2024 Masters DraftKings Picks with Coby DuBose
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Try it for a week. It's a phenomenal week to join. I promise you will not be disappointed on Masters Week. All right, coming up on this podcast, another annual tradition, myself, Kobe DeBose, part-time criminal defense attorney, part-time professional high-stakes DFS player. If this is your first time joining, I know we have a lot of first-time listeners this week, which I'm incredibly grateful for.

We break down the entire DFS slate from top to bottom. Kobe is in Augusta as well. We'll be hanging out all day there tomorrow. So it should be a fun one. Final reminder as well to leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts. Leave your Twitter handle there.

or email to be entered into the draw to get you a bunch of master swag. I'm going to start running through those tomorrow, give you an extra night to do it. Just make sure you leave the email or Twitter handle. So I know how to contact you. Okay. I appreciate the reviews. Um,

but I need to know how to get in touch with you so I can get you the gear. Okay. Without further ado, let's bring on Kobe. All right. Kobe DuBose is here. A little inside golf podcast after dark here. We're recording this at about 1045 Eastern time. We're both in Augusta, Georgia. A little bit of a hectic travel day for both of us. Glad to have you in town, man. How are your travels today?

Pretty good. We had about an hour delay getting out of Houston, had a little bit of weather, and then a little bit longer drive than I thought from Atlanta. Not exactly quick, but that's okay. We're here. We're here at the finest Sheraton that Augusta has to offer. They've got a bar downstairs and a shuttle to the golf course, and we're good. We're happy to be here.

Yeah, I did the Atlanta drive today. It's a good, it's a good two hour 20. We left at about 11 AM. Yeah. I mean, there's some traffic. Once you get, we are staying very close to the golf course. And I got to say as well, it's such a bummer that this wasn't a tournament day because it was gorgeous today. I mean, 75 and sunny all day.

Just absolutely beautiful out. And from what I've seen and heard at the course, really fun day for practice rounds. And unfortunately,

We'll talk about the weather because I think it's going to play a relative role this week. It looks like some rain on Wednesday evening is going to undo a lot of the firmness and the bounciness that the great weather and lack of rain that the area has gotten in the weeks leading in. Unfortunately, it looks like we're getting freaking dumped on on Wednesday night.

Yeah, not good. I'm worried about Wednesday night. I'm a little worried about Thursday. I mean, it is what it is. It feels like every masters. I wish we could just see this place one time, like as firm and as just rainless as can be, but we're not going to get it. Not ever. Did you see the Xander quotes? He was taught as Xander was talking to the media today about, you know, his, his five irons were ricocheting off the greens and this was as bouncy as he's ever seen it. And,

A couple people are like, oh, we're in store for a good one. And I thought, man, just check out the weather forecast for Wednesday night. The problem with the Wednesday night rain is...

You can't run the sub air system when it's raining. So like Wednesday night rain is actually the worst case scenario. Wednesday night rain, you're guaranteeing yourself a wet golf course on Thursday. And it looks like the rain is going to continue into Thursday morning. So the tournament may not even start on Thursday morning. The course may dry out Friday and it's supposed to be beautiful over the weekend. Like Saturday and Sunday are still supposed to be wonderful, but

But it's going to be wet and soggy and windy on Thursday. And I can't really guarantee how much golf we're going to see. I mean, does the fact that we're at least going to see some wetness, uh,

one of the days, even if it dries out a little bit over the weekend, does that change anything for you? Does that, does that feel you watching Rory congressional 2012 highlights like me? I feel like, I feel like we see Augusta all the time. What, you know, it just kind of,

I feel like it's kind of baked into our masters data and our numbers because we usually just get a little bit of rain. It's well out here. Yeah. Rory on a soft golf course. I mean, even LACC,

for all of its potential bounciness was kind of soft because of the Marine layer. He played well there and, you know, ideally it would, it would play out well for him. I guess we'll see. The only problem that we run into right now is we don't know what the tee times are going to be. Right. So we don't know. It's kind of the only thing about doing this on Monday is that it's hard to say exactly how that'll play out for any individual player. Cause it's hard to time it up and we don't even know who's in what wave, but although they don't really have waves here in the traditional sense, but,

So take what we're going to say about the players a little bit with a grain of salt, because I, again, I know we don't have the traditional staggered tee times, but let's just operate in a world where, um, you have like a, a slight PM AM AM PM wave, um,

What I'm seeing with the weather right now could be like a generational wave split because it's supposed to pour on Thursday morning and be like, not poor, like could be playable. So there's a possibility that guys are morning Thursday guys are playing through the rain and wind on Thursday morning. And then the guys in the PM Thursday wave are

are going to get a softer golf course with a little bit less wind and no rain. And then again, on Friday, you're going to get a crazy amount of wind on Friday afternoon. So there's a chance that the AM PM guys may get the worst conditions of both waves. But if we get any form of delay, then that could flip entirely on its head. Yeah, a hundred percent. It's a little bit like the players, what three years ago, whenever it was just kind of

all the best laid plans and all of a sudden you get a three hour rain delay and now it's, it's reversed. But I will say, I think after last year's weather mess, uh,

I think the Masters wants desperately to play it just on schedule. Yeah. They will if they can. And they played through some rain and some wetness last year. I mean, what stopped the tournament last year was lightning and fucking trees falling, you know, big lightning storms. So I think they'll play through some rain here. This is Georgia. It's a little bit when we have these Florida conversations. The weather in Georgia is always subject to rain.

Kind of flip on a dime. Thunderstorms this time of year in this part of the world, they pop up. I don't know that we're going to get all day rain on Thursday, but we'll see. Let's dive into the slate. We get a lot of guys to talk about. Let's start with the 10K range. Scotty Schaffler, 12-1. Jon Rahm, 11-2. Rory, 10-8.

Brooks tend to Wyndham Clark 10. We're going to do what we do every year for this podcast. We're going to do favorite least favorite from each range. We're going to give some takes. We're going to be wrong about some guys. We're not going to straddle the fence. There are going to be guys I'm kind of in the middle on, but there are some guys are going to tell you that I don't think are going to play well at all. Maybe a few of them play well, but

But I'm ready to fire up the take machine, man. I've been locked in a hotel room all weekend in Atlanta, pouring over live data. I'm fired up, man. So kick us off with the 10K range. Talk me through what you're feeling. So I think Rory is going to be super duper duper highly owned, which bothers me. When you say that, put a number to it.

Well, it depends which contest we're talking about. This is a weird week because the MillieMaker is 10 bucks. But let's just call it the $10 contest or your traditional big contest. I think Rory can- I think we should, I think by the way, we should place everything in the context of the $10 MillieMaker and then we can mix in some like high stakes chatter. But I would imagine that most listeners are thinking about the $10 Millie. No, I think so too. I think Rory comes in

low to mid 20s am i cool i've got him i just ran ownership before we went hot it's a monday night i've got him 18 5 yeah and i think that continues to catch steam as the week goes along

Well, you know, it's wave dependent. I think as people get sort of wind of a softer golf course, I think you're going to see Rory at 20. I still think Shuffler is going to be the highest on. I think Rom ends up getting squeezed. And with that said, I am a John Rom truther this week. Me too. I like Rom. I like Rory too. I'm going to play a lot of Rory. My least favorite is Brooks.

You know, that's dangerous. That's risky and dangerous. I mean, the reasons he could kill you, right? I mean, he could come out and kill you. I think people play up a little bit too much that Brooks comes out of nowhere and doesn't, doesn't ever play well before majors and then does. I don't think that's really true. I think it's not. I mean, it's not, it's statistically not true. He flashes for it.

He does. He's not been doing that. Could he come out and play great? Yes, sure. Of course he could. But if he's going to be catching a lot of ownership, which he's going to, because he's a pretty easy fit at his price, I think I'll be off of Brooks. And if it kills me, it kills me. But you can't play them all.

