In Moscow's Shadows 172: BRICS without Straw

2024/10/26

In Moscow's Shadows

Mark Gagliotti

本期节目讨论了近期在俄罗斯卡赞举行的金砖峰会。主持人Mark Gagliotti认为，尽管峰会表面上是普京的宣传胜利，但这掩盖了俄罗斯在新的多极世界中面临的困境。俄罗斯与其他金砖国家的关系本质上是交易性的，需要付出代价来换取支持。中国是金砖国家中最大的经济体，对俄罗斯的支持有限，并且在一定程度上利用了俄罗斯在乌克兰战争中的困境。印度则希望通过谈判解决乌克兰战争，并未完全支持俄罗斯。其他金砖国家如伊朗和巴西也各有各的议程，对俄罗斯的支持并不坚定。因此，金砖国家并非一个统一的整体，其成员国之间存在着利益冲突和分歧。俄罗斯试图通过金砖国家来构建一个反西方的世界秩序，并推动去美元化，但这些努力收效甚微。总而言之，俄罗斯在金砖峰会上取得了宣传上的胜利，但在实际层面并没有获得多少实质性的利益。

Deep Dive

Chapters

The BRICS summit in Kazan, while appearing as a propaganda victory for Putin, highlights Russia's reliance on transactional relationships with its 'allies.' The podcast questions whether BRICS represents a genuine alternative world order or merely a collection of countries with individual agendas, each pursuing their own interests.

BRICS summit in Kazan presented as a propaganda win for Putin
BRICS members have differing agendas and interests
Russia's relationships with BRICS members are transactional, requiring payment for support
China's support for Russia is limited and conditional
De-dollarization efforts by BRICS show limited progress
BRICS expansion has stalled

Shownotes Transcript

(It seems to be obligatory to use a weak BRICS/bricks pun, so I felt I had to follow...)The BRICS summit in Kazan (a smart place to hold it) gives all the appearances of being a propaganda win for Putin. However, I think it emphasised that in a new 'multipolar' world, he only has the friends he can afford to rent -- and some day the bill will become due.In the second half, I question whether Russia is genuinely falling back into the 'wild 90s'. Perhaps the 'stagnant 70s'? Or the 'decaying 80s'? Or -- my favourite -- the 'braindead 10s'. Either way, these historical parallels should be considered no more than thought laboratories.The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr), which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows), and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials including the (almost-) weekly Govorit Moskva news briefing right here).

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