cover of episode DHUnplugged #728: Wild Ride

DHUnplugged #728: Wild Ride

2024/11/20
logo of podcast DHUnplugged Podcast

DHUnplugged Podcast

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Andrew Horowitz
J
John C. Dvorak
Topics
John C. Dvorak 认为特朗普任命奥兹医生担任卫生与公众服务部部长是出于某种补偿心理,因为他对奥兹医生在宾夕法尼亚州参议员竞选中失利感到内疚,并认为特朗普可能想通过给予他一份工作来弥补这一点。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast opens with a discussion on the wild fluctuations in the financial markets post-election, touching on the confusion and volatility seen in small-cap stocks, Bitcoin, and healthcare stocks.
  • Small-cap stocks saw a 100% surge on election day followed by a 4% drop the next week.
  • Bitcoin reached new heights, hinting at potential deregulation under the new administration.
  • Healthcare stocks, particularly vaccine makers, saw significant drops due to concerns over new cabinet appointments.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Hello and welcome to the wa. co. It's unplug and our long discussion of activity in the financial markets around the world.

Feature ing column is john c. Deora and money manager Andrew. This conversation is casual and unrehearsed. Let's join john and Andrew now.

I'm john sea to .

rock and i'm andhra .

z and is the sixth of november twenty twenty four uh thanksgivings next .

week I know how is that is that yeah are you having your something, your house or .

yeah yeah I finally .

talk about that.

I'm going to, for the first time ever, yes, i'm going to smoke a turkey.

Oh, and how are you doing that in a smoker?

A big, a big a, one of the big guy, like a small verse of a commercial smokers. Electric IT has smoke feed, and I can be controlled as digital control. So I can just put IT on there and on to deal with IT.

what? And is that? I got the name that is one of the tips of the day i've given IT on the no gentry can see the new trigger.

No, no. Trit, no, no. This is smokers. I can look more like a refrigerator. Sw.

a master built.

It's something like that.

Okay, as good as so it's contain because .

the problem you have with the trigger.

right? I use that for my cold smoking. Yeah.

it's what you have to call smoking attachment, then. No, I just do IT .

with a warm smoking. And let's put that way, which I don't cause I just put the.

but they have a, you get an attachment to cold smoking, attachment to true, true cold smoking, where the temperature doesn't really go up there.

right? I do IT where I have A I could put cheese and things in IT, but I put a wooden the bottom. But since you could seal that, you can close the door. No smoke really .

releases well. There's a little vent.

You can open and close the time. Well, that's IT comes out.

I'm interested myself because i've been well, I bought IT for the purple because I like you. I try these different device so you don't use flame devices as much as I do. Some reason and i've been i've been thinking this may be the way to go to get the brisk and .

i'm looking for that's a good idea that happens.

You'll you'll do long for basically an infinite two twenty .

cook perfect.

which is sounds like what you want exactly.

Well, by the way, we going to ask the front talk about this in the beginning of the show because, of course, the tips that you get from us from from our coronary experience is obviously important. But more important right now is the donations. Because, you know, we have a new shirt design coming up, been going through generations with the artist.

And just to give you a quick one, quick take away from this, and I want to surprise, come going to surprise you with this two in your temp. If you hate to love IT, but they have two people to to host talking. So I said to my favor, can you make them a little bit older? Because they, we're like, Young kids were like, like fifteen year old. These people came back with this wrinkly old. I think they meant the story might make IT old.

IT was.

that was a lot. IT was terrible.

real, and his brother.

but the point is we're making the show to show design some things that we do on the show, of course, bring you week in a week out, information, news um discussion, ideas, how to invest in education of course. But what we do is in return, as you know, that if you want, it'd be very helpful if you can find IT within yourself for a little donation, go over to the and plug 点 com。

Any of the shows notes page or on the website front page itself is a little Better is donate. It's yellow when you click IT IT actually doing this really doesn't. When you click IT, you, I don't want to give you away, but when you click that button does something cool. So go over to the website d plug dot com and check IT out.

Let's talk about .

the ups and the downs. The election confusion, markets, a wild ride, more to come. Its all over the place. So the small caps, we have five in a hundred percent the day of the election, then down four percent. Last week, we've seen bitcoin rising to new heights and we've seen other areas, the market, like some of the health care dogs, and smashed with on the latest cabinet and other appoints by incoming president elect trump. One of the ones I thought was kind of interesting with today with doctor s for health and human services or something or medical health in something another I thought IT was .

just interesting pic, yeah well, you know, if you have the doctor, oz was a ref for senate and .

pensylvania for.

yeah who at the time couldn't even say a sentence if father is gone you know, snapped out of this is super because of you had a stroke but he's fine now but he was he couldn't say a sentence, but they saw what his doctor isn't. And trump thrown his weight behind him. And I think trumpet has a guilty conscience ence about the fact that he couldn't get him to across the finish line.

So I gave me a job, that game a job uh so I have a lot of others that are coming in that are interesting um um gets in this one and who else we get the Linda what name and lot, lot of guys much different than the by administration, by the adminstration. We are looking for women to fill every position.

