Stablecoins have found product-market fit due to significant platform improvements, such as reducing transaction costs from $5 to less than a tenth of a cent. This cost reduction is transformative for small businesses, like coffee shops operating on thin 2% margins, as it can double their profitability by eliminating high credit card fees. Small businesses, which often don't benefit from fraud protection offered by credit cards, stand to gain the most from stablecoins by reclaiming margins lost to payment providers.
Crypto app developers face inconsistent and opaque policies from traditional app stores like Apple's App Store and Google Play, leading to delays, denials, or blocks. Crypto-specific app stores, such as Solana's Dapp Store and WorldCoin's World app, offer fee-free alternatives and are gaining traction. These decentralized app stores provide a more consistent and open environment for developers, reducing reliance on traditional platforms and fostering innovation in the crypto space.
Only 5% to 10% of crypto holders are actively using crypto, representing a significant opportunity for the industry. Factors driving this transition include improved infrastructure, better user experience (UX), and the emergence of new application categories. The price innovation cycle, where rising crypto prices attract interest and development, also plays a role. As the technology matures, passive holders are more likely to engage with crypto for its utility, such as payments or decentralized applications, rather than just holding it as an asset.
Reusing existing infrastructure allows crypto builders to focus on differentiating their products rather than reinventing foundational components. This approach saves time and effort, enabling faster innovation. However, the success of this strategy depends on the stability of the tech stack. If the underlying technology undergoes significant changes, builders may need to adapt or rebuild. The key challenge is determining when existing solutions are 'good enough' to rely on, rather than pursuing bespoke alternatives.
'Hiding the wires' refers to abstracting away the technical complexities of crypto, such as terms like ZK roll-ups or gas fees, to make the technology more accessible to mainstream users. Instead of leading with technical jargon, the focus is on the benefits, such as cost savings or ownership. This approach is crucial for broader adoption, as most users don't need to understand the underlying technology to benefit from it. Simplifying the user experience can help crypto reach industries like music, fashion, and small businesses, where the technology's advantages are most impactful.
The key themes include the intersection of crypto and AI, the merging of digital and physical worlds (e.g., tokenizing physical assets), and the maturation of the crypto industry with improved user experience and infrastructure. These trends reflect a shift from focusing on technology-first approaches to solving real-world problems, making crypto more accessible and practical for mainstream adoption.
with @sambroner @meigga @darenmatsuoka @jneu_net @chrislyons and @rhhackett @smc90
Welcome to our special end-of-year episodes -- which also look ahead to 2025 -- covering our annual Big Ideas lists, where various a16z crypto team members share what they are personally excited about. (You can see the firmwide list, also including all the trends of the crypto team, here.)
This episode is part 1 of 2 -- but you don't have to listen to them in any particular order -- covering the trends and themes of:
Covering each of these -- and coming from the investing, go-to-market, data science, research, and media teams are: Sam Broner, Maggie Hsu, Daren Matsuoka, Joachim Neu, and Chris Lyons; in conversation with hosts Sonal Chokshi and Robert Hackett. (Stay tuned until the end for some of our meta-commentary.)
These are just 5 of the 14 trends we shared; you can check out the full list at a16zcrypto.com/bigideas.
Also be sure to check out part 2, which covers all the trends at the intersection of crypto and AI.
As a reminder, none of the content is investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information -- including a link to a list of our investments.