Just not going to talk about Scotty Scheffler? Well, it's clear I'm not playing Scotty Scheffler at $12,000 and 30% ownership. Okay, well, let's have the conversation because I'm a lot higher on Scheffler than you are. First of all, I thought that there was going to be a universe where...

Scotty Scheffler 12.1 was 40%. I think there's a universe where Scotty Scheffler 12.1 is 25%. And I will tell you why. First of all, we'll get to Xander. The Xander steam is at a point that I am just genuinely befuddled by, especially like

All the heard from so many of these people tell me that this guy's a born loser, but the Xander 9.9 thing. I mean, he's down, he's down to 14 to one in the betting markets. A lot of Xander has captured the, the rare combo this year of like,

the legacy media pick and the betting and DFS pack. Like he's, he's both this year. Um, which again is really odd because I was, I was told quite a few things about Xander over the years that makes me a little confused as to why we're just penciling him in now to win the masters. I understand he fits all of the trends, but the reason why I think shuffler is going to be

I have him at 27.5 right now. The reason why I think Shuffler is going to be sub 30 is because, you know, I started saying to myself, okay, what is everyone going to want to do? Scotty Zander Saheth, right? That doesn't, that doesn't work like at all, to be honest with you. I mean, some people might still do it, but you are asking for four of sixes. I think when you start building, I mean, even like even Shuffler, uh,

Spieth, even Scheffler, Hideki, who's going to be tremendously popular. The thing with the masters is, and you know, this, this speaks to larger, just like strategy at the masters. You want to build pretty balanced, man, because you know, I just like Scheffler, uh,

Zander Sahith lives you 6.7. You want to spend 6.7 on three golfers, even Zander speed, even, or even Scotty speed, even Scotty Hideki, like those lineups just feel like four of sixes. And so with how much confidence there is in Zander, I feel like there is a lot of people starting to talk themselves into, wow, I could build way more, way better lineups.

with Xander as my first man in, or even a second man into Brooks, then I can starting with the 12.1 Shuffler. Yeah, I think that's right. You're not wrong about this. I think Brooks Xander is going to be very popular. Um, I think Rory Xander is going to be very, very popular. Um, by the way, Xander Spieth is going to be very popular. Xander Hideki is going to be very popular. Xander Spieth Hideki is going to be very popular. Um,

100%. I think you're going to see a lot of people start

Well, I thought at a time you were going to see Xander Neiman lineups, but I don't know. I think people still have a hard time with some of the lesser lived guys, but I think you're going to see a lot of Xander Hideki moving down and playing Shane Lowry, particularly if the weather is going to be messy. That's going to be a common start. Then dumping down and grabbing Siwu or Henley, right? I mean, I think you're just going to see. Siwu, Henley, Connor, Saheth. Yeah, you nailed it. Like those are the guys. Yeah.

There it is. Like there's the bill. There's the one that's going to be duped 6,000 times in that small contest.

So I think you could be right. I do think Scottie's like a security blanket for a lot of people, though. I think there's so much around Scottie. You got Brandel Chambly saying he can win by 10, right? And there's just, if he's shown us anything, it's like people believe in the whole, let's just take him as the free square and figure out the other five thing. So I do still think Scottie's going to carry a lot of ownership. But I could see Xander's going to be the highest home player on the slate. And I don't think it's going to be close.

And maybe, well, Xander and Hideki, they'll compete for highest on. Yeah. I think it's going to be really close with Xander, Scheffler, and Hideki. Like right now, I do have Scheffler above Xander. Right now, I have Scottie 27.5, Xander 25.5, which is a lot at the Masters because it's pretty spread out with the pricing, and Hideki at 23.

And then you start, I mean, there's other guys in the nines that aren't going to be, can I give you the bro Sheffler case of like, yeah, first of all, I think that I'm pretty comfortable with like Sheffler cam young lineups. I think there's a way to build some really good Sheffler lineups with like cam young or Tony Finau as your second man in.

And that leaves you with a lot more room to spare. You're still going to have to nail the mid to high sevens. And I think the mid to high sevens is the most important range in this tournament in terms of like, particularly with guys wanting to jam in all of their guys at the nines in the nines and your shufflers, you're going to have to get it right in these, in these mid sevens. And the other thing was shuffler. The other thing was shuffler too, outside of the fact that I'm comfortable in my shuffle or lineups is,

fading everybody else and going straight to cam young. I'm not like walking shuffle or anything this week. I think I'm waiting towards a situation where I maybe play 50% shuffler and then 50% ROM or Rory. I think I'm going to fade Xander, but the other thing with shuffle, man, I'm not breaking any news here. I just like, I spent all weekend diving into this stuff. I got to say, I like, I, I think the floor is it's,

I'd be pretty shocked if he's not there, Kobe. I got, I gotta be honest with you. And I, I, we both faded him at Houston that worked out really well for me. I know because I nailed everything else correctly. Um,

And part of the reason why I had so much success at Houston Kobe was because I had lineups where like Akshay was my fifth man in, and you obviously cannot do that building with Scheffler. It's the point that gets lost is like what I know you feel safe with Scheffler, but what does Scheffler do to the rest of your lineups? I still walked away from that week, man. Like,

I dodged a fricking bullet and not one moment of that was uncomfortable. And in terms of the range of outcomes with Shuffler, I think, you know, he finished 10th last year, losing four strokes, putting that's the bottom to me.

Top is he wins by like five, dude. Yeah, I get that. We talked about this a little bit last year. It's like, what's the path to Scheffler not winning? I've heard some people talk like, oh, Rahm won last year and he was the best player in the world. No, no, no, no, no, no. Scottie was the favorite coming into this tournament. He was...

He was the firecracker. He only realized that Rahm was going to be a freight train when he won this tournament. He was not that popular last year. He slid a little bit. No, we caught him at... He slid in the betting markets and we caught him at lower ownership too. Right. So that's just a misnomer. But I think the argument and the question about

Scotty and how did he how would he not win I remember we had this conversation and it was well he keeps hitting it at 15 feet and misses a bunch of putts and finishes t16 kind of happened except he finished t10 you know I it's tough fading we talk about this all the time I've said this probably a million times on various podcasts I do and do the problem with fading Scotty is that you you

There's just not any miscut equity. Like what you're not, the upside of fading him is not as strong as it is with other guys. They could just totally blow it. The best you're hoping for is to have him kind of, you know, not make a ton of birdies and just kind of hold, hold down lineups that way. Finish T12 as a boat anchor and just kind of have a, a par kind of tournament. The one thing I would say, I'm not wild about Scotty and tough conditions. Maybe that's unfair, but I don't,

I don't know. I don't view Scotty as a huge soft, soft hurts Scotty. I think firm and fast helps him. So it's wetter that hurts Scotty. I think. Yeah. It's just not, I don't know. I can't think of a lot of examples where Scotty's,

like winning in just sort of bad conditions. I mean, he was good at Oak Hill. Like I was there that I was there that day in the rain. He was, he was good that day at Oak Hill. In his khaki. What did he finish? He finished second in that tournament. Although that was a weird second. It was like a, a strange, a strange. Yeah, it wasn't. That was more of a Brooks Hovland for sure. Sure. But, but he was good. I remember him that day in the rain.

