cover of episode Can AI Help Fix Boring Software?

Can AI Help Fix Boring Software?

2024/12/2
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WSJ Tech News Briefing

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C
Christopher Mims
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Danny Lewis
一名专注于技术和未来趋势的记者和播客主持人,目前工作于《华尔街_journal》。
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Dylan Field
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Dylan Field认为,AI在软件开发中的应用应注重实用性,从AI擅长的领域入手,逐步提升准确率并降低成本。他强调AI并非为了营销噱头而存在,而是要真正帮助用户提升效率。在关于AI是否会取代人类创意工作的讨论中,Field表示,Figma的AI功能被命名为"First Draft",意在强调其辅助创作的定位,目前AI还无法完全取代人类设计师。他认为,未来软件数量将大幅增加,但高质量软件的关键在于设计,AI的应用将推动软件设计领域的创新。 Jason Dean与Dylan Field就AI在软件开发中的应用成本、AI对人类创意工作的影响、以及AI对未来软件发展趋势等问题进行了深入探讨。他关注AI技术的成本问题,以及AI应用的定价策略。同时,他也探讨了AI技术应用于创意领域,是否会取代人类设计师的担忧。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Figma incorporating AI into its software development process?

Figma aims to enhance collaboration and design quality by integrating AI to assist at every step of the development process, making software more dynamic and interesting.

What challenges does Figma face with the integration of generative AI?

Figma must identify areas where AI can excel, optimize its performance and cost, and ensure it augments rather than supplants human creativity.

How does Figma plan to monetize its AI features?

Figma is currently in a beta period, offering AI features for free, but plans to monetize them in the future by optimizing costs and developing a pricing strategy.

What is Figma's stance on AI replacing human creativity in design?

Figma believes AI will augment human creativity, naming its feature 'First Draft' to set realistic expectations and emphasize its role as a starting point in the design process.

Why does Dylan Field think software is becoming boring?

Field believes software is becoming standardized, and to stand out, developers need to focus on making their software more dynamic and high-quality through better design.

Shownotes Transcript

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You want a straightforward path to your goals, but at Merrill, we know things may get in the way.

Or new opportunities can put you at a crossroads. With the bull at your back, you get a personalized plan and a clear path forward. Go to ml.com slash bullish to learn more. Merrill, a Bank of America company. What would you like the power to do? Investing involves risk. Merrill Lynch Pierce Fenner & Smith Incorporated. Registered broker dealer. Registered investment advisor. Member SIPC. A wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corp.

Welcome to Tech News Briefing. It's Monday, December 2nd. I'm Julie Chang for The Wall Street Journal. Over a decade ago, venture capitalist Marc Andreessen said that software is eating the world. And today, companies like Figma are playing a role in that. Figma helps designers and product developers collaborate to build their own software products.

At WSJ Tech Live in October, our global tech editor, Jason Dean, sat down with Dylan Field, co-founder and CEO of Figma, to discuss what role artificial intelligence plays in this collaborative process. Later on in the show, we'll hear highlights from their conversation. But first, the latest episode of our new podcast series, Bold Names, dropped on Saturday right here in the Tech News Briefing feed.

WSJ columnists and co-hosts of bold names Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims spoke with JB Straubel, the founder and CEO of battery recycling startup Redwood Materials, where he's on the cutting edge of an energy revolution that could turn battery recyclers into the new big oil. Before starting Redwood, Straubel was Tesla's chief technology officer, and he currently sits on the company's board of directors. In this episode, he shares what he learned at the Elon Musk School of Management.

WSJ's Danny Lewis spoke with Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims about their conversation with Straubel. On your latest episode, you talked to J.B. Straubel, who spent 15 years designing batteries for electric vehicles at Tesla. But now instead of building batteries at his new startup, Redwood Materials, Straubel's trying to break them down. Why?

