Trump is focusing on immigration because he believes it energizes his base and distracts from economic issues. He finds it easier to rally his supporters with controversial and emotional topics like immigration rather than discussing the economy, which is more complex and less engaging for his core audience.
The event was designed to create a memorable image of Trump as a regular guy who can relate to working-class Americans. It aimed to humanize him and counter the narrative that he is out of touch with ordinary people. However, it also generated criticism for being a shallow and insincere attempt to connect with voters.
Elon Musk's sweepstakes, which offers a million dollars to registered voters in swing states, is legally questionable because it could be seen as a form of voter bribery. Federal law prohibits paying or offering to pay someone to register to vote or to vote. The Department of Justice clarifies that this includes lottery chances or sweepstakes.
The Harris campaign is targeting Republican women and right-leaning independent women because a significant portion of these voters are dissatisfied with Trump but are not yet convinced to support Harris. Engaging these voters is crucial for closing the deal and securing their support in the final weeks of the campaign.
The early vote is not a reliable indicator because voting behavior has changed significantly in recent years, especially with the rise of mail-in voting and early voting. The influence of these changes, combined with the lack of historical data, makes it difficult to predict the final vote share on Election Day. Campaigns use early vote data for targeted outreach, but it is not predictive of the overall outcome.
The Harris campaign is using a 'vibes-based' analysis to gauge the race because it provides a sense of the candidate's momentum and the overall mood of the electorate. While polls are important, the campaign also relies on the energy and confidence of the candidate and the grassroots supporters, which can be a strong indicator of how the race is going.
Running on fumes with just two weeks to go, Trump raves about Arnold Palmer's genitalia and works the fryer at a McDonald's. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris campaigns across the battleground-state suburbs with Liz Cheney, and Barack Obama hits the trail for her in the Sun Belt. Then, Jon, Lovett, and Tommy discuss the legality of Elon Musk's million-dollar voter-registration giveaways, and Hawaii Senator Brian Schatz stops by to talk about the state of the race and what people can do to help.