Let The Bull Loose | Citrini on Trump Trade, China, and Powell Put On Bonds

2024/11/10

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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Citrini

Jack Farley

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Citrini: 我创建了一个名为“特朗普篮子”的投资组合，其中包含我认为在特朗普胜选后将表现良好的股票。该投资组合以两种方式呈现：净多头和市场中性。净多头策略押注特朗普胜选对市场有利，而市场中性策略旨在更准确地追踪特朗普胜选的概率。该投资组合涵盖多个子主题，例如欧洲国防、关税受益者、银行股和中国股票等。虽然该投资组合表现出色，但我认为市场对某些股票的反应过度，部分交易可能已经结束。未来，我将关注确定性更高的投资机会，例如税收政策和监管变化带来的机遇。 Jack Farley: Citrini 的“特朗普篮子”表现令人印象深刻，其净多头策略自 3 月 4 日以来上涨 76%，市场中性策略上涨 31%。该投资组合不仅帮助投资者在特朗普胜选后获利，也准确地预测了特朗普胜选的概率，这表明市场并非完全无效。Citrini 的投资策略不仅关注宏观经济，也关注微观层面的个股选择，并根据市场变化及时调整策略。

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Citrini discusses his 'Trump Basket', a collection of stocks designed to thrive under Trump's presidency, highlighting its impressive performance and rationale.

Citrini's 'Trump Basket' has gained 87% since March 2024.
The basket was constructed to capitalize on Trump's perceived market positivity.
Key themes include EU defense and market reactions to Trump policies.

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Citrini, the thematic cross-asset investor known for his prescient and profitable calls on AI and GLP-1s, joins Monetary Matters to review with Jack his “Trump basket” which since its inception in March 4, 2024 to November 8, 2024 is up 87% (his Trump market neutral basket is up 32% over the same time horizon). Citrini explains why he created the basket and how its performance tracked and often predicted Trump’s odds of winning in the betting markets. Upon Trump’s victory, he tells Jack which parts of the basket he thinks are overheated and which have room to run. Citrini also shares his views on AI, the broad stock and bond markets, and the airline industry. Recorded on November 8, 2024.

Let The Bull Loose | Citrini on Trump Trade, China, and Powell Put On Bonds 01:06:58 Share

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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Let The Bull Loose | Citrini on Trump Trade, China, and Powell Put On Bonds