cover of episode Housing: Locked In, Locked Out, Locked Up

Housing: Locked In, Locked Out, Locked Up

2024/11/13
logo of podcast Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Chapters

The discussion focuses on the factors contributing to the recent increase in mortgage rates, including the resilience of the economy, consumer behavior, and the Fed's monetary policy.
  • Resilient economy and consumer behavior are pushing rates higher.
  • Markets are anticipating a Trump re-election, which could lead to inflationary policies.
  • The spread between mortgage rates and treasury yields is widening due to reduced Fed intervention.

Shownotes Transcript

Chris Avallone, Head of Merchant Banking at Amherst, joins the Inside Economics crew to discuss the housing market.  The group examines the "lock-in" effect keeping existing homeowners in their homes and the "lock-out" effect preventing aspiring homebuyers from realizing their dreams.  Chris describes a playbook that local governments could use to address zoning and free up the "locked up" housing market.  After a quick stats game, Mark polls the group for their forecasts for when and how the housing market will normalize. 

The recording of this podcast took place before the results of the 2024 election.

For Cris's paper on the Housing Deficit and Housing Affordability click here)

Guest: Chris Avallone, Head of Merchant Banking at The Amherst Group)

Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics, and Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody’s Analytics

Follow Mark Zandi on 'X' @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn