cover of episode #778 - Annie Jacobsen - Just How Likely Is A Global Nuclear War?

#778 - Annie Jacobsen - Just How Likely Is A Global Nuclear War?

2024/5/2
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Annie Jacobson: 本书详细阐述了全球核战争的可能性及后果,从核武器数量、发射流程、目标选择、不同类型核武器的威力,到核冬天等方面进行了深入探讨。她采访了众多专家,包括前国防部长、核武器设计师等,并引用了大量官方文件和数据,力求客观、全面地展现这一严峻的现实。她认为,误判、误算或“疯子”情景都可能导致意外的核战争,而朝鲜等国家的不透明和不遵守规则的行为更是增加了风险。 她详细描述了核武器发射后的步骤,从卫星探测到总统决策,再到反击行动,以及可能的目标城市和造成的破坏。她强调,一旦发射,核弹无法召回,拦截的成功率也极低。她还解释了不同类型核武器的威力差异,以及地面爆炸和空中爆炸造成的不同后果。 最后,她探讨了核冬天这一灾难性后果,并引用了气候模型的预测数据,指出核战争可能导致全球气温下降,农业歉收,数十亿人死亡。她认为,沟通和减少核武器数量是降低核战争风险的关键。 Chris: 作为主持人,Chris 与 Annie Jacobson 就核战争的可能性、后果以及相关的政策问题进行了深入探讨。他提出了许多关键问题,例如核武器数量的准确性、不同国家核武器部署方式、误判的可能性、核武器发射后的步骤、拦截的可能性、主要打击目标以及核冬天等。通过与 Annie Jacobson 的对话,Chris 帮助听众更好地理解了核战争的复杂性和潜在的灾难性后果,并引发了对相关政策和国际合作的思考。

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Annie Jacobsen is a journalist, investigative reporter and an author.

The threat of nuclear war has loomed for over half a century now. But the question remains - just how close to nuclear armageddon are we and what would happen if the world went into a nuclear war.

Expect to learn how many nukes there are in the world right now, the most likely steps to an accidental nuclear war, what happens when a country fires the first nuke, which cities are the most likely targets of a nuclear strike, what the most powerful bomb in history was, how many people would die in a nuclear war between the US and Russia, how likely a nuclear war is in our future and much more...

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