cover of episode Will the Trump Prosecutions Go Away? (with Barb McQuade)

Will the Trump Prosecutions Go Away? (with Barb McQuade)

2024/11/8
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Elie Honig
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Barb McQuade: 就曼哈顿案件而言,法官可以选择对特朗普处以罚款而非监禁,因为司法部(DOJ)的意见书认为,对在职总统提起刑事诉讼或监禁是不可能的。这一意见书基于以下理由:总统的职责至关重要,任何刑事诉讼都会分散总统的精力,妨碍其履行职责。因此,在职总统期间不太可能进行任何审判。此外,即使特朗普没有解雇特别检察官杰克·史密斯,由于司法部意见书的存在,史密斯也可能停止对特朗普的起诉。 Elie Honig: 同意McQuade的观点,认为在州一级对在职总统进行审判在实践上不可行。他回顾了与Norm Eisen的讨论,后者曾认为可以在总统任期内进行州一级起诉,但Honig认为这是不可能的。他进一步强调了司法部意见书的重要性,认为它是无法对在职总统进行起诉的主要原因。他指出,即使在拜登政府时期,这一政策也没有被重新审查,这表明它在实践中是有效的。Honig还认为,即使特朗普没有解雇史密斯,由于司法部意见书的存在,史密斯也可能停止对特朗普的起诉,因为对在职总统进行审判和监禁是不可能的。 Elie Honig: 认为司法部意见书并非仅仅是政策,而是宪法所要求的。在职总统的职责至关重要,他们不能因为要为自己辩护而分心。因此,在职总统期间不会进行任何审判。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why might the Manhattan case against Trump not proceed during his presidency?

The Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) memo prohibits charging a sitting president, as it would distract from their essential duties. This policy has been in place since 1973 and hasn't been revisited by recent administrations.

What is the potential outcome for Trump's Manhattan case if he is sentenced during his presidency?

Judge Mershon could impose a fine since it's against Trump in his individual capacity, but a custodial sentence is unlikely due to the OLC memo's restrictions.

Why is the OLC memo on not charging a sitting president considered valid?

The memo is seen as valid because it aligns with the Constitution's requirement to ensure the president's undistracted focus on essential duties. It has been upheld multiple times since 1973.

How might Trump's presidency impact the Georgia case against him?

Similar to the Manhattan case, the Georgia case is unlikely to proceed during his presidency due to the OLC memo's prohibition on charging a sitting president.

What is the significance of the OLC memo in the context of Trump's legal cases?

The OLC memo is significant as it establishes a long-standing policy that prevents the prosecution of a sitting president, ensuring they are not distracted from their duties. This policy has been consistently upheld.

Chapters
The discussion focuses on the practical and constitutional challenges of prosecuting Donald Trump in state cases while he is president, particularly in Manhattan and Georgia.
  • Judge Mershon could potentially sentence Trump to a fine in his individual capacity.
  • The OLC memo prohibits charging a sitting president, which influences the decision to proceed with trials or imprisonment.
  • There is a debate on whether state-level trials can proceed during a presidency, but both speakers agree it is highly unlikely.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Hey folks, Eli Honig here. As you may know, we recently launched a second weekly episode of the Cafe Insider podcast, where I'm joined by cafe contributors and other guests to tackle one major legal or policy issue in about 30 minutes.

This week, I'm joined by former U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan, Barb McQuaid, to discuss how Donald Trump's return to the White House will impact the rule of law from the Trump criminal cases to the Department of Justice to the Supreme Court and more.

If you're a member of Cafe Insider, head on over to the Insider feed and listen to our full conversation. Listeners of Stay Tuned with Preet remain here for an excerpt from our discussion. To become a member of Cafe Insider and for a limited time get 40% off your membership for the first year, head to cafe.com slash November. That's cafe.com slash November. Now, on to the show. ♪

So let's hit on the state prosecutions. Manhattan's a little complicated because there's all sorts of motions in the sentencing and the Georgia case. I want to talk quickly about the Manhattan sentencing, which is maybe approaching. But first things first, do you see any way constitutionally, practically, realistically that either of these cases can proceed against him, either with a trial or with a trial?

