cover of episode The Harris Campaign Begins

The Harris Campaign Begins

2024/7/25
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Galen Druk
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Jeffrey Skelly
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Mary Radcliffe
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Galen Druk:本期节目讨论了2024年美国总统大选的最新动态,特别是副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯获得民主党提名后的竞选形势。哈里斯的竞选资金雄厚,并在短期内获得了大量支持,但同时也面临着选民对其政策立场(特别是经济和移民问题)的担忧。节目分析了哈里斯竞选的机遇与挑战,包括如何争取年轻和非白人选民的支持,以及如何应对共和党对她的攻击。 Mary Radcliffe:哈里斯竞选初期的数据存在不确定性,因为哈里斯有机会重新向美国公众介绍自己。她需要重新定义自己在经济、移民和犯罪等问题上的形象,以吸引更广泛的选民群体。她需要克服她在2019年提出的那些在公众中不受欢迎的自由主义立场。同时,她需要学习如何吸引普通选民,而不是仅仅关注党内政治。 Jeffrey Skelly:哈里斯在全国民调中略微落后于特朗普,但差距与拜登与特朗普之间的差距相似。哈里斯竞选带来的民主党人热情高涨可能会影响民调结果。民主党人对哈里斯的热情与对拜登的悲观情绪形成对比。哈里斯需要在边境问题上采取积极主动的态度,既要展现强硬立场,又要提出更有吸引力的政策,例如公民身份途径。堕胎问题可能是民主党争取白人非大学学历选民和摇摆选民的突破口。

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In the span of just two days, Vice President Kamala Harris consolidated support within the Democratic Party and is well on her way to securing the Democratic nomination for president. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Mary Radcliffe and Geoffrey Skelley about what has and hasn’t changed in the newly reshaped 2024 presidential race.

Harris won’t have the same challenges President Joe Biden faced when it came to perceptions of his age, and already it appears some young voters and voters of color have swung in her direction. But, similar to Biden, voters largely view Harris as more liberal than they’d like on policy.

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