cover of episode Trump's tariff chaos rattles world economies

Trump's tariff chaos rattles world economies

2025/4/14
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@Jeff : 我在4月11日星期五录制了这期节目,节目在4月14日星期一发布。特朗普在4月2日于白宫发表演讲,宣布对几乎所有国家(除俄罗斯和朝鲜外)实施新的关税,这导致全球市场恐慌。关税是对进口商品征收的税,新的关税将使进口到美国的商品价格立即上涨,并导致全球贸易发生剧烈变化。特朗普称这些关税是“对等的”,声称其他国家一直在“掠夺”美国,但观察人士很快得出结论,这些关税并非基于不公平贸易行为,而是基于各个国家与美国的贸易逆差。例如,美国对越南征收了46%的关税,因为美国公司和消费者从越南购买了大量产品(如服装和鞋子),而越南公司从美国购买的产品相对较少。这并不意味着越南在占美国的便宜,而是因为美国人更喜欢购买价格更低的越南服装。特朗普的关税政策出乎意料,且随意性强,导致全球股市大幅下跌,投资者担心贸易放缓会危及全球经济。经济学家担心,其他国家可能会采取报复性关税措施,这可能导致全球经济衰退甚至萧条。美国消费者抢购进口商品,以避免关税提高价格。最初,特朗普坚持他的关税政策,但随后面临来自共和党议员、埃隆·马斯克和商界领袖的反对。在4月10日,也就是新关税生效的同一天,特朗普暂停了最高关税90天。虽然这在一定程度上缓解了市场担忧,但大多数投资者、企业、消费者和政治领导人仍然处于震惊状态。美国与中国的贸易战仍在继续,全球经济的信心受到严重打击。特朗普的举动破坏了二战以来美国为降低关税和稳定全球贸易所做的努力。特朗普的关税清单甚至包括了无人居住的赫德岛和麦克唐纳群岛,这凸显了其政策的随意性。

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So, uh, what is going on with tariffs? This episode is your up to the minute guide.

Hi there, everyone. It's Jeff and this is Plain English for Monday, April 14th, 2025. Plain English is the best podcast for you to learn English with stories about current events and trending topics. And today's story is quite current. We'll be talking about the tariff whiplash of the last two weeks. Now listen, I'm taking a risk here.

I'm recording this on Friday, April 11th. It comes out on Monday, April 14th. Anything can happen. That means there are almost three whole days between now and when this episode comes out. Who knows how outdated the content will be by then.

but we will press on. We have important work to do here, and that is to get you some real-world English practice.

The full episode resources are available at plainenglish.com slash 766. You can also find the link in the episode description in your podcast player. Now, don't worry. It looks great on mobile. If you're not a member yet, sign up and take advantage of all the great resources we have to offer.

The transcript, the translations, the quiz exercises, and discussion area. We give you a lot of practice with every single episode, so there's no excuse for saying, I don't have a way to practice my English. It's all there for you at plainenglish.com slash 766.

Before we start today's story, I'd just like to remind you that the podcast is just one part of how we can help you upgrade your English skills. At plainenglish.com, you can make faster progress with active learning strategies. You can take quizzes, do activities, listen to the fast version of the audio, and learn

Watch video workshops, practice what you learn, and even join a live call with JR and me. It's all about helping you build your skills to become a better, more confident English speaker. Sound good? Go to plainenglish.com to start your free 14-day trial today. Now, let's jump into today's story.

The last two weeks have been a wild ride for the world economy. On April 2nd, Donald Trump gave a speech in the Rose Garden outside the White House.

In that speech, he held up a chart showing the tariffs that he would impose on America's trading partners. Pretty much every country in the world except Russia and North Korea. A tariff is a tax on imports. So the new tariffs would immediately make goods imported to the United States more expensive.

and it would cause a dramatic scrambling of global trade in physical goods. Tariffs were imposed on imports from 200 economies. Most got a flat 10% rate, but some got much higher tariffs. In his speech, Trump called the tariffs reciprocal

The implication was that other countries were cheating America and that tariffs were needed to level the playing field. He said that for too long, other countries have looted, pillaged, and plundered the United States and that now, finally, it was America's turn to prosper.

I'll pause for a moment to let you stop laughing.

The U.S. has a per capita income of about $82,000. It imposed reciprocal tariffs on Bangladesh, per capita income $9,000, and on Madagascar, with a per capita income of $1,800.

In fact, observers quickly concluded that Trump's tariff rates were not based on unfair trade practices, but on individual countries' trade deficits with the United States. The U.S. has a trade deficit when American companies buy more from one country than they sell into that country.

