cover of episode Is SOL Undervalued? 83% Discount to ETH? | Michael Nadeau

Is SOL Undervalued? 83% Discount to ETH? | Michael Nadeau

2024/7/17
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Michael Nadeau
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Michael Nadeau:我专注于链上基本面,例如日活跃用户、手续费收入和总锁仓价值(TVL),来评估加密资产的价值。Solana目前交易价格远低于以太坊,我认为这并不合理。通过对Solana和以太坊在2024年的链上数据进行比较分析,我发现Solana在日活跃地址、交易费用、去中心化交易所(DEX)交易量和稳定币交易量方面都表现出色,这表明Solana的生态系统正在蓬勃发展。虽然Solana的TVL相对较低,但这可能是因为其生态系统相对年轻。Solana的价值获取机制更加直接,而以太坊的模块化架构可能会使其在长期内获得更多价值,但短期内可能会导致其价值获取效率低于Solana。Solana的一些潜在催化剂包括Fire Dancer客户端和Blink项目。总的来说,我认为Solana被低估了,其价格有望在未来上涨,可能达到以太坊市值的25%。 我关注Solana的原因是,在熊市中,更容易发现哪些项目具有真正的价值。Solana在熊市中表现出一定的韧性,这让我对其长期发展充满信心。虽然Solana的生态系统不如以太坊成熟,但其用户体验更好,并且正在吸引越来越多的开发者和用户。 关于MEV,Solana的MEV占比更高,这可能对其手续费收入构成有积极影响。但是,Solana也面临一些挑战,例如其网络的中心化程度以及与以太坊的竞争。 至于以太坊,其模块化架构和与Layer2的合作关系,使其在长期内具有更大的价值潜力。以太坊ETF的推出以及与BlackRock的合作,都将对其价格产生积极影响。 Bankless Podcast Host:本期节目探讨了Solana与以太坊的价值比较,以及基本面分析在加密货币投资中的重要性。我们邀请了加密货币分析师Michael Nadeau,他从链上数据出发,对Solana和以太坊进行了全面的比较。Michael的分析涵盖了日活跃地址、手续费收入、DEX交易量、稳定币交易量、TVL和核心开发者数量等多个指标。他认为Solana目前被低估,其价格有望上涨。同时,他也指出了以太坊的优势,例如其模块化架构和日益壮大的生态系统。我们还讨论了Solana和以太坊的未来发展催化剂,以及两者在去中心化程度方面的差异。

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SOL cotiza actualmente con un descuento del 83% con respecto a ETH. Michael Nadeau, analista de criptomonedas, analiza si esta diferencia en la valoración está justificada. Su enfoque se centra en los fundamentos en cadena, como los usuarios activos diarios, los ingresos por comisiones y el valor total bloqueado.
  • SOL cotiza con un descuento del 83% con respecto a ETH.
  • El análisis se centra en los fundamentos en cadena como los usuarios activos diarios, los ingresos por comisiones y el valor total bloqueado.
  • Se comparan los catalizadores para ETH y SOL y se hacen predicciones de precios.

Shownotes Transcript

SOL is currently trading at an 83% discount to ETH - should it be? Michael Nadeau is a crypto analyst who can help us answer this question. His approach isn’t technical, he isn’t a decentralization-maximalist, and he doesn’t represent any specific tribe. Instead, he focuses on current on-chain fundamentals like daily active users, fee revenue, and Total Value Locked to provide insights. In our discussion, we explore why fundamentals matter when analyzing crypto assets like ETH and SOL. We review the data for 2024 to see who’s winning and examine the catalysts for both ETH and SOL. Additionally, Michael shares his price predictions for ETH and SOL this cycle and offers insights on which asset will outperform the other in the second half of the bear market.

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TIMESTAMPS 00:00:00 Start 00:02:59 Are Fundamentals Having a Moment? 00:08:59 Solana's 83% Discount 00:12:11 Fundamentals Data 00:17:09 Fees, SOL vs ETH 00:19:52 Fee Generation & MEV 00:22:36 DEX Volume 00:25:31 Stablecoin Volume 00:28:08 Total Value Locked 00:31:49 Core Devs 00:34:50 Value Accrual 00:41:45 The Bull Case For Ether 00:49:22 Upcoming Catalysts 00:57:09 Qualitative Differences 00:59:40 Price: SOL vs ETH 01:04:10 Price Targets

RESOURCES Michael's Report: https://thedefireport.io/research/sol-discount-eth

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