Democrats saw significant declines in support from non-college-educated, Black, and Latino voters, which were crucial for their electoral success. This shift was partly due to economic factors like inflation and a perceived lack of clear, populist messaging from the Democratic Party.
The optimistic view includes global trends where ruling parties faced backlash due to inflation, the temporary nature of Joe Biden's rhetorical incompetence, and the potential for backlash against Donald Trump's future policies, which could benefit Democrats in 2028.
The pessimistic view highlights ongoing demographic trends showing Democrats losing ground with non-college-educated and non-white voters, suggesting deeper, harder-to-fix issues. Additionally, a future Republican nominee not as offensive as Trump could regain support from college-educated voters while maintaining gains with conservative-leaning non-white voters.
Jeff Weaver identifies the Democratic Party's abandonment of economic populism since the New Deal era, particularly under Bill Clinton's policies like NAFTA and welfare reform, as a major issue. He also criticizes the party's shift towards neoliberal policies and a lack of clear, counterbalancing narratives against corporate elites.
Weaver suggests retooling the party's agenda and messaging to focus more on economically populist issues and against corporate elites. He also advocates for democratizing the party to bring in new voices and ensure that decisions are made by those in touch with the electorate, not just insiders in Washington, D.C.
Democrats lost big on Election Day: the presidency, the Senate, and maybe the House too. Vox's Eric Levitz explains what went wrong, and political strategist Jeff Weaver imagines what comes next for the party.
This episode was produced by Miles Bryan and Hady Mawajdeh, edited by Matt Collette, fact-checked by Laura Bullard and Amanda Lewellyn, engineered by Andrea Kristinsdottir and Rob Byers, and hosted by Sean Rameswaram and Noel King.
Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)
Support Today, Explained by becoming a Vox Member today: http://www.vox.com/members)
Attendees during Vice President Kamala Harris' concession speech at Howard University in Washington, DC. Photo by Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices)