A new and mysterious Gemini model appears at the top of the leaderboard, but is that the full story? I dig behind the headline to show you some anti-climactic results, give some context with leaks in the last 48 hours of diminishing returns to scaling, and add the response of Altman, OpenAI and co. The future is about to look a lot stranger...80,000 hours Podcast and Channel: https://open.spotify.com/show/2WzJwXWBDnn4iZ7odKwDib) https://www.youtube.com/@eightythousandhours/videos)
You can now gift memberships to AI Insiders (my Patreon w/ exclusive vids, network): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/gift) ‘There is no wall’: https://x.com/sama/status/1856941766915641580)
https://x.com/vedantmisra/status/1857148554105544708
Gemini Ranking: https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard
API not yet up: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1857106844805681153)
‘Just Die Chat’: https://x.com/koltregaskes/status/1856754648146653428)
Google CEO tweet: https://x.com/sundarpichai/status/1857114106928718329)
Sutskever Quote: https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openai-rivals-seek-new-path-smarter-ai-current-methods-hit-limitations-2024-11-11/)
Another OpenAI Staffer Leaves: https://x.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1856843040427839804)
Bloomberg Report: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/openai-google-and-anthropic-are-struggling-to-build-more-advanced-ai?s=09)
Noam Brown on what OpenAI Researchers Believe: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1855037689533178289)
Clive Chan: https://x.com/itsclivetime/status/1855704120495329667
Chollet Responds to Altman: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1857060079586975852)
https://x.com/sama/status/1856940152460869718)
Altman Emails: https://x.com/TechEmails/status/1857285960997712356)
Change of Heart: https://sd11.senate.ca.gov/news/senator-wiener-responds-openai-opposition-sb-1047
Amodei on ‘Empirical Regularities’: https://lexfridman.com/dario-amodei-transcript/)
Verge Report: https://www.theverge.com/2024/10/25/24279600/google-next-gemini-ai-model-openai-december)
OpenAI Agents in January: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/openai-nears-launch-of-ai-agents-to-automate-tasks-for-users?srnd=phx-ai