cover of episode Worst. Tariffs. Ever. (update)

Worst. Tariffs. Ever. (update)

2024/12/11
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Doug Irwin
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Sally Helm
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Doug Irwin: 认为斯姆特-霍利关税法案的失败在于其戏剧性的经济背景、有趣的人物名字以及意想不到的后果,并与当代经济形势具有极高的相关性,可以作为警示。同时,他认为特朗普关税政策也未能实现其目标,反而导致下游产业的就业岗位流失以及钢铁产业的复苏失败,并对与中国的关系没有改善,反而导致中国加倍努力发展其经济模式。 Kenny Malone & Sally Helm: 总结了斯姆特-霍利关税法案的历史背景、实施过程以及经济后果,并将其与特朗普政府的关税政策进行了比较,指出两者都可能导致下游效应、全球范围内的连锁反应以及其他国家的报复性关税。他们还分析了关税的成本最终由消费者承担,并引用了研究数据来支持这一观点。 Kenny Malone & Sally Helm: 详细阐述了斯姆特-霍利关税法案的制定背景、过程和结果,以及其对大萧条的影响。他们分析了关税的负面影响,包括下游效应、全球报复性关税以及对全球贸易的冲击。同时,他们还对比了特朗普政府的关税政策,指出其与斯姆特-霍利法案的相似之处,以及可能造成的类似问题。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Congress decide to delegate tariff power to the executive branch after the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs?

After the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs, Congress realized they had overstepped and made a mess of the tariff system. They decided to delegate tariff powers to the executive branch to prevent such widespread protectionism in the future.

What were the key industries that initially sought protection through tariffs in the Smoot-Hawley era?

The key industries initially seeking protection were wool and sugar, but the process quickly expanded to include hundreds of other industries, such as goldfish producers and buckwheat growers.

How did the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs impact global trade?

The Smoot-Hawley Tariffs led to a wave of protectionism worldwide, with countries imposing counter-tariffs on U.S. goods. Global trade fell by 26% in the years following the tariffs.

What was the economic impact of the Trump tariffs on American households?

The Trump tariffs, which were largely kept in place by the Biden administration, amounted to a $200 to $300 tax increase on average for American households, according to the Tax Foundation.

How did the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs influence the power of the U.S. president to set tariffs?

After the Smoot-Hawley debacle, Congress delegated tariff powers to the executive branch, giving the president more authority to set tariffs without congressional approval.

What were the unintended consequences of the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs for American egg producers?

American egg producers faced retaliation from Canada, which raised its tariff on eggs from 3 cents to 10 cents. This led to a significant drop in U.S. egg exports to Canada, from nearly a million dozen to just 13,000 dozen.

What is the current status of Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs under the Biden administration?

The Biden administration has largely kept Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs in place, and even increased tariffs on China further in 2024.

How did the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs affect the U.S. economy during the Great Depression?

While the Great Depression was caused by multiple factors, the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs exacerbated the economic downturn by reducing global trade and inviting retaliatory measures from other countries.

What is the main criticism economists have of tariffs like those proposed by Trump?

Economists argue that tariffs, even narrow ones, cause downstream effects, raising costs for consumers and industries that rely on imported goods, ultimately harming the economy.

How did the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs impact the political careers of Reed Smoot and Willis Hawley?

Both Reed Smoot and Willis Hawley were eventually voted out of Congress by their constituents, reflecting the unpopularity of the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs.

Chapters
This chapter explores the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, examining its historical context, the political factors that led to its passage, and the devastating economic consequences that followed. It highlights the role of logrolling and the unforeseen global repercussions of protectionist policies.
  • The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, passed in 1930, significantly worsened the Great Depression.
  • Logrolling in Congress led to a vast number of tariffs on various goods, many of which faced little foreign competition.
  • Economists widely opposed the act, predicting its negative impact, which proved accurate.
  • The act triggered retaliatory tariffs globally, shrinking international trade.
  • The act's failure led to Congress delegating tariff power to the executive branch.

Shownotes Transcript

The Smoot Hawley Tariffs were a debacle that helped plunge America into the Great Depression. What can we learn from them?Today on the show, we tell the nearly 100-year-old story of Smoot and Hawley, that explains why Congress decided to delegate tariff power to the executive branch in the first place. It's a story that weaves in wool, humble buckwheat, tiny little goldfish, and even Ferris Bueller... Anyone? Anyone?It's also what set the stage for the Trump tariffs. President-elect Donald Trump enacted a heap of import taxes in his first term, in particular on goods from China. President Biden's administration largely kept those tariffs in place, and levied new tariffs as well, on electric vehicles and solar panels.And now, as Trump's second presidency is on the horizon, he has promised even more tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and even on all imports across the board.And now, as Trump's second presidency is on the horizon, he has promised even more tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and even on all imports across the board.We update this classic episode about the Smoot Hawley Tariffs, and review the impact of more recent efforts from Trump and Biden alike.*Help support Planet Money by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts) or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney). You get bonus episodes!*Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)