cover of episode 2025 outlook: Will tailwinds trump tariffs?

2025 outlook: Will tailwinds trump tariffs?

2024/11/20
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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Chapters

The discussion begins with an overview of the global economy's strong growth in 2024 and the implications of the Trump administration's policies on future growth. The speakers analyze the potential impacts of tariffs, immigration policies, and fiscal measures on the U.S. economy.
  • U.S. growth is expected to be above trend and above consensus.
  • Tariffs and slower immigration are identified as potential drags on growth.
  • Fiscal policies and regulatory loosening are expected to provide some boost to the economy.

Shownotes Transcript

As the global economy comes off of another year of relatively strong growth in 2024, new and important variables are now in the mix with the election of Donald Trump and the Republican sweep of Congress. So can this solid performance continue amid the policy shifts ahead, and what might be the implications for markets? In this episode, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist and head of Goldman Sachs Research, and Dominic Wilson, senior advisor in global markets research, discuss the economic and market outlook for the year ahead.