cover of episode The Pressure is On Pennsylvania For a Trump Victory

The Pressure is On Pennsylvania For a Trump Victory

2024/11/1
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Blake
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Charlie Kirk
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Steve Moore
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Charlie Kirk: 宾夕法尼亚州是决定性州,赢得宾夕法尼亚州就能赢得大选。需要动员所有资源,特别是争取选举日投票,因为宾夕法尼亚州的提前投票比例相对较低。需要寻找并争取首次投票者,特别是那些2020年投票给拜登的人。需要积极联系选民,直到选举日。 Blake: 宾夕法尼亚州的提前投票中,民主党领先共和党,但差距小于2020年。如果在选举日获得250万张选票,特朗普就能赢得宾夕法尼亚州,从而赢得大选。 Steve Moore: 民主党关于特朗普将导致经济崩溃的说法是虚假的宣传。特朗普执政期间经济蓬勃发展,而拜登和哈里斯的政策导致通货膨胀和经济恶化。如果特朗普当选总统,将会采取措施扭转经济颓势,例如重建基石输油管道,退出巴黎气候协定,减少政府监管等。 Charlie Kirk: 需要积极联系选民,直到选举日。即使宾夕法尼亚州结果不佳,仍然有机会赢得大选,例如赢得内华达州和威斯康星州。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Pennsylvania crucial for a Trump victory?

If Trump wins Pennsylvania, the likelihood of winning the overall election is very high, as it is the most important state in most projections.

What is the current early voting gap in Pennsylvania?

Democrats have about 947,000 early votes, while Republicans have about 553,000, a gap of just under 400,000 votes.

What is the projected number of votes needed for Trump to win Pennsylvania?

If Trump can get 2.5 million people to vote for him on Election Day in Pennsylvania, he is likely to win the state.

Why is the early voting turnout lower in Pennsylvania compared to other states?

Pennsylvania has stricter rules and a cultural preference for voting in person on Election Day, making early voting less common.

What is the significance of the latest jobs report before the election?

The private sector lost 40,000 jobs, marking the worst jobs report since the height of COVID, with government jobs being the only sector to grow.

What economic policies would Trump likely implement if he becomes president?

Trump plans to reverse Biden's policies, rebuild the Keystone XL pipeline, exit the Paris Climate Agreement, and reduce regulations on energy and vehicle choices.

How has the economy performed under Trump versus Biden?

Under Trump, median family income rose by $6,000 after inflation; under Biden, the average family has lost about $2,000 in purchasing power.

What is the current trend in early voting in Arizona?

Republicans are leading in early voting in Arizona by 176,000 votes, a significant improvement from being down 70,000 votes in 2020.

Why is early voting more advantageous for the right in some states?

Early voting allows more time to find and persuade low-propensity voters, which can be beneficial for the side with more passion and intensity.

What is the significance of the grassroots efforts in Allegheny, Pennsylvania?

A grassroots group in Allegheny has been working tirelessly to support Trump, including removing ineligible voters from the rolls, which could impact the election outcome.

Chapters
Charlie and Blake discuss the importance of Pennsylvania in the election and analyze the current voting trends, emphasizing the need for a strong turnout to secure a Trump victory.
  • Pennsylvania is crucial for Trump's victory.
  • Democrats have a 400,000 vote lead in early voting, but this is less than in 2020.
  • A surge in Election Day voting could swing the state in Trump's favor.

Shownotes Transcript

We've arrived at the final weekend of the campaign, and all eyes are on Pennsylvania. Charlie and Blake do the math for exactly how many of YOU need to turn out for a Trump victory, issue urgent messages to swing state voters, and then talk to Steve Moore about Biden's final jobs report, which appropriately enough is the worst of his entire administration.

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