Well, you know, I'm going to have some choices to make. I don't, I could see a scenario where in the higher stakes, Scotty comes out a little bit lower than I think. Well, I just see, I see so many people, like, I think the highest stakes have become a little bit more ownership sensitive.

sensitive when it comes to how people build. Somebody called a ton of steam last week. I've seen a lot more 60% and 70% guys that I just missed on because everybody decides those are going to be the low-owned guys and they just own them. Well, I think Xander too in high stakes because high stakes is a lot of Vegas stuff too. Xander's gone from 20% to 14%. He's 13% to 15%. Him and Rahm have the same odds now at Circa.

which is he's a, he's minus one 10 against Rory. Like he's a slight favorite over ROM, like Xander to the moon in high stakes. I think, I think Xander is 50 to 60% owned in the two, two, two, two, which is, I mean that, like, that's a real thing. I think he's just going to be a staple in every lineup and people are going to build various ways around him. Um, what you can do at his price, right? You can go a lot of different ways, but I think,

But I think the Scottie decision is going to be an interesting one. I mean, I see a path to fading Scottie and still succeeding just because it allows you to do so much with your lineups. But I'll be understanding that if I fade Scottie, what I'm banking on is that I'm able to build some absolute Howard serves. The only thing that I come back to my experience two years ago when I won

I don't know, 200 grand at this tournament. Scotty won in a runaway. I did not have Scotty. I did not...

I did not have Cam Smith in this tournament either. I had Rory and Morikawa. They went nuts on Sunday. I was able to build such a nice balanced lineup with Rory and Morikawa, and I had Henley, and I had Fleetwood, and I had all these guys. And I ended up coming third in the 8-8-8-8, and I made $180,000 without the winner, without Scotty, because I was able to build a really good 6-6. And I think a lot of people think of the Masters as like a no-cut type deal where, oh, it'll be easy to get a 6-6. No, I mean, you're going to see –

I mean, this is like a 15% six to six percentage this week. So six to six is still going to be difficult and it's still going to be very, very important. And my experience from two years ago makes me think, well, I didn't even need Scotty. I didn't even need the winner because I was able to build such a juggernaut where I had guy finishing second, fourth, 11th, 12th, 15th and 18th. And I nearly took him down. So, you

you know, that, that has to play a role in it too, when it comes to constructing lineups. Yeah, I, I, I entirely agree. I mean, it, it works both ways, man. Like last week at Valero, uh,

Every single guy in my core was in the top 15. Like I had the nuts at Valero and I didn't win a goddamn thing because I had zero Akshay and zero Denny. So all of my Rory, Brendan, Todd, Russell Henley, Keith Mitchell lineups. And I don't think Scotty's going to run away with this by nine, but I think he's the only player in the field that can, I think that's the high range of outcomes for him. We both love Rory. I don't,

If Rory wins, it's not going to be Rory at Kiowa at this stage of his career. I think Rory can win and is going to win. But Scottie is the only guy in this field that I legitimately see him winning by five, six strokes in the range of outcomes. Can I say one thing on Rom quick? You know, I...

Brian and Kyle and Natalie make this joke with me all the time about like my two favorite phrases are the pendulum has swung too far. And there's a lot of meat on that bone. I say that like two X per podcast. And I'm going to say the pendulum has swung too far a couple of times on this podcast. Cause I think there are a couple opportunities on guys based on narratives affecting ownership. Listen, you know, ROM goes to live.

And all he does on live, I'm diving into these live stats all weekend. All the guy does on live every single week is finish between third and eighth. Whatever you want to say about strength of field, there's still some players. The way he's driving the ball on live right now,

He's like at worst the third best driver of the ball in the world. He's the defending Masters champion. He won three times on the PGA Tour last year, heading into last year's Masters way more than Scottie.

And he is an afterthought in the best player in the world conversation. Like he is a total and a little bit of that is reaping what you're selling, going to live and the irrelevance of that. But like the gap between these two and in people's minds has swung way too far in the other direction about like how close these guys are in terms of their skill levels, their resumes, who they are at golf as golfers.

Um, ROM's ability at Augusta, he's like the number one player in average strokes game per round at Augusta. And,

I'm sure that you could frame this as a negative too, but like ROM kind of has bulletin board material this week. Like what does Scotty have to prove? Like Scotty's been crowned all season. ROM is defending like one of the most wild career decisions in the history of sports. And people are, Faldo's out here saying like all the guy's doing is playing resort courses. Like,

Okay. You want to give ROM bulletin board material? Like it just feels a little, it feels like we're waking a, this guy's kind of a sleeping giant. And the, the only case against ROM is that defending champions don't repeat. That's it. He's playing unbelievable right now. Yeah. The thing I like about ROM and Augusta, he,

His game is suited very well for the hardest holes out here, right? Like he can play well enough to make his birdies on two and eight, plays 13 well, plays 15 great.

But what separates him is that he can turn 14 and 17 and 18 into birdie holes just because he hits that fucking just hard, low. If you watched last year and it was like, will he ever give any back in this tournament? The answer was no, because he'd step up on 14, that tight fairway, and he'd just blister one, you know, that little 10-yard cut.

And I think he turns a lot of the harder holes that are tough for guys like Rory into birdie opportunities. And then he does a good job of taking advantage of the holes where, you know, he probably would rather hit a draw, you know, on number two, he plays that whole grade, even though he's not hitting the big slingshot draw around the corner.

So I like him here. He still does everything you need to do well at Augusta. He drives it well. Great long iron player. Short game. He's got an amazing short game, man. Like he's got amazing hands and touch around the green. He always chips well at Augusta. Yeah. Great putter. Great putter. He does everything well here. I think he's kind of getting lost in the shuffle. Give me all the ROM. I'll just, like you said, I mean, he comes in here with,

with a little bit of a, some anger chip on his shoulder, whatever. You know, the one thing I did here, Rom, I've heard people talk about how Rom's kind of a control freak and he probably would have rather had prepared for the masters in a different way and so forth. How much of that's true? I don't, you know, it could be like, I hear that argument.

Sure, I do too. But he's also had plenty of time to get up here and prepare. You know, this is his what? Seventh, fifth, sixth, seventh Masters. I mean, he's, I trust that Jon Rahm's got a team and a plan, you know, around him to

to prepare for the Masters properly. And I think he's going to get absolutely squeezed. I just don't think there's anybody in the world who's going to say, oh, no, no, I'm not going to play Scotty Scheffler because he's too expensive. Let me dip down here and play John Rahm. Like, who's doing that? Yeah. That's not possible.

We're going down to Brooks because if you're comfortable playing a live guy, then you've got Terminator here, Brooks, much cheaper. I think Rom's going to play better than Brooks this week. I don't know if that's a hot take. I know he has better odds, but I think a lot of people are more in on Brooks, at least on Twitter, than they are on Rom, and I disagree with that. There's not been a lot of chatter on Rom. He's like the forgotten man this week. Coley was on him. Coley tipped him today. Which?

Well, he was kind of the forgotten man last year too, though. I mean, we both had that Rory spot. Yeah. Yeah. 50 grand I made last year on Rom. So, you know, I'm there with Rom. It'll be Rom and Rory for me. Yeah. I think it might be Rom and Shuffler for me in 50% of each lineups. And I just...

I don't know. I mean, I just have so much Rory already. I may just play ROM ahead of him in DFS. Can we have the, do you want to have a little bit of the Rory conversation now, or do you want to sweep back to that at the end? I have one quick thing I want to say on Brooks and one quick thing I want to say on Wyndham too. Do you want to do the whole Rory thing now or at the end? How about both? Okay. Well then let me get this Brooks thing out of the way quickly. A couple of points on Brooks.

