cover of episode UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The future of inflation and interest rates'

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The future of inflation and interest rates'

2024/11/13
logo of podcast UBS On-Air: Market Moves

UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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Shownotes Transcript

We get US consumer price inflation data today. In one sense, the numbers are curiously unimportant. There are potentially competing forces at work on future US inflation. The fantasy owners’ equivalent rent measure should slow, but does not change anyone’s inflation reality. Oil prices may be lower, depending on US supply and Middle Eastern policies. Larger fiscal deficits, labor deportations, and consumer taxes via tariffs would all add to inflation pressures.