cover of episode From Washington: The Paths To Victory For Each Candidate

From Washington: The Paths To Victory For Each Candidate

2024/11/2
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The Fox News Rundown

Key Insights

Why is Pennsylvania considered crucial for both candidates' paths to victory?

Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes and is a toss-up state with multiple paths to 270 for both candidates.

What are the key swing states discussed in the podcast?

Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia.

Why might Vice President Harris need to carry North Carolina and Nevada if she doesn't win Pennsylvania?

These states provide the necessary electoral votes to reach 270 if Pennsylvania is lost.

What is the significance of the Senate potentially ending in a 50-50 tie?

A tie would mean the Vice President would break the tie, determining control of the Senate.

Why might we not know which party controls Congress by November 13th?

Close races and potential recounts could delay the determination of control.

What are the potential scenarios if the Senate ends in a 50-50 tie?

A power-sharing agreement or a shift in caucusing could determine control.

Why is polling more challenging this time around?

Trump supporters are less likely to respond, creating non-response bias.

What are the potential implications of RFK Jr. being on the ballot in Michigan?

His presence could draw votes away from Trump, potentially affecting the outcome.

Why might Mike Johnson face difficulties in becoming Speaker of the House?

He needs a majority of all 435 members voting for him, which is challenging with internal party opposition.

What are some early races to watch on election night for indications of overall trends?

Virginia, Maine, New York, Ohio, and southern New Mexico are key districts.

Chapters

The discussion focuses on the electoral map and the importance of swing states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Nevada for both candidates' paths to 270 electoral votes.
  • Pennsylvania is crucial with 19 electoral votes.
  • Harris needs North Carolina and Nevada if she can't carry Pennsylvania.
  • Trump's potential paths include winning Arizona and North Carolina.

Shownotes Transcript

FOX News Pollster and Political Science Professor Daron Shaw lays out how each key swing state currently looks for both former President Trump and Vice President Harris. Does it all come down to Pennsylvania, or are there other scenarios where it could come down to Arizona, Wisconsin, or even a wild card?

With the race for Senate coming down to the wire, a 50-50 tie is certainly in the realm of possibility. Both sets of Republican leadership have their elections scheduled for November 13th. However, there is a chance we won't know which party controls Congress by then. FOX News Senior Congressional Correspondent Chad Pergram gives a brief history of ties in Congress and breaks down what races to watch on Tuesday. 

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