I respect him. I'm afraid of him. I said on my podcast, my betting preview podcast that I did, like if you're just taking a subjectivity out of it and you're just saying like, what is the most sensible card? I Brooks 20 Hideki 25. Like that just makes the most sense to me on paper. It's interesting. Why isn't that going down? Like why are Brooks is getting boosted everywhere. Like twenties are available everywhere.

all over the place. Like the number that's getting murdered is Xander. Like Xander's getting hit like crazy. And Brooks twenties, Fandle popped a 22 on Brooks. It's almost like they're, they're begging you to, they're begging you to bet Brooks, which is, um, you know, wouldn't be the first time the sports books got something wrong. But I found that, uh,

a little interesting. And, and I watched live, um, this weekend. I know he made a putter change. His problems at Doral were not the putter Brooks, Brooks, like hit the ball really poorly. And you could say it's Brooks before majors who cares. Well, okay. I went back and looked at a little bit of that stuff too. Like his live numbers, I'm kicking myself for not seeing this, uh,

he was hitting the ball amazing heading into last year's masters. He was playing great heading into Oak Hill last year. The one mistake I made this year was I'm going to pay attention to live heading in and the Brooks heading into last year masters and the Brooks heading into last year. Oak Hill is not the Brooks that we're seeing this year. It doesn't mean he can't win, but I think it's notable. Yeah. I'm with you on that. I mean, I think Brooks, he's just an enigma. I don't know what's driving the lack of popularity. People love generally betting him at,

at majors. Um, but I think it's hard to ignore, uh, just how people are, people are betting him, Kobe, like everybody's people are touting him. Like people are like Brooks, 20 to one, it's getting action. The numbers, the numbers not moving though. I don't, I feel like if that were true, he's, he's moved at circa from like 18 to one to 22 to one. And I don't,

So the question is... So Kobe, Twitter heads that aren't betting real money are touting Brooks, but he's not getting big money. Yeah, I don't think people who bet significant money or the people who are respected to move lines, I don't think those people are betting Brooks, which is a little bit surprising. Those guys are betting Xander. Well, those people normally...

Bet Brooks is one of, I guess I am one of those people. I don't normally bet, but a lot of the people who move lines in Vegas bet Brooks often at these events. But, you know, those folks are also savvy and they can see what's going on with Brooks. I think he, Brooks to me, particularly from a DFS perspective has, you

A lot of, of the top guys, he has a lot of miscut equity. Like he has a lot of check hit it like shit equity, the kind of stuff that Scotty doesn't have. Right. So the reason I'll fade Brooks, because I think there is a,

a huge world in which he just totally checks out and misses this cut or finishes, you know, T48. So that's where I stand on him. Quick take on Wyndham. I actually was looking at three to one on Wyndham to miss the cut. And I'm going to tell you why. I know it's a little bold given the way that he's playing. I was looking at the picture of the tee shot with the new tee on two. And I know that the,

the old adage of you have to hit a draw at Augusta has been broken with guys like Rom and Brooks hitting that clean, you know, tight cut at Augusta over the years and having so much success.

I don't think Wyndham can hit the fairway with his ball flight on the second hole. I think 13 is going to be a wildly uncomfortable tee shot for him too, based on the way that he likes to cut the ball with that big, giant, high, sweepy fade. So I know that we've seen Rahm and Brooks

when at Augusta with cuts, those guys are not winning. I guess to play well to guess with cuts, those guys hit like really tight cuts. Wyndham hits it like really high and sweepy and spinny. And I think because he's such a good putter and a good long iron player that he will figure out Augusta over time. I, but I think there's a universe where he shows up here and is like,

God, this hole doesn't look good. Like, this hole doesn't look good. I don't like the sight line on this hole. Yeah, well, and he's been horrible at the Gen... Well, I don't want to say horrible. He's not been good at the Genesis. I don't like the comp there. I think...

Honestly, there's just a lot that can go wrong for him. You're right about some of the high leverage holes where he's going to have kind of a hard time with his ball flight. I mean, two being one of them, eight being another one, depending on what kind of win they're going to get. He's going to,

13 is going to be a challenge. 14 is going to be very tough for him. 17 and even 18. 18. I was about to say 18 too. Don't you feel like he's in the right bunker on 18, like eight times out of 10. Yeah. These are really, really, really tight driving windows. And I think he succeeds at places where he can just shape it and move it. And, you know, I mean, LACC was the perfect golf course for him because he was anywhere. So I think you're,

I think you're right that over time he'll figure it out. But I don't know that this is that time. He's not – he's playing fine.

I mean, he wasn't great in Houston. I followed him a little bit. The iron plate was scruffy. The around the game has been a little bit messy here for a while. I just think there's a lot of room for Wyndham to play poorly here. Yeah, I don't want people to think we're saying that Augusta doesn't have width and isn't a big ballpark. I understand that. I'm talking about the fact that there's a couple key tee shots, a couple key high leverage shots that I think don't work for him.

like two and 13 are such high leverage holes because par five scoring is so essential here. I just don't think those holes. If you hit bad tee shots on those. Yeah. I don't think those holes suit as I,

These are three or four shot swings potentially between clipping a tree on two versus the guy who's making birdie or Eagle. It just, that's tough. Whereas LACC had so many more of those holes where it was advantageous to a cop. Like you think about eight and anyway, okay, we're not going to spend, like, we're not going to talk about every player going forward, but nine's favorite, least favorite, fascinating range here, my friend. Yeah.

Oh, the nines favorite and least favorite. I don't like anybody here, but I will play. I'll play Cantlay and I'll play Hovland because I think there's going to be leverage on them. I am totally comfortable fading the entire $9,000 range. Maybe. But well, I mean, I think there's some players that can play well, obviously.

It wouldn't surprise me at all if Sander won this tournament, but I'm not playing him at whatever ownership percentage he's going to end up at. I think the worm has turned a little bit too hard on Cantlay. I mean, he's still got pedigree. It's been a while. He's taken about a month off, you know, a little time since we've seen him.

I think he can play well here and I think he has the upside to win this golf tournament so I'll have him particularly what I think is going to be severely depressed ownership I mean obviously the hoveling around the game around the green stuff is just super concerning and that may end up keeping me off him he's just I don't know he feels like a broken boy I just watching him at the players obviously I had a ton of Rory so I followed him and Spieth and

and Rory a good bit, and it was awful. So I don't know. I mean, Hovland, the upside to Hovland here is that we talked about it before. If he gets the irons in order, then, you know, he doesn't need to chip, right? He's just going to hit a million greens and who cares. But when you're watching him with the players, it's like, wait a second, is Hovland a good iron player anymore or is he just okay? I mean, it didn't look great. So that may end up keeping me off Hovland, but I think my favorite in this range is Cantlay just because of the –

upside to leverage, you know, combination there. And I think my least favorite player, I think Ludwig's going to miss the cut.

I put that on Twitter. So that's my spicy hot take. Not loving what I'm seeing. I am, you know, just, I don't know. There's just something a little bit missing there. I watch him and it's like the lights are on, but nobody's home. He looks like he doesn't quite grasp the moment. He's just, there's something mentally that's not quite there yet. And I think this week is going to be a big challenge for him.

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Ryan Reynolds here for, I guess, my 100th Mint commercial. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. I mean, honestly, when I started this, I thought I'd only have to do like four of these. I mean, it's unlimited premium wireless for $15 a month. How are there still people paying two or three times that much?

I'm sorry, I shouldn't be victim blaming here. Give it a try at midmobile.com slash save whenever you're ready. $45 upfront payment equivalent to $15 per month. New customers on first three month plan only. Taxes and fees extra. Speeds lower above 40 gigabytes. See details. Interesting. Okay, so a couple quick things here. I would say that the number one and two most

uh, important players for you and I to watch tomorrow to seek out tomorrow are can't land Holland, because I think you have somewhat rather, you know, generational opportunities on both of them. I have Holland at 7% and can't lay at 5%. Now with Holland first, um,

Gosh, this guy was the best player in the world, but that wasn't even really a hot take. I mean, at worst, you had him as the third best player in the world. Towards the end of last year, I know that the short game has looked pretty porous for him. It's looked terrible. On the other hand, he's still been hitting the ball really well. He's had three weeks off, so I have to imagine...

that during those three weeks, like I'll tell you one thing, Kobe, if I go to Augusta tomorrow and I see Hovland chipping, I'm not going to feel great about that because what the hell were you doing for the three weeks that you took the time off? Like I, I, I want to see that part of your game feeling a lot more confidence. If you having a lot more confidence at now with that being said, I'm

I again, I just think the pendulum has swung too far and the guy like we were betting this guy at 20 to one to win the Masters and feeling great about those futures. And now like he's as high as 35 to 40 in some spots and.

