cover of episode At the Money: Lessons in Allocating to Alternative Asset Classes

At the Money: Lessons in Allocating to Alternative Asset Classes

2025/1/15
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Barry Ritholtz
知名投资策略师和媒体人物,现任里特尔茨财富管理公司董事长和首席投资官。
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Ted Seides
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@Barry Ritholtz : 我主持了今天的节目,讨论投资者如何看待另类投资。另类投资越来越受欢迎,但也更具挑战性。我们邀请了@Ted Seides 来帮助我们解答这些问题,Ted在耶鲁大学投资办公室工作过,现在是Capital Allocators的创始人兼首席投资官。 我们讨论了另类投资的吸引力,不同类型另类资产的风险和回报特征,以及投资者应该如何选择另类资产管理者并进行尽职调查。我们还探讨了另类资产的流动性、费用以及投资者应该投资多少资金。 总的来说,我们认为投资者应该根据自身的流动性预算和风险承受能力来确定投资另类资产的比例,选择大型知名机构,进行充分的尽职调查,避免投资过多的资金到锁定期较长的资产中。成功的另类资产投资者获得了丰厚的回报,而失败的投资者则表现不佳。 Ted Seides: 另类投资的吸引力在于它可以提升投资组合的质量,在风险水平相似的情况下获得更高的回报,或在回报水平相似的情况下降低风险水平。不同类型的另类资产(私募股权、私募债务、对冲基金、风险投资)具有不同的风险和回报特征。 从风险角度来看,私募债务风险最低,类似于债券;对冲基金风险中等,介于债券和股票之间;私募股权风险较高,类似于增强型股票;风险投资风险最高。不同类型的另类资产的预期回报率也不同,私募债务类似于债券加上少量溢价;对冲基金回报类似于债券或股票;私募股权回报高于股票;风险投资回报高于私募股权。 投资另类资产需要承担一定的流动性风险,投资者需要获得额外的回报来补偿这种风险。另类资产的非流动性溢价的来源取决于具体的投资策略,对冲基金的溢价可能源于市场效率低下,而私募股权和风险投资的溢价则体现在更低的购买价格上。不同类型的另类资产的资金锁定期限不同,私募债务可能需要5到10年才能变现,对冲基金通常是季度流动性,私募股权和风险投资基金通常需要10到15年才能变现。 投资另类资产所需的资金规模正在下降,过去可能需要数百万美元,现在一些产品只需要几万美元甚至更少,但仍然需要一定的资金规模来实现多元化。投资者应该根据自身的流动性预算和风险承受能力来确定投资另类资产的比例,一些机构投资者将高达50%的资金投资于另类资产,但对于个人投资者来说,需要谨慎考虑资金的流动性。 投资者应该考虑整体投资组合的风险和回报,而不是简单地按照固定的比例分配资金到不同资产类别。另类资产的收费标准因资产类别而异,私募股权和风险投资通常采用“2和20”的收费模式,而对冲基金和私募债务的收费通常较低,但仍然高于传统资产。 选择另类资产管理者非常重要,因为另类资产的回报差异很大,选择优秀的管理者至关重要。选择另类资产管理者可以通过多种途径,例如选择大型知名机构,或者寻求专业人士的建议。进入顶尖另类资产基金非常困难,因为这些基金通常对投资门槛要求很高,并且竞争激烈。与潜在的另类资产基金建立联系需要时间和努力,需要通过建立人脉关系来了解行业内的优秀管理者。 投资者可以通过基金中的基金(Fund-of-Funds)来获得另类资产的投资机会。投资另类资产存在一些误解,例如媒体通常只报道极端的成功或失败案例,而忽略了大多数情况下的中等回报。对另类资产基金进行尽职调查需要了解管理团队的投资理念、策略和交易方式,并分析其过往业绩。

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Hedge funds, venture capital, private equity, private credit. Allocating capital to alternatives has never been more popular or more challenging. How should investors approach these asset classes? I'm Barry Ritholtz and on today's edition of At The Money, we're going to discuss how investors should think about alternative investments.

To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your portfolio, let's bring in Ted Seides, who began his career at the Yale University Investments Office under the legendary David Swenson. He's founder and CIO of Capital Allocators and since 2017 has hosted a podcast by that same name. His latest book is Private Equity Deals, Lessons in Investing, Dealmaking, and Operations from Private Equity Professionals is out now.

So, Ted, let's start with the basics. What is the appeal of alternatives? If you start with what's called a traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds, the idea of adding alternatives is to improve the quality of your portfolio, meaning you're trying to get the highest returns you can with a similar level of risk or sometimes you're

the same kind of returns with a reduced level of risk. And bringing in these other alternatives help you do that. All right, so I mentioned a run of different alternatives. How do you distinguish between private equity, private credit, hedge funds, venture capital, lots of different types of alts? How do you think about these? Each of them have their own different risk and reward characteristics. And that's probably the easiest way to think about it. If you go from a spectrum perspective,

Private credit, think of that as the same as bonds, a little bit different. Hedge funds can be like bonds or stocks, a little bit different. Then you get into private equity, which is kind of a little bit of juiced equity.

