cover of episode European Central Bank cuts rates warning of "exceptional uncertainty"

European Central Bank cuts rates warning of "exceptional uncertainty"

2025/4/17
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People
C
Christine Lagarde
E
Emma Wall
E
Estelle McCartney
I
Irina Hazaryan
J
Joe Cavatoni
N
Natalie Tucci
R
Roger Hearing
S
Sarkis Karapetian
V
Vasily
Topics
@Christine Lagarde : 我认为当前市场存在例外的不确定性。欧洲央行将采取观望态度，看看计划中的关税是否会导致欧元区通胀上升。我们预计关税会对增长产生一些影响，但其对通胀的净影响只有随着时间的推移才会变得更加清晰。 @Emma Wall : 欧元区经济增长本来就乏力，而关税的冲击更是雪上加霜，这使得欧洲央行的降息举措在某种程度上是意料之中的。市场预期今年还会有三次降息。 @Roger Hearing : 国际货币基金组织（IMF）管理总裁@Kristalina Georgieva 表示，不断上升的贸易紧张局势和全球贸易体系的剧烈变化将导致IMF下调经济预测。然而，她表示，他们并不预期全球经济衰退。华尔街的一些大型银行对避免经济衰退的预测表示异议。 @Natalie Tucci : 意大利总理梅洛尼与特朗普总统的良好个人关系可能有助于降低欧盟与美国之间的贸易战温度。然而，这种关系所能产生的影响是有限的，因为特朗普可能试图通过与意大利达成双边协议来分裂欧洲，但这将是违反欧盟规定的。即使梅洛尼与特朗普在政治观点上存在一些相似之处，但由于民族主义的特性，特朗普的贸易保护主义政策最终仍可能损害意大利的利益。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter discusses the warnings from global financial institutions about the consequences of US tariffs. Christine Lagarde's announcement of an interest rate cut and the cautious approach of the ECB towards inflation are highlighted, along with the IMF's downward revision of economic forecasts and China's response to the trade tensions.
  • ECB cuts interest rates amidst exceptional uncertainty.
  • IMF expects downward revisions of economic forecasts due to rising trading tensions.
  • China's role in stabilizing trade amid US tariffs is discussed.

Shownotes Transcript

As the ECB cuts interest rates again, it would take a “wait and see” approach on whether planned tariffs trigger inflation across the Eurozone.

With gold prices hitting a new record high — how do you actually go about buying the precious metal?

And in the age of AI, could the person you’re interviewing for a job not be real? Roger Hearing explores the growing threat of deepfake job applicants.