I've got a pretty damn good feeling about him. And so can't land, can't land. Hovland are going to be the two guys. I'm going to seek out and look for tomorrow because can't lay. You could make the argument that his iron play has been just as broken. Like you look at can't lays, you look at can't lays irons. He's losing six at the players. Like it's, it's fairly problematic. And I think all of the ownership in this range is,

We should say something about speed. We should maybe say a little something more about Xander and Neiman. But again, I have Xander 25, five, a decade, 23 speed 16, and then take your pack after that. And one of those guys, by the way, like I'm just telling people right now, I'm not saying me and Kobe are going to pick the right one, but of the Ludwig Zalatoris, uh,

Hovland, Neiman, Cantlay group that are all going to be 12%. I'm telling you right now, one of them is going to finish top five. I guarantee you that right now of those five, nine K guys that are above 12%, one of them is going to finish top five. So I know Xander's comfortable and I know Spieth and Hideki is comfortable. Like one of those guys is going to smash and it's going to win somebody a lot of money.

Yeah, I think that's right. I have no interest in speed. I think he's another guy who has super high miscut equity. I think the sort of, Oh, he always plays greater to Gus. The thing is a little bit overblown. I mean, I know he played greater than Augusta when he was playing great everywhere. Right. He's missed a cut here. I mean, he's not, he's not Augusta proof. I mean, the ball striking was fabulous last week. That's the only thing that kind of, yeah, that scares me too. Xander and speed both missed a cut in 2022. Yeah.

Yeah, I mean, it can happen. The ball striking, picking up, he's just such a mental fucking midget at this point. You watch Spieth and you just wonder how he ever had success with his mental game. He's just – there's something going on. But, I mean, that's Spieth, right? That's not anything new. So if I get a sense that Spieth's going to come in a little bit lower, then I may end up having some of him. But I do think there's some miscut equity with him. So he's a tough call for me. He's kind of a decision point. Hideki is –

Obviously hitting the ball great. Obviously has the pedigree here. But Hideki comes with inherent risks. Like Hideki could fucking wake up and withdraw from this tournament.

I mean, he comes with wild risks all the time. He's one of the most variable golfers that you're ever going to find, not just because of injury. Also, you play Hideki when he doesn't make sense. Like he was single digits the year that he won the masters. He won Riviera at 71. When does Hideki work out when everything makes sense?

Yeah, that's right. You know, and I won't have any Hideki. I think I'd rather dip down and play JT and even play Dustin Johnson, potentially overplay and Hideki, frankly. Yeah.

I'm like very neutral on Neiman's Alatorre and Obear. I'm higher on Obear than you. I like Obear over Wyndham Clark and like a top, top debut top market. I think this is going to be a great golf course for him over the years. And I think there's a case for Zalatorre, but we can't talk about the ball. Neiman, 9.5%. Any thoughts? Good. Really good on live one major top 20.

Yeah, I mean, it's a tough... It's the question with Neiman is, is he ready to take the leap? Is he... I'm overpriced. He's overpriced. He's, you know, and I think if he were 85, you know, or even down into that, if he were in the camp Smith zone, instead of being, you know, 12, 13, 14%, and he'd be 20%. I mean, I think he's intriguing, but I think his...

His ownership is interesting because he's in a really weird spot. Like Xander is going to eat up a ton, but there's a $300 gap there and nobody wants to play Hovland and can't lay. So he kind of, he's the only player that,

like that anybody wants to play in like a whole $500 range from 9,800 down to 9,300. He's the only guy anybody wants to play. So I think he could catch late steam, um, particularly, you know, depending on how people are going to build. I think you're going to see a lot of Xander, uh,

So Xander Neiman, Hideki kind of starts. Xander Spieth, Hideki, yeah. Xander Spieth, Hideki too. I think people who want to build balance, they're going to go there a lot. So I don't know. I haven't made a decision yet on Neiman. I could see myself having a little bit of it, but I could also see he has miscut equity for sure.

The Xander thing's wild to me. Like I, I was talking on the podcast on Sunday morning about like, oh, there's some Xander's twenties. I think I'll think I'll do it with the Xander Rory card and just give myself max pain. And I woke up today and he got destroyed and everybody, you know, all these people coming out of the woodwork, like, okay, we're just going to decide that like,

Xander is going to win a major now after we were, you know, after people like you and I were the only people saying that he could do this now, uh,

Now he's going to be potentially the highest. So I understand it's under price. Like there's no universe where Xander should be lower price and wind him at this tournament. But I have no idea what to do with Xander because I love him this week. I love every aspect about him. My numbers love him. My numbers love him more than any other player in this field outside of Scheffler. I just don't. I can't bet him now. And I have no idea how to handle it. Do you have a good Xander number? I know you are going to bet him. Did you catch it before he got greater to 14 is nuts.

Nuts, nuts, nuts. He's 13. Like I said, he's 13, seven, five now. No way. Am I? He's the same number is wrong. No chance. I guess we just let him beat us, huh? Yeah. I mean, if he beats us, he beats us, right? I mean, he's Xander, right? We hope that all the things that we don't think are true about Xander are actually true this week. I'm going to have to live and die with, with Xander.

gutless fucking Xander who rents to 100,000 players. Hopefully he's the same gutless wander that we've always known him to be. Okay. Okay. Eight's favorite, least favorite. Favorite guy in the eights. I like this range. I think I'm going to have him.

I think I'm going to have a lot of Justin Thomas and I think I'm going to have a lot of Cameron Young. So you're like me, you're in on the caddy change. I said the same thing too. Like, why are we viewing this as a negative? Like,

Bones and JT wasn't working. So this is the same interim head coach thing in the NFL where there's like a bump in that, you know, the Raiders and game one with Antonio Pierce. Like anytime you fire the, anytime you fire a head coach in the NFL and you get the new guy in there, you get a little bump and I couldn't have gotten much worse. Why, why do we think a new caddy is going to be worse for JT?

Yeah, I think I might bet JT. I mean, he's 55 to one at circa. That's crazy. That's crazy. Russell Henley is 60 to one. Russell fucking Henley. He doesn't win shit ever. Justin Thomas is coming off of three. I mean, look, six...

well, we don't have the Amex numbers, but let's just say we do. And he's coming off four, seven out of the last eight weeks have been incredible approach play. Now the putter's been awful. I know I tweeted about him and called him a big, dumb piece of shit and everybody retweeted it, but he can still, he can still hit his approaches. He can still hit his wedges. I think he's got the ability to flash a little bit with the short game. He's obviously a, he's a spike putter. What do we know about Augusta? You don't,

This isn't necessarily a place that rewards great putters. I mean, you can be, and we've seen JT do this before. And if you just go back to 2021, he's gone, okay,

At the Memorial, he lost eight and a half strokes putting, came back the next week at the U.S. Open and gained five strokes putting. And then at the St. Jude, he lost five strokes putting, came back the next week at the Northern Trust and gained four and a half. Like, this is just who JT is. You never know what's going to happen with the putter. He can get liquid red hot. If the approach play – I mean, at that number, at depressed ownership, at this price point, like I'm getting – in my mind, I'm getting –

a $9,600 golfer at $8,700 and I'm getting him at super low ownership. Okay. I'll take my seat. Yeah. Bye. Well, like I don't not, not because I think he's fundamentally broken, but just because I don't like more a cow when the conditions get anything other than perfect. He's just, uh,

He doesn't, he's hitting a little wipey little cut. Like it doesn't, he's not hitting that heavy ball anymore. Like he, he really gets spit out and chewed up when the wind starts blowing these days. So I'm out of Morikawa. Um, and I hope he catches some steam. Yeah. Um, I don't think he's going to catch steam. I will say that to you now. I think you will be relatively well-owned, but I'm not playing Morikawa either. Favorite.