Take a simple example. American companies and consumers buy a lot of products from Vietnam. Clothing and shoes, for example. But Vietnamese companies don't buy a lot from the United States. That means the U.S. has a trade deficit with Vietnam.

This makes sense. Americans buy a lot of t-shirts from Vietnam, but Vietnamese understandably don't buy a lot of Teslas from America. There's nothing nefarious about it. It doesn't mean Vietnam is taking advantage of the U.S.,

On the contrary, Americans would much prefer cheaper clothing from Vietnam than expensive clothing made at home. Nevertheless, Trump put a 46% tariff on goods coming in from Vietnam.

Although Trump had been transparent about his desire to raise tariffs, the specific levels took almost everyone by surprise, as did their arbitrariness. The reaction was immediate and swift.

Global stock markets fell sharply. Most main indices lost about 15% of value in just a few days. This was the biggest drop since the COVID-19 pandemic. Large companies, investors, and consumers were not happy.

They recognized that these new tariffs are really just a large tax increase on trade in physical goods. They feared that if trade slows down, then all the benefits of specialization and supply chains that have accumulated over many decades might be at risk.

Economists and business leaders openly speculated that a global recession or even a depression could result from this new American policy. One reason is that other countries would respond with their own tariffs on American exports.

American companies have a lot to lose if other countries impose tariffs on them in retaliation. American companies sell food, medicine, medical devices, electronics, cars and car parts, oil, gas, and more.

They would be hurt by an ever-escalating trade war between the U.S. and the rest of the world. Consumers in America rushed to buy imported goods like electronics and clothing, hoping to grab them before the tariffs made everything more expensive.

Just when global inflation seemed to be settling down, Trump came out with a sweeping policy that was sure to raise prices everywhere. Trump held firm for several days, saying he wouldn't back down. These new tariffs were for real, he insisted, and were not up for negotiation.

But there were cracks in the system. Fellow Republicans in Congress started to publicly doubt the wisdom of these tariffs. Elon Musk, one of Trump's biggest and most public supporters, said the tariffs were a bad idea. Influential business leaders went on cable television to express their concerns.

And then, without warning, Trump walked his tariffs back. On April 10th, the same day the new tariffs took effect, he paused the highest rates for 90 days. Businesses and investors were relieved to a certain extent. Stock markets bounced back a bit.

The most self-destructive features of Trump's new tariff policy were paused. But most investors, businesses, consumers, and political leaders remain in shock. Trump didn't pause tariffs against China, so the world's two largest economies appear to be fighting each other with taxes.

That's not going to be good for anyone. Even after the pause, American tariffs are higher than they have been in over a century. Trump's impulsive and erratic policymaking has shaken the world's confidence.

Since the Second World War, the United States has worked painstakingly and in detail with other countries to lower tariffs and stabilize global trade. This has led to unprecedented benefits.

But now the world knows the whole thing can be undone by an impulsive and erratic speech by one person.

The chart Trump held up in his Rose Garden speech is, if nothing else, a good geography lesson. For example, the chart made sure to call out new tariffs on the territory of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands.

Now, I am pretty good at finding things on a map, but even I didn't know about the territory of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands. It turns out that these islands are a territory of Australia, about 4,000 kilometers away from the nearest city, Perth. They are almost in Antarctica.

Now, I was worried about the poor people in the territory of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands. I mean, it's bad enough to live a two-week boat ride from the nearest city. Now they have to pay a 10% tariff? It's right there on the chart Trump held up in the Rose Garden.

But then, to my relief, I learned that these islands are uninhabited. That's right, nobody lives there. Trump made a special point to impose tariffs on an island full of penguins and seals. In case you're counting, we are not yet three months into Trump's second term, less than three months out of 48.

That's all for this episode of Plain English. We try not to dwell on the day-to-day here, but this was the biggest global story since probably the pandemic. So I figured we should talk about it, get you the vocabulary you need to think about the issue and talk about it in English.

This was episode number 766, so the full episode is at plainenglish.com slash 766. We'll be back on Thursday with, I promise, a lighthearted and delicious episode. See you then. You've reached the end of the audio version of today's episode, but the fun doesn't have to stop here.

If you like our approach, then I really think you'd like the exercises that come with each episode at plainenglish.com. Here's what you'll find alongside each story. You'll find interactive activities that help you improve your listening, speaking, grammar, and vocabulary. The activities give you immediate feedback to help you improve.

There's even a chance to record your own voice and compare your pronunciation to mine. That's a great way to improve your pronunciation and speaking. And it's just one of the many interactive exercises we include with every lesson.

So don't just listen to plain English, get involved. Be an active learner at plainenglish.com. Start your free 14-day trial today at plainenglish.com.