Steve Hsu was almost part of the Trump administration in 2016 due to his connection with Peter Thiel, who played a significant role in the transition. Hsu was considered for a senior-level position that would have required Senate confirmation.
Hsu's early education was highly accelerated, allowing him to take university-level courses while still in high school, such as quantum mechanics and advanced analysis. This precocious learning environment prepared him for a career in theoretical physics, where his autodidactic tendencies and ability to grasp complex subjects quickly became assets.
Hsu was elated by Trump's re-election, partly because he had an inside view of the deep state's efforts to undermine Trump during his first term. He felt that Trump's victory was a triumph over significant opposition and lawfare.
Hsu argues that the NIH, being the largest funder of basic science, produces a lot of low-quality research. He cites Ioannidis' findings that suggest a significant portion of biomedical research does not replicate, indicating a reproducibility crisis in the field.
Hsu's transition to computational genomics was driven by the declining cost of DNA sequencing, which made the field tractable during his lifetime. He leveraged his background in physics and mathematics, particularly compressed sensing, to develop novel algorithms for genomic data analysis.
Hsu acknowledges that while there has been a slowdown in certain physical technologies, digital progress has been significant. He believes that the exhaustion of low-hanging fruit in some areas, rather than institutional failures, could be a primary cause of the perceived stagnation.
As VPR, Hsu managed a $400 million research enterprise, overseeing competitive grants, strategic initiatives, and the allocation of funds across various disciplines. He had significant discretion in prioritizing research areas, which sometimes led to conflicts with certain academic fields.
Hsu believes that while some technological progress is independent of basic research, a significant portion, such as the development of the nuclear bomb or gene sequencing, is directly dependent on fundamental scientific discoveries. He argues that basic research often provides the necessary theoretical underpinnings for technological breakthroughs.
Hsu is concerned about the erosion of meritocracy, the increasing precariousness of life for the average American, and the country's overall competitiveness. He also worries about the potential for a hard landing due to the U.S.'s accumulated debt and inefficiencies in production.
This episode is an interview I did with the new podcast Information Theory. The host of Information Theory is an anonymous technologist trained in physics and machine learning.
Information Theory Podcast on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@InformationTheoryPod)
Information Theory Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6PbxeOYInRuH4DBXOAOq5u?si=q90fZh8PRUut5c1XG4K7Sw)
(00:00) - Introduction to Information Theory podcast
(01:19) - The education of a physicist
(10:53) - Computational genomics
(19:40) - Thinking styles and collaboration in theoretical physics
(26:08) - Scientific progress and the Great Stagnation
(40:39) - University research administration
(45:05) - Reproducibility crisis
(57:58) - Impact of basic research
(01:03:16) - Critique of NIH and biomedical research
(01:06:48) - Personal reflections on Trump's re-election and an inside view of the 47 transition
(01:12:37) - Silicon Valley and US politics
(01:15:30) - Concerns and hope for America's future
Steve Hsu is Professor of Theoretical Physics and of Computational Mathematics, Science, and Engineering at Michigan State University. Previously, he was Senior Vice President for Research and Innovation at MSU and Director of the Institute of Theoretical Science at the University of Oregon. Hsu is a startup founder (SuperFocus, SafeWeb, Genomic Prediction, Othram) and advisor to venture capital and other investment firms. He was educated at Caltech and Berkeley, was a Harvard Junior Fellow, and has held faculty positions at Yale, the University of Oregon, and MSU. Please send any questions or suggestions to [email protected] or Steve on X @hsu_steve.