I'm a little bummed that these guys are showing for me. Cam Young is showing at 14%. People are talking about Cam Young and Tony Finau is 14.5. I love both of them. I really do love both of them this week. And in my Scotty lineups, Cam Young, that may be a single entry start for me, is Scotty Cam Young or Scotty Finau. I'll tell you why I like Finau real quick.

I don't know how reported this was, but Finau was using a bad driver shaft for him throughout the entire year. And it kind of explains why his off the tee... Finau is one of the best drivers of the ball in the world, and he should be a top 10 driver of the ball in the world statistically at all times.

And his off the tee numbers were very porous throughout the whole season. It gets reported that he switches driver shafts. And what does he do at Houston? He gains over five strokes off the tee and misses a two foot putt, which I'm still bemoaning because it cost me a lot of money. Misses a two foot putt on 16 to win, to get into a playoff with Scotty and Jaeger. So I think that a lot of the negative female stats are,

that you see from a ball striking standpoint earlier in the year, the negative results like, okay, we have a one tournament sample size of Finau with this new driver and he should have won. And he hit the ball better than Scottie Scheffler that week. And he wed the field and strokes him off the tee. And he loves Augusta. I may bet Finau. I don't think he can win probably, but I think Finau is going to play a major factor in this tournament. And then Cameron Young as well. I bet Cameron Young at 55 to one.

Cameron Young and Rory are the only two bets that I've made. St. Andrews, Southern Hills, big ballparks, classical architecture, a lot of McKenzie and Perry Maxwell type of runoffs, undulations, creativity, driver heavy. He putted amazingly well at Augusta last year, which is interesting and surprising for a second timer to do.

But I think he might be falling in line with Zalatoris, Hideki, Sergio, Adam Scott, where it's such a great tee to green golf course for him. And maybe the greens just engage him. You look at all the places where Cam Young putts and plays well. It's all these...

you know, Southern Hills and St. Andrews and Augusta. And I think he has a special week. I think he has a special, special week. I told you, I texted you my oddly specific prediction of, of Rory can be on playoff, but, um, female young, female young are my favorites. And then I'll say one thing. I'm my least favorite. Okay. Well, I'll just tell you that I'm with you on young. I love,

There's nobody on Shot Tracker who's more fun to follow than Cam Young. I mean, it's provocative. You know, 372 to right fairway, you know, 42 yards left in. Like, he does things – we talk about this with Scotty. I've said before, like, Scotty doesn't do things you can't do. He just does the things everybody can do more often. Cam Young's, like, one of the only guys on tour right now that can do things other guys can't do. And that's intriguing. Like, he really – he can reach –

Some of these par fives, everybody's going to be able to reach him, but he, if he's driving the ball, well, he's going to reach them with, with very short irons or at least with mid irons when other people are hitting long iron. So I'm intrigued by him. Uh, not an anti-lift thing at all. I, there's some live guys. I really like, I don't see it with cam Smith at all right now.

From a statistical standpoint, he I know that he's always live to gain a million strokes putting and beat me. He is driving the ball so poorly right now. And when Cam Smith was playing his best golf, he was an amazing iron player. And that has regressed tremendously.

significantly on live. I'm not going to say Bryson is a bad play, Kobe, because he's low-owned and I still have a tremendous amount of respect for Bryson's talent level. I think that he is going to play a major factor, if not win, at Valhalla this year. We have like...

Very little evidence that on these heavily undulated golf courses with sweeping elevation changes that Bryson can hit an iron with his single leg irons and that Bryson can chip with a single leg wedges. It's not just a gust of Kobe. If you look at Bryson's short game stats and his iron stats at Kapalua, they are just

Terrible. They are very, very poor. So until Bryson shows me that he had like no greens books and weather into the mix and calculations like just beat me on this golf course, Bryson, like I think you're going to be able to turn your brain off and win at Valhalla. But no, no, no, no. And last guy we have to mention because I want to get your take on it.

Maybe the Shane Lowry chalk is, is getting a whittle. I don't know about that one. I, I, I usually we play them at 8%. I don't, I don't know about this one. You could have my Shane Lowry shares, uh,

And I'm a Shane Lowry truther. We love Shane Lowry on this podcast. We do. I'm a truther. I tell you all about how I watch him all the time. He does that weird thing with his legs when he misses the putt. I think somebody screenshot it last year at the PGA where he like points his putter because he's missed the putt. Look, no, not at 20%. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.

I'm just out. So faves in our range for us are Finau, JT, Cam Young, pretty much. I don't really have a ton of interest in the other guys. Sevens. Fleetwood. Yeah. Yeah. What do you make of Sahith 20%? My numbers really like Sahith. Like I get it. I just. It's predictable. It's predictable. Yeah. But I don't, I don't know that ownership. I don't,

Like it feels late, you know, like the time to play Sahith was last year when nobody played him. It feels like we're hopping on that bandwagon late. I think Sahith has, has wide outcomes. He's a, he's a wide outcomes guys, obviously hitting the ball. Great. I mean, you know, off the tee stuff was good in Houston. He couldn't putt for shit. The around the green has been a little bit bad and concerning but,

But I think Sahith to me, that ownership, I don't see a lot of upside because it just doesn't, I don't know. You end up just in a big mess of lineups that are all kind of doing the same thing. Whereas I think there's an opportunity cost to play in him there. Yeah. And I do want to mention that we're not just coming on this podcast to just shit on the chalk. Of this group of guys that are just objectively over-owned,

Xander, Shane Lowry, Hideki, Sahith,

One of those guys is going to fucking smash. I, what are their great place for a reason? One of those guys are going to splash. We're just saying you have zero shot of winning the Millie with your Xander, Shane Lowry, Sahath Hideki, wideups. Like that's just not happening. Pick the guy that you love, that you think is a great, like for me, I think it's Shuffler. I would just rather play the Shuffler chalk and fade a lot of the other chalk, but I,

I just don't think you're building a sound lineup with this Xander, Hideki, Shane Lowry, Saheth stuff. That is going to be very popular, Kobe. That works. Xander, Hideki, Lowry, Saheth down to 15% Siwoo.

Down to 10% Taylor Moore. That might be your most owned lineup. That lineup is dead. That lineup is dead to win the Millie right now. It'll be duped 600 times. Dead, dead, dead. I like Patrick Reed a lot. I will say that. He's getting a little bit of ownership. I see Patrick Reed at a solid 10%.

I like the way that he is hitting his irons on live. That was a big takeaway for me. And Patrick Reed might be the best Augusta putter of the last seven years. I think that he can make the cut here on the strength of his putter alone. So I will throw out, I will throw out Patrick Reed. Give me anybody else you want to mention in the sevens.

I'm not wild about this range. I'll have a lot of Fleetwood. I'll be playing some Justin Rose. You're nuts. I'll have some Patrick Reed. Brian Harmon is interesting to me. Interesting.

and his ownership you know i think he's had mixed results at this golf course but i mean he just finished second at the players i mean this is yeah he's coming in with some form um i mean i know he missed a cut at the ballast bar and then he was he putted his way to the middle at valero but that's kind of the brian arman story i mean he he pops with the putter if not for the putter he wouldn't be on tour so you know you're gonna need him to putt well but we are coming off of

A month where he, you know, he played great at the century, right? We look at that. Played great at the API, which is not a course that he would typically play great at. He dominated with his irons at the players. So, you know, I think there's upside to him, particularly if he's going to come in at lower ownership. So I'll have some Brian Orman. Yeah, I'm going to say right now, 20% Sahith, 14% Corey Connors.