To save the environment, to live in the earth and have a kind of a virtuous cycle where instead of mining these materials, which can be very messy to make batteries, essentially he's mining trash to bring in an electric car future. That's the ultimate goal. It'll take him years and years to get there, but he's already showing kind of some remarkable early success just after a few years, generating revenue from the sales of being able to pull things like nickel and lithium out

out of used batteries and sell those raw materials back into the battery supply chain. Right. And actually, at one point in the conversation, Strombol did make a comparison to his company that might be pretty surprising for the battery business. It feels a bit like we are inventing the next generation of refineries, so to speak. I hope we don't quite have a direct comparison to an ExxonMobil in the future, but

There is some commonality that we are taking these old raw materials and inventing ways to refine them into a whole selection of new products that the world needs. Christopher, how could battery recyclers become the new big oil? If you look at the scale of the energy transition we're going through, EVs are maybe 2% of the fleet in the U.S. right now. So imagine a future in which EVs are...

50%, right? Literally 25 times more EVs on the road than we have now or more to sustain that, to make sure that all those vehicles have batteries and

We are going to have to be recycling absolutely massive amounts of all of these materials that are inside their batteries. We just don't have a choice. You can't pull that much out of the ground. We can't build enough mines, no matter how cavalier we get about the resulting environmental destruction. So the same way that we have a country full of fracking operations and a Gulf coast full of giant oil refineries, we're going to have giant, uh,

lithium and nickel and rare earth element recycling facilities in the U S just to reprocess that material. So we can keep this electrified economy going. It's going to be EVs. It's going to be batteries in our homes. It's going to be an equal amount of batteries probably on the grid. So, um,

That kind of transformation, just the scale of it, it's almost mind boggling. Straubel used to work at Tesla, and you talked about his relationship with Tesla owner Elon Musk. Straubel is now on the company's board of directors, and he told you one thing he takes away from how Musk runs his companies is an aggressive approach to business. I think humanity is probably underperforming a little bit versus its potential. Maybe Elon is kind of beyond the optimum at times, but

I think, you know, it could be probably a positive example to really crank up the intensity for a lot of other folks. What else did he have to say about his experience working with Musk? I asked him if he was sleeping on the factory floor, because you have to remember,

Straubel was there in the early days of Tesla where Elon was sleeping on the factory floor. JB himself was not getting home very often. And one of the things that they were doing was creating capacity for electric cars that a lot of people didn't think was actually going to be needed. That's a huge gamble. And ultimately, they were proven right. And having that factory actually allowed them to grow that way and

And what JB is now doing is very similar to where he was years ago when they were thinking about what the world could look like for electric cars. And we talked to him about how do you scale a business for this huge future that you imagine at a time when it's a little uncertain where the electric car industry is at the moment. There are other people who feel like,

Maybe this thing is overblown and sales are not growing at the rate that they once were. And JB is incredibly optimistic as a person. He says he's generating hundreds of millions of dollars this year, which is surprising, will be surprising to people because the idea that there's this gold in this trash, not everybody saw that.

And maybe he'll, you know, in a few years, he'll be the leading face of the big battery industry. Big battery. Yeah.

Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims are the hosts of Bold Names. Thanks so much for joining us. Thank you. Thanks for having us. Those were WSJ columnists Christopher Mims and Tim Higgins speaking with Danny Lewis. You can listen to the latest episode of our series Bold Names right here in the Tech News Briefing feed. The next episode drops on Saturday. Coming

Coming up, the CEO of collaboration software company Figma says software is boring the world. How could AI help? That's after the break. You want a straightforward path to your goals. But at Merrill, we know things may get in the way.

Or new opportunities can put you at a crossroads. With the bull at your back, you get a personalized plan and a clear path forward. Go to ml.com slash bullish to learn more. Merrill, a Bank of America company. What would you like the power to do? Investing involves risk. Merrill Lynch Pierce Fenner & Smith Incorporated. Registered broker dealer. Registered investment advisor. Member SIPC. A wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corp.

Figma is a collaboration software company. It helps designers and product developers work together to build software products. And it's looking to incorporate AI into basically every step of the development process. That's according to its co-founder and CEO, Dylan Field. At WSJ Tech Live in October, Field joined WSJ Global Tech Editor Jason Dean for a chat about collaboration in the AI era.

Here are highlights from that conversation. Are you finding any things that as you sort of experiment and learn, generative AI is not good at in this, like not a good use for what you and your customers are doing? I think that what you have to start with when you're developing a product where AI is not just like sprinkled on top for marketing, but rather deeply useful for somebody to use, is you really have to start off by trying to find those areas where it can excel.

