cover of episode Crypto Trends for 2025: Stablecoins, App Stores, UX, and More

Crypto Trends for 2025: Stablecoins, App Stores, UX, and More

2025/1/3
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C
Chris Lyons
D
Darren Matsuoka
J
Joachim Neu
M
Maggie Hsu
S
Sam Broner
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@Sam Broner : 稳定币已找到产品市场契合点,其未来主要采用者将是那些对成本极其敏感的小型企业,例如咖啡店和餐馆,因为稳定币可以显著降低交易费用,提高其利润率。他们将积极推广稳定币以吸引顾客。 @Maggie Hsu : 加密货币正在获得自己的应用商店和发现机制,这对于克服传统应用商店(如苹果和谷歌应用商店)的限制和不一致性至关重要。Solana 的 DApp 商店和 World 应用是成功的例子。虽然可能存在应用商店数量过多的问题,但目前的重点是促进不同应用商店的增长。 @Darren Matsuoka : 加密货币行业存在大量潜在用户(拥有加密货币但未积极使用),通过改进用户体验和基础设施,可以将这些被动持有者转化为活跃用户,从而推动行业发展。价格上涨通常是促进行业活动的重要指标。 @Joachim Neu : 加密货币开发者应该更多地重用现有的基础设施,而不是重复发明轮子,这将节省时间和精力,并使他们能够专注于产品的差异化价值。这需要技术栈的稳定和专业化。 @Chris Lyons : 为了让加密货币技术被大众接受,需要隐藏其底层的技术细节,并专注于向用户展示其实际应用和益处,而不是技术术语。这类似于 SMTP 协议的成功案例,其技术细节被隐藏在用户友好的应用程序之后。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are stablecoins considered to have found product-market fit, and what benefits do they offer to small businesses?

Stablecoins have found product-market fit due to significant platform improvements, such as reducing transaction costs from $5 to less than a tenth of a cent. This cost reduction is transformative for small businesses, like coffee shops operating on thin 2% margins, as it can double their profitability by eliminating high credit card fees. Small businesses, which often don't benefit from fraud protection offered by credit cards, stand to gain the most from stablecoins by reclaiming margins lost to payment providers.

What challenges do crypto app developers face with traditional app stores, and how are crypto-specific app stores addressing these issues?

Crypto app developers face inconsistent and opaque policies from traditional app stores like Apple's App Store and Google Play, leading to delays, denials, or blocks. Crypto-specific app stores, such as Solana's Dapp Store and WorldCoin's World app, offer fee-free alternatives and are gaining traction. These decentralized app stores provide a more consistent and open environment for developers, reducing reliance on traditional platforms and fostering innovation in the crypto space.

What is the significance of converting passive crypto holders into active users, and what factors could drive this transition?

Only 5% to 10% of crypto holders are actively using crypto, representing a significant opportunity for the industry. Factors driving this transition include improved infrastructure, better user experience (UX), and the emergence of new application categories. The price innovation cycle, where rising crypto prices attract interest and development, also plays a role. As the technology matures, passive holders are more likely to engage with crypto for its utility, such as payments or decentralized applications, rather than just holding it as an asset.

Why is reusing existing infrastructure important for crypto builders, and what are the potential obstacles to this approach?

Reusing existing infrastructure allows crypto builders to focus on differentiating their products rather than reinventing foundational components. This approach saves time and effort, enabling faster innovation. However, the success of this strategy depends on the stability of the tech stack. If the underlying technology undergoes significant changes, builders may need to adapt or rebuild. The key challenge is determining when existing solutions are 'good enough' to rely on, rather than pursuing bespoke alternatives.

What does 'hiding the wires' mean in the context of crypto adoption, and why is it important for mainstream users?

'Hiding the wires' refers to abstracting away the technical complexities of crypto, such as terms like ZK roll-ups or gas fees, to make the technology more accessible to mainstream users. Instead of leading with technical jargon, the focus is on the benefits, such as cost savings or ownership. This approach is crucial for broader adoption, as most users don't need to understand the underlying technology to benefit from it. Simplifying the user experience can help crypto reach industries like music, fashion, and small businesses, where the technology's advantages are most impactful.

What are the key themes emerging from the 2025 crypto trends discussed in the episode?

The key themes include the intersection of crypto and AI, the merging of digital and physical worlds (e.g., tokenizing physical assets), and the maturation of the crypto industry with improved user experience and infrastructure. These trends reflect a shift from focusing on technology-first approaches to solving real-world problems, making crypto more accessible and practical for mainstream adoption.

Shownotes Transcript

with @sambroner @meigga @darenmatsuoka @jneu_net @chrislyons and @rhhackett @smc90

Welcome to our special end-of-year episodes -- which also look ahead to 2025 --  covering our annual Big Ideas lists, where various a16z crypto team members share what they are personally excited about. (You can see the firmwide list, also including all the trends of the crypto team,  here.)

This episode is part 1 of 2 -- but you don't have to listen to them in any particular order -- covering the trends and themes of:

  • stablecoins, payments, and where the early adopters will come from;
  • app store distribution, curation, and discovery;
  • where the next crypto users will come from, turning passive holders into active users;
  • how builders improve, and better choose, infrastructure; and
  • simplifying user experience.

 Covering each of these -- and coming from the investing, go-to-market, data science, research, and media teams are:  Sam Broner, Maggie Hsu, Daren Matsuoka, Joachim Neu, and Chris Lyons; in conversation with hosts Sonal Chokshi and Robert Hackett. (Stay tuned until the end for some of our meta-commentary.) 

These are just 5 of the 14 trends we shared; you can check out the full list at a16zcrypto.com/bigideas.

Also be sure to check out part 2, which covers all the trends at the intersection of crypto and AI. 

As a reminder, none of the content is investment, business, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information -- including a link to a list of our investments.