14% Russell Henley, 15% Siwoo Kim. One of those guys is going to work out incredibly well for you. One of those guys is going to work out incredibly poorly for you. And I think the other two guys are probably going to finish T30. I don't know if I'm going to do any of them. I do like Corey Connors here. I will say that. And I understand the Henley argument and I understand Tahith's

I think there's more interesting markets to deploy him. God, you know, 5% Jason day and 4% Sungjae just sound like max pain, huh? Yeah. Yeah. I don't think I want, I think I'd rather play five. I don't know if I want, I liked the way that Hatton played on a live last week. I don't know if I want any, any part of Tyrell Hatton on like a good golf course.

No, I'm good. I'm good. I will say, uh, I think a great top debut taunt is Jaeger because we saw how Augusta codified that golf course was. He just has the Augusta skillset and he's playing great right now. He bombs ball off the tee. He's got a really good short game. He's really good. Long iron player. Did you see that? Um, PGA tour.com did like a whole spread this week on, on Julie, the mental coach.

Who's now got, who's now got, who's now got Wyndham, Jaeger and Akshay. It's going to be a pretty busy week for, for Julie, the mental coach at, uh, at Augusta this week.

She's killing it. Good for her. Yeah. She's, she's, she's absolutely murdering it. Can I hire a mental coach to talk me out of playing Rory this week? I'm going to try and I'm going to try and track down Julie on the grounds tomorrow and have her knock me over the head with a two by four about why Rory won't win the masters. Okay. Yeah. Okay. Uh, six is that you like, uh, there's one guy that I like two guys that I like here a lot. I'm going to,

Well, at the expense of giving away all my secrets here, I'm going to have a lot of Adam Hadwin. So much Adam Hadwin. Yeah, good play. Yeah, he'll be everywhere in my lineup. Taylor Moore's popular. I'll be fading Taylor Moore. You guys can have my Taylor Moore shares. I'm intrigued by Lucas Glover at 6,300. The Masters history is just fucking horrible. But he's been hitting the ball really good for a while. Yeah.

I mean, the approach play was awesome at Valero. He's been a wagon. He's been like number one in my model every week and he keeps playing well. And around the green has been fabulous. I mean, he's, he's a kind of a local guy and he's from Greenville. I mean, it's not too far from Augusta. He's played this golf course a gazillion times. I think he's, he's kind of one of these old heads that can sort of,

matriculate his way around there. He plays par fives really, really, really well, which is important here. I think he's sneaky because I think people are going to look at the sort of, I don't know, middling master's history. I mean, he's what he made about, he's made about half his cuts a little bit more, never finished better than T20 back in 07. But I think he's kind of a, he's a different player. You know, I mean, look at the, the results are not

I mean, he finished 30th in 2022. And then before that you had the weird COVID masters and then

Then the most recent result is 2014, right? So this is kind of a different Lucas Glover. So I'm kind of discounting the middling master's history. And I think I'll have a lot of him at 63. Cause I, I do think he's going to be, he's going to catch some ownership. So I don't think I'm getting him as sneaky, but I think at growth is going to be real popular. Yeah. Danny will keep it. The Glover ownership down too. Then he's going to take some, I think a lot of people are going to play shank after, I guess he was prime tiger last week. I had, right.

i faced him and head to head and he's just it was unreal what he was doing so i think shank i think taylor moore is obviously going to eat up a lot of that ownership so uh i think those are the two for me adam having a lucas lover right well you have to think about like there are still going to be people that are going to say wait you're telling me that i can get danny zander and scheffler in the same lineup right like you're there there's

Taylor Moore is going to be popular. Denny's going to be popular. Eckerd's going to be popular. Kind of like your boy Thunder Bear at 6.5. Why hasn't Keegan Bradley been better at the Masters? I was looking at some numbers, and I actually think it is a good course fit. I'm a little surprised as to why he hasn't been better here. I don't have an answer for it. I really don't. It's just one of those things. I mean, it's golf, right? The golf course just...

Sometimes it suits you. Sometimes it doesn't. Are we are we missing the boat on J.T. Poston, who is apparently no longer going to golf or is he like, what are we what's going on here?

I have some interest in posted. 10th at the Genesis. I mean, we're not too far removed from him finishing fifth at the Century. I know he struggled a little bit. He didn't play well at Cognizant, but he made the cut. API is not a place that you would ever expect him to really play well. And the players is kind of variable. We have to remember that. I could just see him popping. He's not...

I don't have super high expectations for him, but you wouldn't need him to do much more than finish T20 from this position. So I think JT Poston's interesting. Yeah. The other guy that I would mention, I'm glad you brought up Poston because this actually reminded me of the other guy that I really like, Chris Kirk.

He wins the century in January, which again, there's this massive Kapalua correlation with Patrick Reed and Rom and Cameron Smith and Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson and all of these guys that play well at the century because it has these massive elevation changes and undulation and big ballpark and everything.

big greens and still a lot of long irons at that golf course. I know it's a lot easier, but I think Chris Kirk, Chris Kirk played really well at Southern Hills too. I think Chris Kirk at 6.9, I like, and then I was going to kind of come on here and say, you know,

you know, Sergio is actually hitting the ball way better than people would think on live and Cameron Smith is hitting it like do do. But I think that cat's out of the bag with Sergio after, after him playing well at Doral, but I'm still going to have a little bit of him because I was so intrigued by the ball striking numbers that I've seen on live this season. And he is one of those guys where, um,

You can't really look at the week to week putting stuff with him because he's been, he's been able to figure it out on these screens before. Sure. Just got a really good short game too. I don't know if that gets, it's been good on live. It's been good at Augusta before. So I'm going to pull my hair out with, with a little bit of Sergio this week as well. I like it.

Okie doke. We'll do a little Rory at the end. We put it at the end just so people don't get triggered. I don't know why. It's just one comment. Like you guys talk way too much about Rory. I actually think we don't. I don't think we talk about Rory enough. I'm going to go the other way. I think we need to talk about Rory more. We talked about the fact he's gone for the, no, I'm just kidding. How do you feel? How do you feel about, about, about this happening for us?

Well, I told you it's like a it's like a religious moment. It's like a building a core memory. Like I've been down this path with Roy for so long that I want I want to be there when it happens. Yeah. For all the right reasons. This is like a a core like I will build a little wing of my house that

you know, with his name on it for all the money that I'm going to win when it happens. Now, will that just be replacing all the money I lost? That's okay. It's like a little savings account here. It's all about feeling to me. Like I, I'm captivated by Rory. I'm very transparent about that. It's like the tiger thing. I mean, I don't, I don't know why it's hard to explain. I could probably write a book about it. And then I could also not be able to explain in one sentence why,

There's some magic to Rory. I don't know why, but his story is interesting. It resonates. A kid in a world of shitty golfers with attitude problems who have the same dumb story and the PGA Tour can try to differentiate the 15 different fucking Campbell's soup cans that all look the same. Rory is a middle class kid from Ireland who is a global superstar and kind of

Puts it all out there. And, you know, for better or worse, he's he's very he's just he's our guy. So we want it for him. I want it for him. And I want to be there backing him when it happens. And that is kind of goes against.

Well, I say this, look, Rory won me $200,000 at the Masters two years ago when he went absolutely nuclear nuts. Right. So part of the reason that Rory captivates us is because he's capable of doing that. He's capable of dropping the ball beside the fucking hole over and over and over and over and over. If he goes nuclear, he doesn't have to make 15 footer after 15 footer like Denny McCarthy because he hits it to a foot when he's great. And he can do that. He can score on par fives.

