cover of episode Is AI overrated or underrated?

Is AI overrated or underrated?

2024/9/11
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AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
D
Darian Woods
主持人和记者,专注于经济和金融新闻。
D
Daron Acemoglu
G
Greg Rosalsky
T
Tyler Cowen
Topics
Paul Daugherty: AI显著提高了现有产品和服务的生产力,例如帮助政府机构更高效地处理邮件,提高呼叫中心的效率,以及帮助保险公司更有效地评估风险,这些案例表明AI正在实际应用中创造价值。 Darian Woods: AI正在通过提高现有产品和服务的生产力来改变经济,例如处理政府邮件、改进客户服务和加速保险理赔流程,同时AI也正在创造全新的产品和服务,例如为儿童体育赛事生成报道,这预示着未来巨大的潜力。 Tyler Cowen: AI正在加速科学进步,例如在实验室寻找新材料、研发新抗生素和解决生物学难题,这将在未来显著提高生活水平,AI提供了一种前所未有的工具——智能,这将极大地促进创新和生产力。 Greg Rosalsky: 当前的AI技术被高估了,它类似于高级复印机,复制现有内容并将其伪装成原创作品,这引发了版权问题,同时AI缺乏判断力、是非观念和真伪辨别能力,经常出现错误和幻觉,使其不可靠,并限制了其在工作场所的应用,麦当劳的AI驱动的得来速系统失败的案例说明了AI在实际应用中的局限性,AI目前只能作为人类的工具,人类仍然需要检查和纠正AI的工作结果,这限制了其对生产力的提升。 Daron Acemoglu: AI对经济的影响在未来十年将非常有限,因为它无法胜任大部分经济活动,并且对现有工作的效率提升有限,AI的进步速度可能正在放缓,因为数据、微芯片和能源等方面的限制,人类的能力被低估了,AI目前还远不能替代人类的多方面技能。 Darian Woods: AI正在通过提高现有产品和服务的生产力来改变经济,例如处理政府邮件、改进客户服务和加速保险理赔流程。同时AI也正在创造全新的产品和服务,例如为儿童体育赛事生成报道,这预示着未来巨大的潜力。AI的经济效益需要时间来显现,因为需要改变现有的流程、规范和商业模式。 Tyler Cowen: AI正在加速科学进步,例如在实验室寻找新材料、研发新抗生素和解决生物学难题,这将在未来显著提高生活水平。AI提供了一种前所未有的工具——智能,这将极大地促进创新和生产力。 Greg Rosalsky: 当前的AI技术被高估了,它类似于高级复印机,复制现有内容并将其伪装成原创作品,这引发了版权问题。同时AI缺乏判断力、是非观念和真伪辨别能力,经常出现错误和幻觉,使其不可靠,并限制了其在工作场所的应用。麦当劳的AI驱动的得来速系统失败的案例说明了AI在实际应用中的局限性。AI目前只能作为人类的工具,人类仍然需要检查和纠正AI的工作结果,这限制了其对生产力的提升。 Daron Acemoglu: AI对经济的影响在未来十年将非常有限,因为它无法胜任大部分经济活动,并且对现有工作的效率提升有限。AI的进步速度可能正在放缓,因为数据、微芯片和能源等方面的限制。人类的能力被低估了,AI目前还远不能替代人类的多方面技能。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Darian Woods argues that generative AI will significantly impact the economy, citing examples like increased productivity in existing services (e.g., faster email processing, call center improvements) and the creation of entirely new products and services. He emphasizes AI's potential to accelerate scientific advancements and compares its transformative potential to the printing press. While acknowledging current limitations, he suggests that long-term adaptation of processes and norms will unlock AI's full potential.
  • AI-driven solutions improved productivity by over 30% in call centers and reduced response times in a European government agency.
  • AI is being used to develop new products, such as automated sports reporting for youth leagues.
  • Economist Tyler Cowen likens generative AI's impact to the printing press, predicting substantial long-term economic benefits.

Shownotes Transcript

Are the promises made by AI boosters all hype, or are we actually under-appreciating the transformative potential of AI?Can artificial intelligence make humans more productive, unlock hidden potential and remake work as we know it? Or, should it not even be called intelligence at all, artificial or otherwise.On today's episode, we take sides. Two reporters flip a coin to see who argues which point: is AI overrated or underrated? They bring research, real world examples, expert opinions and warm blooded human insight. You decide who makes the best case.If you're interested in learning more, check out Greg's article 10 reasons why AI is overrated). It includes all sorts of reporting we couldn't fit into the episode. And while you're there, subscribe to the Planet Money newsletter).*Today's episode was hosted by Darian Woods and Greg Rosalsky. These episodes of the Indicator were originally produced by Corey Bridges and they were edited by Paddy Hirsch. They were engineered by Valentina Rodríguez Sánchez and Neal Rauch and they were fact checked by Sierra Juarez. Kate Concannan is the Indicator's editor.Help support Planet Money and hear our bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts) or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney).*Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)