cover of episode Harris Pollster: Trump Has No Momentum

Harris Pollster: Trump Has No Momentum

2024/10/27
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Key Insights

Why does David Binder not see momentum for Trump in the final weeks of the campaign?

Polling shows no significant shifts in battleground states; results are within margin of error.

What is the primary conflict keeping undecided voters from making a decision?

They recall a strong economy under Trump but have concerns about his character and divisiveness.

How does the Harris campaign plan to address undecided voters in the final days?

By emphasizing her commitment to improving lives and highlighting Trump's potential threats.

Why are Gen Z men a focus for the Harris campaign?

They are concerned about economic security and future opportunities, similar to other voters.

How does Ron Brownstein view the current state of the election?

It's a toss-up, with some movement toward Trump among non-white voters but not among white voters.

What demographic changes are impacting the 2024 election?

Non-college white voters are declining, while college whites and people of color are increasing.

Why are Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin key states for Harris?

They have seen significant counter-mobilization against Trumpism and demographic shifts favoring Democrats.

What is the main concern for Democrats regarding black and Latino men?

Potential erosion of support due to economic discontent and cultural issues.

What does Ron Brownstein suggest to watch for in the final days of the campaign?

The question of whether Trump poses a risk the country can't afford and the mobilization of anti-MAGA voters.

Chapters

David Binder discusses the lack of momentum for Trump in the final days of the campaign and the consistency in polling data.
  • No significant momentum for Trump observed.
  • Polling data shows consistency in battleground states.
  • No signs of a late break in favor of either candidate.

Shownotes Transcript

Kamala Harris’s lead pollster, David Binder, sits down with Dan Pfeiffer to explain how the the campaign is looking at undecided voters, Harris’s gains with Republican women, and why Gen Z men are in the spotlight. Then, The Atlantic’s Ron Brownstein dives into the big demographic shifts defining 2024, from widening gender gaps to key trends in swing states.

 

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