Stock portfolio and venture capital is the riskiest of them all. So you're discussing risk there. Let's talk about reward. What sort of return expectations should investors have for these different asset classes? Well, similarly, private credit, think about a bond portfolio with credit risk and a little bit of illiquidity. So that's bonds plus. Is it bonds plus 200 basis points? Maybe something like that.

Hedge funds generally have either bond-like or stock-like characteristics with less risk. Private equity, you should expect a premium over stocks, and venture capital, a premium over that because of the early stage risk. Those are really kind of interesting. You mentioned illiquidity. Let's talk a little bit about the illiquidity premium. What does that mean for investors? What's involved with that? When you start with just traded stocks and bonds, you can get out instantaneously.

So if you're going to commit your capital to any of these other categories, you have to embrace some illiquidity, meaning if you want to get out in that moment, it's going to cost you. So to take on that risk, you need some type of extra return. Otherwise, it wouldn't make sense to do it. So the concept of an illiquidity premium is that in order to pursue these strategies that

prevent you from accessing your money instantaneously, you need to get paid for that. So where does the illiquidity premium come from? My assumption was because this is so much smaller than public markets with so many fewer investors, perhaps there are some inefficiencies that these managers can identify. Any truth to that? It depends on the strategy. That would be the story with hedge funds for sure. When you get into private equity and venture capital, it's always in price. Right.

So if you're getting the same asset that's in the public markets or the private markets, in theory, you should want to buy it at a discount in the private markets because you can't get your money out quickly. And that's where you would see that premium.

And so since we're talking about lockups and not being able to get liquid, except at very specific times, how long should investors expect to lock up their capital in each of these alternatives? It depends on the strategy and whether you're investing directly in these securities or let's just say you're in funds. So private credit can vary, but oftentimes you may not get the liquidity until the assets are liquidated. So that could be anywhere from five to 10 years. It can be.

Hedge funds often are quarterly liquidity, depending on the underlying. You get into a private equity or venture capital fund, now you're generally talking about 10 to 15 years. Because you have to wait for that private company to have some liquidity event to free up the cash.

And on top of that, if you're investing in a fund, you have to wait for the fund manager to find the company. So you're committing your capital. They find the company. They might own it for, you know, say three to eight years, and then you're waiting to get the cash back. Huh. That's really kind of intriguing. All right. So when investors are interested in alts, how much capital do they need before they can start seriously looking at the space? Is this for $5 million portfolios or $50 million portfolios? It depends.

It's changing a lot to move to smaller numbers. So if I go back to when I started in this, you didn't have kind of pooled alternatives. Think about fund to funds or all this movement of the democratization of all this. And a minimum might be a million dollars for a single fund. If you wanted diversification and you wanted, say, 10 different funds, now you're talking about 10 million. And if that's only 10% of your portfolio, you're looking at $100 million just to make it- Those are big numbers. Those are big numbers.

That has changed a lot. And now you're starting to see more and more products available at, you know, rather than a million dollar minimum, maybe it's $50,000 or even less. So it's a little bit less what size. I mean, you do need to have, you know, is it 5 million? Is it 10 million? I don't really know. The goal is- But it's not $500,000. It's not $500,000.

Right. And you were saying the goal is- Well, the goal is to get access to some of these areas, hopefully in a very high quality way, and have some diversification within the strategy that you're pursuing. And that does take some capital. So you just said something really interesting before, 10 different funds and a million dollars each out of $100 million. You're implying that

investors should allocate a certain percentage. So let me, rather than use that example, let me just ask that directly. How much in the alt and private space should investors think about allocating in order to generate potentially better returns and increase their diversification? It's entirely a function of, let's say, a liquidity budget. So as you mentioned,

You need to lock up your capital, particularly when you're getting into private equity and venture capital. And that means you can't access it. So if someone has enough money that they don't really need to access, if you have $100 million, you're probably not accessing most of that year to year. And you've seen in some of the most sophisticated institutions, all these alts get up to 50% of their portfolio. Right.

If you're talking about maybe you have $5 million to invest, it's not clear you want to take half of that and put it away so that you can't access it in case you need the capital in between now and 15 years from now. So a phrase I heard that kind of made me giggle, but I want to share it with you, 60-40 is now 50-30-20, or some variation to that effect. What are your thoughts on that? I think about it a little bit differently, which is...

Most of the time, you want to think about the risk and return of the overall. And you can break that down into stock bond risk. So whether that's 60-40 or 70-30, that's fine. The question with alts is, how do you want to take that risk?

