cover of episode Is there a sane way to follow this election?

Is there a sane way to follow this election?

2024/8/9
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Ezra Klein
一位深受欢迎的美国记者、政治分析师和《纽约时报》专栏作家，通过其《The Ezra Klein Show》podcast 探讨各种社会和政治问题。
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Paige
Topics
Paige: 关注总统大选不必全盘接收所有信息，可以合理地推迟一段时间再关注；本届大选新闻周期密集且混乱，让人焦虑；作者本人过度关注大选，影响了正常生活和对候选人论述的理解。 Ezra Klein: 作者对政治的关注始于911事件和哥哥的影响，关注的重点是政策而非竞选本身；作者不享受竞选过程的压力和不确定性，更关注政策制定过程；作者关注大选的方式取决于其工作目标，并非单纯为了了解大选本身；作者关注大选是为了寻找故事，理解事件并预测选举结果；作者关注大选的方式是根据工作需要有选择性地关注特定方面，例如候选人、党派内部动态和网络舆情；关注大选的关键在于明确自身目的，人们关注大选的原因往往并非他们自己认为的那样；人们刷新选举预测模型是为了获得确定感，而非模型本身旨在传达的不确定性；理解候选人的论述是有效关注大选的关键；候选人的公开演讲和著作比人们普遍认为的更有价值；公开声明比私下言论更能反映候选人的真实立场和意图；候选人的公开言论反映了其政治联盟和公众舆论；为了理解大选，应该完整地阅读和观看候选人的公开演讲和著作；不必逐条关注所有信息，关注候选人的公开言论和所属政党的立场即可；大选本身可能导致人们失去理性，但理性关注与情绪感受并不矛盾；社交媒体信息既包含真实信息，也存在偏差，需要理性看待；很多人关注政治如同爱好，而非为了影响结果或获取准确信息；关注大选的方式取决于个人目的，可以是获取信息、影响结果或单纯的爱好。

Deep Dive

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Ezra Klein discusses how to follow the presidential election without becoming overly anxious, suggesting that focusing on coherent arguments and public statements from candidates is more beneficial than constantly refreshing election models.

Shownotes Transcript

We are in an eighty-eight day sprint to the Presidential election. How would you follow this story if you wanted to actually understand something, instead of, like me, just feeling very anxious several times a day? We talk to Ezra Klein about how he follows elections and his own strange role in this election cycle.

If you'd like to check out some of Ezra's election coverage this year, here are some good places to start.

Democrats Have a Better Option than Biden) (February, 2024)

Are Democrats Right to Unite Around Kamala Harris?) (July, 2024)

Is Tim Walz the Midwestern Dad Democrats Need?) (August, 2024)

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