cover of episode Marko Kolanovic: Might is Right & The New Economic World Order

Marko Kolanovic: Might is Right & The New Economic World Order

2025/3/18
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The discussion begins with the recent downtrend in the S&P, analyzing factors contributing to the sell-off, such as technical dynamics and market fears. Kolanovic and Nathan debate potential short-term market stabilization, emphasizing uncertainty in forecasting.
  • The S&P experienced a rapid decline to 5,500 before a slight recovery.
  • Market concentration in tech stocks contributed significantly to the downturn.
  • Technical factors like vol targeting and risk parity funds exacerbated the sell-off.
  • The market saw a bounce after reaching a 10% decline from its peak.
  • Kolanovic notes that while the market may stabilize, uncertainty remains high.

Shownotes Transcript

Dan Nathan and Marko Kolanovic, Former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, discuss recent market trends on the Risk Reversal Podcast. They explore the state of the S&P and its rapid declines, the geopolitical and policy influences affecting the market, and the implications of US tariffs and trade conflicts. Marko provides insights into the technical dynamics of recent sell-offs, potential recession indicators, and the impact of global fiscal policies. The conversation also touches on corporate CapEx, interest rates, and the outlook for major sectors like tech equities and consumer spending. Marko emphasizes the heightened uncertainty in the current economic environment and the challenges in forecasting market movements.

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