Leak: ‘GPT-5 exhibits diminishing returns’, Sam Altman: ‘lol’
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The last few days have seen two narratives emerge. One, derived from yesterday’s OpenAI leak in TheInformation, that GPT-5/Orion is a disappointment, and less of a leap than GPT-3 to GPT-4. The second comes from a series of 4 clips (shown in this video) from Sam Altman, regarding the ‘clear path’ to AGI. Let’s go beyond the headlines (and through papers like Frontier Math) to get closer to the ground truth…  Plus Universal-2, Sora comments, Claude 3.5 Haiku SimpleBench update, and a great new AI video.Assembly AI Speech to Text: https://www.assemblyai.com/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=influencer&utm_campaign=ai_explained 

00:39 – Bear Case, TheInformation Leak

04:01 – Bull Case, Sam Altman

06:20 – FrontierMath

11:29 – o1 Paradigm

13:11 – Text to Video Greatness and Universal-2 

TheInformation Leak: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-shifts-strategy-as-rate-of-gpt-ai-improvements-slows?rc=sy0ihq)

Noam Brown Replies: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1855453104394637444)

Sam Altman Y-Combinator Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXCBz_8hM9w&t=1556s)

Altman Reply: https://x.com/sama/status/1855100359511097828)

https://simple-bench.com/)

FrontierMath Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2411.04872

Frontier Math Blog Post: https://epochai.org/frontiermath)

Tao: https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1854996368814936250

MMLU Are We Done (cites me!): https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.04127)

Universal-2 https://www.assemblyai.com/research/universal-2)

Noam Brown ‘We don’t know’: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr_eYXdHFis

Anthropic Founder Response: https://x.com/jackclarkSF/status/1855485569998217231

Sora (Runway Comment): https://x.com/c_valenzuelab/status/1855026417354129455)

Sora New Vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iETa2KDRuw

Darri3D Video: https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/1gn0n3z/can_you/