cover of episode A controversial idea at the heart of Bidenomics

A controversial idea at the heart of Bidenomics

2024/2/23
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Réka Juhász
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Réka Juhász教授探讨了工业政策的定义、争议以及拜登政府的巨额投资。她解释说,工业政策是指政府为了促进特定经济部门的增长而采取的干预措施,例如提供资金或设置贸易壁垒。长期以来,经济学家普遍反对工业政策,认为其效率低下且可能导致资源浪费。然而,近年来,包括美国在内的许多国家都开始采用工业政策。拜登政府计划投入数百亿美元用于工业政策,以支持微芯片制造和清洁能源等领域。 Juhász教授分析了支持和反对工业政策的论据。支持者认为,工业政策可以解决市场失灵问题,例如正外部性和协调性失败,这些问题会导致市场无法有效配置资源。反对者则认为,政府可能缺乏必要的信息来识别和解决市场失灵,并且容易受到政治影响,导致资金流向关系密切的企业而不是真正需要的地方。 Juhász教授还回顾了历史上的工业政策案例,例如东亚经济奇迹和拉丁美洲的经验。她指出,东亚一些国家通过工业政策实现了显著的经济增长,但其成功的原因和工业政策的作用存在争议。拉丁美洲国家则在工业政策方面取得了较为有限的成果。 为了更深入地了解工业政策的有效性,Juhász教授及其同事进行了一项研究,利用拿破仑战争期间法国的贸易保护主义政策作为自然实验。研究结果表明,受到更多贸易保护的法国地区在长期内发展得更好,这表明市场失灵是真实存在的,并且在某些情况下,工业政策可以解决这些问题。 最后,Juhász教授对拜登政府的工业政策进行了评论。她认为,拜登政府的政策旨在解决市场在绿色能源等领域的投资不足问题,但也面临着政治寻租等批评。她建议,成功的工业政策需要强大的官僚机构能力,以应对信息挑战和政治寻租风险,并且政府应该像风险投资一样,允许一定的失败率,关键在于及时退出失败的项目,避免继续投入资金。

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Réka Juhász is a professor of economics at the University of British Columbia, and she studies what's known as industrial policy. That's the general term for whenever the government tries to promote specific sectors of the economy. The idea is that they might be able to supercharge growth by giving money to certain kinds of businesses, or by putting up trade barriers to protect certain industries. Economists have long been against it. Industrial policy has been called a "taboo" subject, and "one of the most toxic phrases" in economics. The mainstream view has been that industrial policy is inefficient, even harmful. For a long time, politicians largely accepted that view. But in the past several years, countries have started to embrace industrial policy—most notably in the United States. Under President Biden, the U.S. is set to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on industrial policy, to fund things like microchip manufacturing and clean energy projects. It's one of the most ambitious tests of industrial policy in U.S. history. And the billion dollar question is ... will it work? On today's show, Réka takes us on a fun, nerdy journey to explain the theory behind industrial policy, why it's so controversial, and where President Biden's big experiment might be headed.*Help support Planet Money and get bonus episodes by subscribing to Planet Money+ in Apple Podcasts) or at plus.npr.org/planetmoney).*Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)