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Eye On The Market

Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, po

Episodes

Total: 100

I asked Chat GPT-4 questions on economics, markets, energy and politics that my analysts and I worke

The Rasputin Effect

2023/8/2

Global resilience to higher rates View transcript View video and charts here

Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride

2023/7/18

The impact of underperforming 2020 and 2021 US IPOs View transcript with chart references

Letters to the Editor

2023/6/14

Comments on mega-cap stocks and artificial intelligence. Then, it’s time for some of my unsolicited

Too Long at the Fair

2023/5/23

Time to retire the US/Emerging Markets barbell for a while View transcript with chart references

The Places We Could Go

2023/4/25

Before getting into the US$ discussion, three quick things. First, despite strong US data in Q1 and

Frankenstein’s Monster

2023/4/10

Frankenstein’s Monster: banking system deposits and the unintended fallout from the Fed’s monetary e

Renewables are growing but don’t always behave the way you want them to.  This year’s topics include

Winter Heating

2023/2/21

The large language model battles begin: a look at the future of web search, conventional wisdom mach

American Gothic

2023/1/24

The Federal debt and how the Visigoths may try to break the system if no one fixes it View transcrip

The End of the Affair

2023/1/2

The affair with the market catalysts of the last decade is over now, and a new era of investing begi

Holiday Eye on the Market: the YUCs, the MUCs, FTX, the Gensler Rule and the Summers Rule

In the October Eye on the Market I wrote about how in 6 of 7 post-war recessions, equity markets pre

Reruns

2022/10/19

Reruns: how equity declines precede the fall in earnings, growth and employment during recessions; n

Arrested Development

2022/9/26

Arrested Development: the pressure on profit margins, the tightest labor markets in decades and whet

Three topics in this month’s Eye on the Market. First, an update on the Fed, inflation and corporate

Independence Days

2022/6/27

Topics: A revised map of the United States; investing in equities before a recession; Russia’s natur

Hydrogen use cases may be much narrower than advertised, and the timeline is a very long one

Fossil fuel bans, heat pumps and electrification of winter heating: What will happen to transmission

Bear Market Barometers

2022/5/17

The slowdown induced by central bank tightening is just starting. Be patient when adding risk to por