cover of episode 2017 Predictions Calibration Results

2017 Predictions Calibration Results

2018/1/3
logo of podcast Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Shownotes Transcript

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them. Here are 2014), 2015), and 2016).

And here are the predictions I made for 2017. Strikethrough’d are false. Intact are true. Italicized are getting thrown out because I can’t decide if they’re true or not.