Buffett's outperformance was driven by four main factors: 1) Activism, where he influenced management to close the gap between price and value; 2) A highly concentrated portfolio, often betting over 20% of his assets in a single stock; 3) Tenacious and creative research, including extensive travel to understand industries; 4) A remarkable filter for sifting through investment ideas quickly to focus on the most profitable opportunities.
Buffett invested in Philadelphia and Reading, a struggling anthracite coal company, because its stock was trading below its net asset value. Despite declining revenues and earnings, the company had valuable off-balance-sheet assets. Buffett bet on activist shareholders, including Ben Graham, to transform the company. Under new management, the company shifted focus from coal to acquiring profitable businesses like Union Underwear and Acme Boots, leading to significant share price appreciation.
Disney was unconventional for Buffett because it operated in a below-average industry (movies and entertainment) with unpredictable earnings. However, Buffett recognized the enduring value of Disney's content library and the visionary leadership of Walt Disney. Despite governance concerns and Walt's creative risks, Buffett saw Disney as a high-quality business trading at a discount, purchasing 5% of the company for $4 million. He sold a year later at a 55% gain after Walt Disney's death.
Buffett invested in American Express after the Salad Oil Scandal because the stock was unfairly punished despite the scandal being unrelated to its core traveler's checks and credit card businesses. Buffett recognized the strength of American Express's brand and its dominant market position. Through extensive research, he confirmed that the scandal had no impact on customer trust. He bought shares at a discount, and the stock delivered over 30% annualized returns in the following years.
Buffett's investment philosophy evolved from a purely quantitative approach, influenced by Ben Graham, to incorporating qualitative factors, inspired by Charlie Munger and Phil Fisher. While he initially focused on statistically cheap stocks, he began to prioritize the quality of businesses and their management. This shift is evident in his investments in companies like Disney and American Express, where he valued brand strength and competitive moats over pure asset value.
In today’s episode, Clay reviews Brett Gardner’s new book, Buffett’s Early Investments.
Brett is an Analyst at Discerene Group LP, a private investment partnership that invests globally based on a fundamental and long-term value investing philosophy. Like us here at TIP, Brett is also a huge fan of Warren Buffett.
During Buffett’s early partnership years from 1957 to 1969, he compounded his investors’ capital at 23.8% net of fees relative to the Dow Jones, returning just 7.4%.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro
02:14 - The primary factors that led to Buffett’s outperformance during early investing years.
06:09 - The parallels between Buffett’s investment in Philadelphia and Reading and how he ended up transforming Berkshire Hathaway in the years that followed.
27:15 - What led Buffett to make an unconventional bet on Disney in 1966.
43:55 - Why Buffett invested in American Express after the Salad Oil Scandal.
And so much more!
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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