So rather than in a 70-30 having 70% in U.S. stocks, yeah, you may want to say, hey, maybe 20% of that should be in private equity. You have similar risk, but you have a different type of return stream and hopefully a little more octane. That's kind of interesting. Let's talk about fees. It used to be that 2 and 20, 2% of...

the underlying investment plus 20% of the net gains was the standard. What are standard fees in the alt space today? It is a function, a little bit of that return characteristic. So if you get to the higher octane private equity and venture capital, you generally do still see two and 20. On hedge funds and private credit, it tends to be a little bit less than that. But make no mistake about it, the fees are higher in the alternatives than they are in the traditional world.

How should investors go about finding alternative managers and evaluating their funds? So this is incredibly important because unlike in the stock and bond markets, the dispersion of returns in alts is much, much wider. Meaning if you find a good manager, it matters a lot more than if you find a good stock manager, a good bond manager. Conversely, if you find a bad one, it hurts you much more than if you're hurt by stock and bond. So how do you do it?

It does take a fair amount of research and either a trusted advisor or someone who knows the space. There's a lot of different ways to get involved in that. One of the ways you're seeing more and more as alts get democratized is the bigger brands are creating products. You can go to Blackstone and you'll be fine. I don't know if you'll get the best returns, but you're not going to get the worst returns. And so one way that people...

think about participating is you look at who these larger public alternative managers are. It's a Blackstone, Aries, Apollo, KKR, TPG. These are super high quality investment organizations. Hmm. Um, how do you gain entry to the best funds? A lot of, you know, it's a little bit like the old Groucho Marx joke, uh,

I wouldn't want to be a member of any club that would have me. The funds you want to get into the most very often require giant minimums because they're working with foundations and endowments.

And very often they're either closed or there's a giant queue to get into them. How does one go about establishing a relationship? P.S., all these questions come right from your book. But how do you go about establishing a relationship with a potential alternative fund that you might want to have exposure to? Yeah.

It's really hard, particularly as an individual. If you think about it, you're competing with all of those very well-resourced institutions, endowments, foundations, pension funds that have people, well-compensated people that are out looking for these funds. So the question you have to ask is, what are you trying to accomplish? And that can be different for different people and different organizations. But generally speaking, it does require...

Working into networks where you start to learn who the players are and trying to figure out from that who are the better ones. It takes a lot of time to do that well.

So if someone wants some assistance in building out the alternative portion of their portfolios, where do they begin looking? How do they go find those sort of resources? Usually the first step comes from the fund-to-funds world. And you could look at it as a great example. Vanguard now, as part of their retirement package, did a deal with HarborVest. HarborVest is one of the leading fund-to-funds.

to allow entry to get good quality exposure. So a HarborVest, a Hamilton Lane, Stepstone, some of these are some of the bigger established, say, private equity fund to funds. They do a very good job of getting people access to high quality exposure.

Huh. So if you're a 401k at Vanguard, do you have access to that? Or is that just broad portfolios? I know it exists within their suite. I'm not sure if it's part of their target funds or you can directly access. So what are some of the bigger challenges and misconceptions about investing in alternatives? Well, the biggest misconceptions come from the public perception of it.

Because most of the time in the news, you only read about sensationalization. You read about huge returns and big failures. In almost all the cases, and let's set aside venture capital because venture capital is designed to have huge successes and failures. All the action happens in the middle. Hedge funds, generally speaking, are very boring.

They're not newsworthy. They shouldn't make the news. Private credit's the same way. There will be a time in private credit where there are defaults, and you'll read about defaults. But you probably won't read that the returns are just fine, even with the defaults. So how do investors go about doing some due diligence on the funds they're interested in? How do they make sure they're getting what they expect to get?

A lot of it starts with meeting the people and trying to understand what is their philosophy, what is their strategy, and how do they go about deal-making. You then can get into the data.

So any of these firms that's been around, they've done deals in the past and you could try to figure out how do they add value? Do they buy well? Do they run the companies well? Do they sell well? Is it financial leverage? And then trying to figure out what you think works and is that a fit with how that firm pursues investing? Really interesting. So to wrap up, investors who have a long time horizon, a substantial portfolio, they're

The time, effort, and interest in exploring the alternative space may want to pull some modest percentage of their holdings aside and locking these up for an extended period with the hope of getting a better than average return on a diversified basis or an average return on a lower risk basis.

Start out by looking at some of the bigger names in the space that Ted had mentioned. Do your homework and your due diligence. Go into this with open eyes and make sure that you are not allocating too much capital to a space that might be locked up for five or 10 years or more. Successful alternative investors have been rewarded with outstanding returns. Unsuccessful ones have underperformed.

the public markets. I'm Barry Ritholtz, and this is Bloomberg's At The Money. This podcast is supported by BetterHelp, offering licensed therapists you can connect with via video, phone, or chat. Here's BetterHelp head of clinical operations Hesu Jo discussing who can benefit from therapy. I think a

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