No, but I do think there's one thing that Judge Mershon could do, which is to conduct the sentencing in November, as it is currently scheduled, and choose a sentence of a fine because it's against Donald Trump in his individual capacity. The judge could do that.

There's nothing that says he can't be fined while he is a private citizen. And so I think that's a possibility. In terms of a custodial sentence, I don't think so. You know, the OLC memo, Office of Legal Counsel, part of the Department of Justice, which wrote that opinion about not being able to charge a sitting president. I know there are people who disagree with it. I actually happen to think it's right. But not only do I think it's right and fair,

as a matter of every DOJ component has to follow it as policy, but also the reasoning of it. And if a president is too distracted to defend himself in a criminal case and can't be charged while he is sitting,

then I certainly think he can't also be jailed while he is sitting. So I think the options are fine for now or sentence to time served, no custodial sentence, or defer the sentencing until 2029. How about you? Yeah, I agree with you on a couple of things. So there is a school of thought out there.

good friends of ours. I've had the conversation with Norm Eisen, who we both love. And Norm and I are good sounding boards for one another. And Norm was of the view, this is before the election happened, but we were war gaming this out. And Norm was going, you could still do a prosecution in the state while he's president. There's my Norm. Sorry, Norm. I've done that for you. And Norm was, you know, giving me this reading of the Nixon case and the Paula Jones case. I said, I mean, I'm sure you're right when it comes down to the parsing and the

your interpretation, but there's just no freaking way. There's just no way that we are going to have a state-level trial of the sitting president. So I agree with that. I also want to pick up on the point you made about the OLC memo, which is, I think, needs to get a little more attention. The OLC memo, I think, is

a major or an embodiment of the reason why there cannot be and will not be a prosecution of the sitting president. I actually agree with you. You know, it became very fatty or trendy, F-A-D-D-Y, I meant, but trendy to bash that policy during the Mueller years. And I'm sure I probably did. I'm sure I said, it's nuts. Why can't you charge the sitting president? I've turned around on that. I just think it does not work as a practical matter. And by the way,

for all the momentum that had gathered against that policy, it was never looked at for a second under the Biden-Garland administration. It certainly won't be looked at under the Trump administration. It's been on the books since 73. It was re-examined in 2000. They've come out the same way both times. We're going on 50 plus years and we just had a Democratic administration with more political wins behind its back to re-examine it than ever and they didn't even touch the thing. So like it or not, it just is. And I want to make one other point.

When people, you know, Donald Trump, I think foolishly and maybe worse than that, has said, I will fire Jack Smith literally within two minutes. He said, quote, within two minutes of taking office. And I think some people may take that and say, well, that's the reason Jack Smith's preparing to wind down. He knows he's going to get fired. That certainly would come to pass. But even if Donald Trump had said, no, I'm not going to do anything, I'm going to let him play it out.

I still think Jack Smith would be packing his boxes because of the OLC memo, because he would, I believe he would understand that he could not proceed with a trial and imprisonment of a sitting president. Do you, do you agree with that? Oh,

Oh, yeah. For the same reasons we just discussed with regard to the memo. And again, it isn't because there's a policy and DOJ says you can't do that. You know, in the law, there are these laws where there's something is illegal per se, malum in se, or illegal just because we say so, you know, like...

a regulation, a speed limit or something. Law school professor McQuaid coming out here. Yeah, a speed limit or something like that. It isn't just because some people agree that this is the rule. It's because it's what the Constitution requires. And the idea is the president, whether you love the guy or hate the guy, by virtue of his position, is...

So important and so essential to making sure that our country is functioning, that they can't be distracted by having to defend themselves while they are sitting as president. Now, before they're president, after they're president, that's a different matter. But I agree with you. I don't think there will be any trials during the presidency. Before we get there, though, we do have to sort through this Manhattan situation. So the current schedule is...

Thanks for listening. To listen to the full analysis and never miss future episodes of the podcast, become a member of Cafe Insider. For a limited time, get 40% off your membership for the first year by heading to cafe.com slash November. Thank you for supporting our work.

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