Yes, of course, but this is so much different last year as we got the C, T, B, the closed the pin for carvin a will be closing out this coming friday and that's IT for two thousand and twenty four um except for the very exciting finale, which is the close to the pink cup. Where are the winners from each of the closed the pint of the year get to compete against each other? And I think we we add in last years closed the pink cup winner as well. And don't we? Yes.

we should have the two years people, two years with the people.

Two years were the people. So last years and years worth because so yeah, I guess we could take a look at up.

We have that in the records yeah .

you know it's very good filing system just .

yeah find somewhere more hacks.

No one seems to care about another big bank sea. And this one, sami affects me actually. And we have new talks again. Back in the news, nuclear war.

nobody cares. Yes.

they cared. They cared for about twenty five minutes this morning, pre markets down. Jones was down about five hundred points and neck was down about a percent as if he was down.

And and my my dates like, you know what? If this going to be a nuclear world, who cares? anyway? Let's buy the stocks that move them up.

I think the real thinking is that they figure trust to to put in in tol as B. S.

I know I can. I cannot use that for every excuse because before trump was elected, and even before he was even thought to be anywhere in the lead, the same kind of crap is going on OK. I'm not quite sure. Yes, I know that I wants to use that as the latest and greatest, but but I don't understand.

First of all, we can talk about the, what will talk about this, the by demonstration, the stupidity of long rings, visuals given them to ukraine as a proxy, and now what russia did, but and russia, they they get to start a nuclear war over missile is coming in, that they shut down seven or eight, I don't think so, but the talk is out. And that's just not a good thing, is just not a thing you want to do. What do you need to talk about that?

And if they think people will read IT click bait by russia.

no.

that's what you want to talk about IT for. Oh, I guess.

But I don't understand why why russia wants to even bring this up into .

the discussion is just I an I go although the ones that is keeps supposedly are saying IT, but aren't information. The kind of of information between us and russia is bogus.

Well, the funny thing is we're supposedly cut off all ties with them. And there was some discussion about russia limiting or reducing amount of enriching radium or some kind of uranium that we use for energy. Think we, we, didn't we stop dealing with him? Didn't we stop all business ties? I suppose not.

What else do we have?

Announcement I have in the results of the chilly competition that I was in last weekend. You won third place.

Third place. You fall in off off you most of the podium.

I know I I knew that going into this year. I know you going to say I I may mention that on the show that I was planning on backing off a little bit because I won the last couple of years and and other I did, I did. I said that i'm not doing. And again, people going to get mad at me.

This is, but this is positioning for losing.

Well, I said that going in. So I came an entirely new recipe. IT was a korean style.

Yes, I do gave us the recipe, the last show.

the show before. So I knew the problem was, so the third place i'll take.

IT IT IT, was risky, but he at least .

got some just about eleven or twelve different chilies that came into the competition. I mean, one was waggie bed chilly.

please.

four and one was a pot. So our netflix ww, we have a jake pole. My time to do. You're the kind of person I think would watch that.

Did you watch that?

Of course I did. I told you, I know you. I know you. And how did you enjoy that event?

He sucked, except they will say this. There were two female boxers, I pair and I guess jack pail is like a promoter, uh, and he thinks is the female boxing is underrated. And I never liked that.

I don't like female boxing, but there were these two girls that were kind of, I think, no one forty class like that. They rented heavy at all, but they weren't fly weight one formally to think of fly weight. So I think is one, ten and fifteen something like allowing those lies? And these two girls produce one of the best fights i've seen in probably five years.

Well, he was just dance around the kind of thing.

No, they were just going for. He was, wow. This is like a watching a couple, like going back to twenty, thirty years of these mexican fly weights who didn't have enough punching power to knock each other up, but they get thrown a lot. And then these two were just going nuts.

You know, million years ago, I stop watching the my tysan fights because I lost so much money, not from bedding, but from buying the direct T, V. Or I was the paper view. No, and you d have to stay up to god is whatever. Yeah, be one round and be one round to be over. I did this three times that my tyson fights are doing again.

I would bet IT on my ties and fights, but I would never pay money to see you unless I could be there.

get up close. And personally, guys and these fighters, well.

the clothes i've came to one of them, we, my wife and I went to see the vandals ly field fight when he was a cruiser weight, and he was taken on this skin till men who not called, and he walked, right? bias. And he is just a back. Yeah, his dad guy is nasty guy, a nasty looking guy. He looks like he just wants to beat somebody up.

I had the same experience with the same guy. Oh, I was at the bollinger club in new york city, manhattan, and I I was leaving. And I woke up the stairs, like three stairs, to get out the front door onto the street.

And as I get up the second stairs, someone calls my name to say goodnight to me. I turn around and I said, oh, but I turned back around to walk out out and like, literally, in my face is a vander holy field face to face and I look and I like, oh, my. And he has this like a letter y big, strong face like his face itself hurt me. Just looking at IT IT .

was like he's got, he has a dinner, my boxers .

face and I was just like I was petrified picture .

of thought I would ask for autograph.

I could say they like, sorry.