Um, but this, this play is more about feelings. If John Rahm can come win the masters and, you know, and Scotty Scheffler, big, dumb doofus with nothing but fucking rocks in his head can put on a green jacket and, you know, probably have no fucking clue what any of it means. No Meredith this week. We have to say with Scotty Scheffler as well, reported by Natalie, no Meredith on the grounds this week. Yeah.

He probably doesn't even know that. He's just a big old... He's just a Dustin Johnson redux. It makes me think lots of the University of Texas is big fucking big academy.

Texas is the new Coastal. This is a premium show we do on Wednesdays. Sorry, man. I can't get out of it. I'm just kidding. This is my most downloaded episode of the year. Scotty Scheffler is obviously a very nice man. He does pretty good things for the community. This is what happens when you're recording after midnight at this point for us. I think realistically, you know, I'm...

And on Rory for all the reasons I've stated and many that I have not. But I think this at some point, Rory is going to win one of these a major. I don't know if it's going to be the masters and it's going to be a wonderful story. And I want, I want to climb the mountaintop with him and cash a ticket. Yeah. A couple of golf reasons and narrative reasons that I think we have working in our favor from a narrative standpoint, drop the pendulum. Yeah.

the pendulum talk just one more time. I found it really fascinating that I put out a poll earlier in the week about who has a more likely chance to win the Masters, Xander or Rory. And it was...

50-50, which to me, my takeaway is that is a giant indictment of how far that we have swung on Rory. And you look around the industry this week, I haven't seen a single person bet him outside of us. Some of the less gambling and betting DFS golf at large stuff are kind of over it too. Like, fool me once, fool me twice. I think a lot of

People are just, I'm going to let this guy beat me at this point. This is Xander's time. This is Scotty's time. This is Hideki's time. I like the fact that he is not the biggest story, even though he is the number one player going for history this week. Like if Scotty wins another game,

Green jacket and he gets to two majors. Okay. He's at ROMS career. I mean, if Rory wins the, the only two guys going for history this week are Rory and Brooks Brooks going for sex is also underreported. Like if Rory or Brooks wins this masters, they're like a top 12 golfer of all time or in that conversation. And I like the fact that.

you know, there's just a lot of people that are done with this shit and deservedly. So like, we're the crazy ones. I can't, I can't blame you guys. We are the minority that still believe in this guy at this point. But I like the fact that he's coming into August on Tuesday night. He's not playing the par three contest. Although I have to say him and Poppy and the par three contest was some of the more enjoyable, wholesome content for me. All I've, I've consumed all year. Um,

But there is a tremendous correlation, Kobe, between recent approach play and winning the Masters. Tremendous. Even the surprise winners like the Hideki year, the only thing that Hideki was doing well was he was still a great iron player. And Rory goes into Valero, and I watched pretty much every shot he had over the weekend.

He gains over seven strokes on his approach, his best iron week in four years. Now, um, to me, that is a key for Rory at this golf course, right? Because we know it's his driver and the irons getting fixed because that's what killed him at the players. That's what killed him at the API is the irons were a little loosey goosey.

And just the way he's talking is all discipline, which is unlike Rory. You know, if you're familiar with his style of play, discipline is not the buzzword that I would use to describe the way Rory approaches golf. And maybe it is the Scotty Scheffler of it all. And Rory realizing that watching Scotty Scheffler dominate and watching Scotty Scheffler put up these insane T degree numbers and saying like,

God, Scheffler's not better than me at finding the center of the club face. Scheffler doesn't hit the ball farther than me. Is this really the way to gain eight strokes to the field every week is just play to the smart side of the green and two putt? Is that really all you need to do? Maybe there's some of that there.

Maybe there's some of that there where the guy just, he keeps talking about discipline. It's all, it's all he said. Did he said the word discipline like eight times in his two Valero press conferences? Hasn't that been the key for Rory all, all along, right? Like realizing that he's good enough, realizing that he doesn't have to hit the hero shot, realizing that he can win, uh,

10% of the golf tournaments that he enters and probably six to eight more majors playing the way, the way that Scotty Scheffler does. So I got to say coming in, coming in, like if I was all in on Xander and I was listening to the narratives and what everyone's doing, I, I, I feel good about, about the way people are talking and what I'm seeing on the golf course for Rory coming in. I'll say that. Well, I'm with you. I mean, I think we've, um,

If you look at Rory, people talk shit, but you go back to last year. He had a rough run. The Pebble Beach deal was kind of a weird tournament. He actually started out on fire and it looked like he was going to win that tournament, and then he gets a weird drop penalty and it all kind of falls apart. He plays kind of meh, Genesis,

Honda is just like a weird tournament for him to play in general. You know, API, we've got some water ball variants. The player is the same thing. We used to field in birdies at, at API players and hits a ton of water balls at API and still does. Go back to, you know, last year when this kind of run started, I mean, I think he did some really stupid stuff coming into the last masters. You know, he misses the cut of the players, but,

And then the only time he plays before the Masters is at the match play. You know, it's just kind of a weird, dumb prep. But then he goes, starting with the PGA Championship last year, he goes 7th, 7th, 9th, 2nd, 7th, 1st, 6th, 3rd, 4th, 4th.

I mean, that's the kind of run that when you look at Scotty Scheffler's page, that's what you see, right? You get, you see nothing but those single digits. Yeah. Here we are again, right? We just won the Valera or sorry, we just put up a single digit at the Valero with this amazing ball striking. So here's the deal. Rory will be there on Sunday, whether he can close the deal. This is going to look like,

How many of these have we had in the last two or three years? I mean, he's been lurking. He's had two really, really good chances. And I have a feeling that this will be the third one. Whether or not he can close the door, who knows, right? I mean, it's been a while since he's actually been in the mix, not charging from behind to finish second in the Masters is a different deal. At the Masters, I mean, he's been like the most consistent major performer over the last two years. Right.

This golf course suits him. I mean, I watched him last week. I mean, I probably watched literally every golf shot he hit last week. Yeah. And he hit a lot. There were a lot more.

to 10 feet to the flat side of the green. And that's something Roy normally doesn't do. Like I'm watching him miss, quote unquote, and he's getting upset because he hits a wedge to 11 feet, but it's on the big fat side of the green. It's pin high. There was no chance. Even if he missed it a little right, he was going to get it up and down. He wasn't missing short side of it with that little stupid hook wedge that he sometimes tries to hit to those left pins for no reason.

Because here's the deal. When Rory gets it going, he can make 10 footers. Like he, Rory rides a hot putter every now and then. Right. I think he, if he's actually committed to this, like, Oh shit, I'm pretty good at golf thing, which it seems like he may be. Hopefully Augusta doesn't bring out something different than him. I think he's, he's got a chance. He's got a chance. Well, I won't say he's got a chance. He's going to be there on Sunday and then, you know, it's golf, right? You got to close the door. You got to make the big putts.

You got to get up and down when you need to, right? You got to execute the high leverage shots. So we'll see if we can do that. It'll be deposed. I'll see you tomorrow, my friend. Any closing thoughts? Nope. Looking forward to it. Tomorrow's going to be magic here with my good friend, Kyler from Houston, who's currently sleeping. We both have children that are five and six months. So we're looking forward to a night of peaceful sleep and not being woken up in the night. And we're going to have an awesome day tomorrow. All right. Cheers, buddy. Go Rory.

All right, that is it for the podcast. Special thanks to Kobe DeBose. Special thanks to Rumpier Sports. Special thanks to Betts, Burt's Golf, and The Rabbit Hole. If this podcast helped you at all, a quick reminder to share it around on Twitter. We have a five-star review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Truly means more than you know on Masters Week. Until next time, we will be back on this podcast feed with the one and only Huey Mack, my good friend Kyle. We will be together live from Hilton Head recapping the Masters.

Enjoy the golf this weekend. I have a feeling it's going to be a good one. Cheers.

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