Keith Rabois left Founders Fund due to his dislike for commuting to Sand Hill Road daily. He believed the future of investing was more in San Francisco than Palo Alto, and Founders Fund's inflexibility on remote work during the pre-COVID era made the decision easier.
Founders Fund is a momentum investor, focusing on later-stage companies with high valuations, while Khosla Ventures is more input-driven, investing early in seed or series A rounds. Founders Fund emphasizes letting founders lead without interference, whereas Khosla Ventures is more proactive in helping companies.
Google's Willow chip performed a benchmark computation in under five minutes that would have taken today's fastest supercomputers 10 septillion years. It uses logical qubits to reduce error rates, a significant milestone in quantum computing.
Google's quantum computing advancements could potentially break modern encryption standards like RSA and SHA-256, which are foundational to internet security and Bitcoin. Shor's algorithm, a quantum algorithm, can factor large numbers almost instantly, posing a threat to current encryption methods.
Apple is developing AI server chips to enhance privacy and AI capabilities on local devices, ensuring that AI experiences are compelling without compromising user data. The chips, codenamed Baltra, are expected to be in mass production by 2026.
Users are reporting significant issues with iOS 18, including frequent crashes, non-functional apps like Photos, and overall decreased usability. The operating system appears to be less polished and more prone to errors compared to previous versions.
TikTok is seen as a national security threat because it allows Chinese nationals to access American user data, violates U.S. privacy laws, and is subject to Chinese laws requiring data sharing with the CCP. Additionally, there are concerns about content manipulation and unfair competition with U.S. tech companies.
Venture capital deal activity is returning to pre-COVID levels, with the number of deals and amount invested stabilizing. However, exits are lagging, and there is a focus on AI and crypto companies, which are seeing increased funding and founder optimism.
Keith Rabois advocates for early public listings because it provides accountability, transparency, and discipline. Public companies also gain access to capital for strategic acquisitions, which can be crucial for growth and competitive advantage.
Tariffs could help reduce inflation by encouraging domestic production and reducing reliance on foreign goods. However, the effectiveness depends on how tariffs are implemented and their impact on specific industries. The Trump administration believes tariffs can be imposed without causing inflation, leveraging economic substitution.
(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois! (4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin (13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion (25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more (43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing (54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline (1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto
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Referenced in the show: https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238 https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit https://quantumai.google/roadmap https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000 https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656 https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235 https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2021/6/15/antitrust https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade
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