting the stark choice facing voters.

Trump played DJ for 40 minutes at a town hall, dancing while Kirstie Noem looked on.
Trump discussed using the military against political opponents, including members of Congress.
Trump lashed out at donors for not raising enough money, using derogatory terms towards Kamala Harris.
Harris has raised a billion dollars in less than three months, double Trump's total for the year.

Shownotes Transcript

This week on the campaign trail, Donald Trump displayed bizarre town hall behavior, Kamala Harris pursued a strategy aimed at Black men, and the first wave of early voting offered a look at the energy of the electorate. Michael Barbaro sits down with the political reporters Lisa Lerer, Shane Goldmacher and Rebecca Davis O’Brien to make sense of it all.

Guests:

Lisa Lerer), a national political correspondent for The New York Times.
Shane Goldmacher), a national political correspondent for The New York Times.
Rebecca Davis O’Brien), a reporter covering national politics for The New York Times.

Background reading:

A frustrated Trump lashed out) behind closed doors over money.
Five takeaways) from Kamala Harris’s interview with Charlamagne Tha God.
Georgia officials reported record turnout on the first day of early voting).
Early voting has started. Here’s what to watch).

For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily). Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday.

Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts) or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

19 Days to Go: Early Voting, Dance Parties and Third Parties 01:12:12 Share

The Daily

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

19 Days to Go: Early Voting, Dance Parties and Third Parties