And once you find an area where AI can actually be legitimately helpful to a customer, then you can worry about, okay, how much of the time does it excel? Is this like a 60% time that it works or is it like a 99% of the time? And how do you get it from working some of the time to working all the time? You also then can worry about cost. Maybe you start off with the cost being really high and you go, there's no way we could ever ship this to customers. It just would be too expensive.

But then you can optimize that over time and make it lower too so that your margins aren't too impacted. Or you can figure out the pricing strategy for it. Yeah, I was going to ask about the pricing strategy because right now I think you're paying for it basically. We're in a beta period, yeah, where we're saying, okay, this is all so early, so we'll give it away for free for a period of time. But at some point, yeah, we'll need to monetize it and make sure that we're not footing the bill for everything. Are you seeing the costs come down in a way? Because one of the things that's interesting about generative AI, unlike a lot of previous projects,

you know, the software boom of the last two decades, the scaling laws are not the same in terms of cost because inferencing, you know, every time you use it, you have to pay in a way that isn't true. But are you seeing that cost come down in a way that makes you optimistic that people will be able to pay for it? Gosh, this is a big question. So training and inference are both important here, right? So training is when you're setting up a model in the first place. Inference is when you're actually using the model.

And on the training side, our costs are only going up as we're trying to make our product better for customers. On the inference side, I'd say you have competing things happening. So the sort of like unit cost almost is going down of inference time compute. But then the demand from our customers is going up.

So I would say our costs overall are growing a lot right now, but in a way that, you know, we're pretty optimistic long-term, there'll be some fixed costs part of it. It won't be all variable. Your clients are creative people, whether they be designers or developers, there's concern that generative AI will supplant humans in the creative process. What do you think of that? I mean, are you sanguine that that's not a concern, that it's going to be augmented and not supplanting?

Yeah, we actually named our feature intentionally around this. So we started off thinking of this question and we're developing features that could generate designs. And so we launched something called First Draft because we really think that, first of all, that's the intention is for it to be something that you start off with and it helps you navigate the DMEs of design and see the different possibilities that could arise.

But also, we want to set expectations in the right way. It's not good enough to be called anything else other than first draft right now. And obviously, we hope we get better over time. But I currently do not see a world where there's anywhere close to people even questioning this in design. Now, in other fields, maybe. But in our neck of the woods... Where somebody can just be like, okay, design me a new app.

and to have these qualities and then just let the AI do it. Well, I think this gets to maybe an important bigger question, which is what will AI do for software in the first place? And my point of view would be that you're going to see exponentially more software

But a lot of it is not going to be very good. Why is that? Just because if everyone's like creating software and it's based maybe on a prompt or they're not doing much to actually differentiate it. I mean, design is the differentiator for software.

And so I think the software that will stand out is a software that people are really investing time to design work in. I think it was like 15 years ago, y'all published Marc Andreessen's op-ed, "Software is eating the world." Right? And I basically think that's come true. Right? We've seen the exponential rise of software. No one thinks it's over. We all think it's continuing. So maybe it continues to eat the world. But if we're going to maybe like make a new POSA today,

it might be something like software is boring the world. You know, I mean, like we have this like... It doesn't quite have the ring to it. No, I mean, it's catchy, but like...

I really do think that there's a lot of standardization when it comes to software these days. And I think the future to stand out in an ever-increasing sea of software is that people need to make their software more dynamic, more interesting, higher craft. And that's why we're really focusing on how do we empower people to do that with their design. Dylan, thank you so much for being here. Thank you.

That was WSJ Global Tech Editor Jason Dean speaking with Figma co-founder and CEO Dylan Field at WSJ Tech Live. And that's it for Tech News Briefing. Today's show was produced by me, Julie Chang, with supervising producer Catherine Milsop. We'll be back this afternoon with TNB Tech Minute. Thanks for listening. Say this is your financial life. Over time, things can get more complex. With a personalized plan,

Merrill can help you navigate it all. Learn more at ml.com slash bullish. Merrill, a Bank of America company. What would you like the power to do? Investing involves risk. Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc., Registered Broker, Dealer, Registered Investment Advisor, Member SIPC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of America Corp.