cover of episode #834 - Lyman Stone - Why Is Everyone Having Fewer Children?

#834 - Lyman Stone - Why Is Everyone Having Fewer Children?

2024/9/5
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Chris Willx
通过《Modern Wisdom》播客和多个社交媒体平台，分享个人发展、生产力和成功策略。
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Lyman Stone
Topics
Lyman Stone: 全球生育率下降是一个复杂的问题，并非仅仅由经济因素决定。历史上，高死亡率导致人们生育更多子女以确保一定数量的子女存活。现代社会，儿童死亡率极低，但生育率仍然下降，这与人们对养育子女的预期成本上升有关。人们对子女教育、生活水平等方面的期望提高，增加了养育成本，导致生育意愿下降。此外，文化因素也起着重要作用，例如对育儿方式的关注度上升，以及育儿方式外包的减少。普遍基本收入 (UBI) 的实验表明，直接发放现金并不能有效改善贫困人口的生活状况，解决贫困问题需要有针对性的干预措施。有条件的现金转移支付，例如儿童津贴，可能比 UBI 更有效。 Chris Willx: 探讨了美国近几年的生育率下降趋势，以及历史上生育率的变化。提出了人们对养育子女成本高昂的感受，以及这种感受与实际情况之间的差异。讨论了普遍基本收入 (UBI) 的实验结果，以及其对改善贫困人口生活状况的无效性。探讨了政治极化对生育率的影响，以及人们对生育的预期与实际情况之间的差距。提出了对未来生育率走势的预测，以及低生育率社会可能面临的挑战。

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Global birth rates are declining, raising concerns about the future. This decline is a complex issue with various contributing factors.
  • Birth rates have fallen from 2.1 in 2007 to 1.6 today.
  • Historically, women had more babies, but child and maternal mortality rates were significantly higher.
  • Improved living standards and reduced mortality rates are not the sole drivers of declining birth rates.

Shownotes Transcript

Lyman Stone is a demographer, researcher, and a writer.

It wasn't long ago that everyone was worried about the population bomb and within a few short decades global birth rates are now declining. What's going on? What is driving such a rapid change in the number of children people are having and should we do anything about it?

Expect to learn the best explanations for why birth rates are declining, whether declining birthrates are downstream from declining marriage rates, what winning the lottery does to marriages for both men and women, Lyman's controversial perspective on the impact of sperm count and testosterone levels on fertility and much more….

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