Well, I did. Well, I had to say this. I I did have actually long conversation with a, with joe frasure. No motion.

Joe mok joo.

yeah. There was an event at one of the context h shows years ago, and he had a little thing he was doing and and he was up on us on the kind of a platform. And I I went up on this platform even though they kind of skip over a barrier to get there.

And I went after, because I went to get some photos. There was frasier and he was standing there. And so we had a chat, and I and he's signed a bunch of stuff for me.

We won't sign any gloves because the gloves were the wrong brand. He couldn't touch. He had to know, I guess he couldn't sign somebody else's a branded of glove. And if he was a great guy.

freer.

joe.

smoking joe, I was back what the eighties.

seventies he was a while ago? No, wasn't. It's probably early nineties.

I think I don't think the fraser was early nineties, but joe free when he .

was when he was a fighter or he wasn't a fighter the time he .

is retired oh ah yes, he's good looking guy, I see. January forty four years born and born in buf, south CarOlina, he died in two thousand eleven, smoking to sixty five, eighty one. That's when you buy IT.

Yeah I I think I Cameron ninety ninety, he's still Carry a lot. He wasn't Carry as much way as wasn't is a boxer because he was losing way because he was became a rock star singer or something the country in western really enough but he was just a great day to talk to right?

Got to um well, sixty million, sixty million people tried to watch the fight. There was a lot of glitches and system overloads and problems.

which and I had at one moment IT asked me the question. IT stopped net fx es, you sure you want to watch this? no.

Now I there is a joke that somebody did is stopped. And have we get off reboot? I had to start netflix older really.

yeah. I mean, this is can be interesting. I mean, jake paul took in an eat round decision. J poll got about forty million times twenty. Well yeah, IT would be interesting of death. Lux is going to start doing these kinds of live events and maybe doing back to the back to the old, right back where we started back to, you know, paper view, even at the dollar per person, twenty thirty million per pop .

or more. I mean, if I would pay IT.

you would pay a dollar.

No.

no love for something else. You may. I mean, something you would like to be a fight.

would I? I'm already paying for a sub ript in netflix that should be free as where I see IT and netflix.

Actually, I think I have something else. Do I have this where I have this netflix, there were some news on this. I thought I wrote this down for us.

We why they charge this is like this idea, you know this charge. And then well, this put .

there was a announcement this week to be the fifty it's fifty million of the two and thirty million subscriptions that netflix has is now ad based. So that's ky, right back to what .

we started. Yeah this is I don't like IT follow up on .

our palette and and we've been talking about the stock for a while.

The paleo was the last year funny.

he jumped deft earnings, then announced the move to the nas deck. This was kind of interesting. So a really good earnings number. We talked about that last week or the week before and um that was very nice then.

And I I mentioned that IT was IT was peer till that was getting out of the stock. Yes, guss, that selling into strength knowing this was gonna happen, that's because he's got so much of .

IT found holdings have increased in valued by about three point two billions since the only report .

and two billion since .

the election. Yeah, not bad. Yeah, you don't peat. Now he was interesting, you know, they announced that they are going to go to the nastec from the new york stock exchange. IT used to be that the new york stock exchange was like the crime. Delle crim, that's place you want to be.

Yeah, I might be I still think that way as .

deck has now become much bigger because there's some other things that can happen. For example, pound, you were smart. They realized there a tech company, their AI related and also in technology. And if, in fact, they jumped from the new york stock exchange to the next deck, a few things happen. Number one, theyll be on the as deck, which is you know good exchange. But number two, um not only a yd be in the S M P five hundred, they're going to be probably included, which they are going to be in the Q Q Q or the next dec. One hundred, which is a huge index that the action I .

would didn't consider.

So they jumped and went there. Stock was up another eleven percent on friday. Don't like five percent yesterday, but still up two percent today as of last friday, the number one performing the S M P.

Five honer this year. Number one.

who knew we IT we've on ted for clients for over a Better year. No, you know, yeah.

up forty.

And I won IT personally, up forty percent months to date, up two hundred and fifty percent year to date. unbelievable. I didn't know what can do that well, to be honest, and we didn't pair back a little bit, but still pretty good is another company on the other side, once hot, now not company that we have for clients actually bought low.

We sold higher than we boost, some higher than we sold on the way down we get out of IT. Finally though, which was good, this was a different kind of design where we bought this IT wasn't a IT wasn't IT was IT was A A one of our core positioning that comes from an algorithm or formula that we wrote to come up with which stocks should meet these criteria. Anyway, super micro sc, I darling.

For some time, a few short cells like the index g however, was attacked them. Stacks sold off. Company decided, hey, you don't want to do socks selling off.

But may these other companies did a great job of this ten to one reverse or the ten to one split? Do the ten to one splits? By god, we're going to do IT to stock was as high as twelve hundred per share, brisk IT.

Now if this was twenty one dollars, twenty three dollars, twenty five years, whatever is today um who want to about two hundred and seventeen dollars. So in other words, let's just use them the old numbers first, second stock, one from twelve hundred to two fifty. That's a long way down.

Yeah especially .

because they're in that major a supplier for your video.

No.

things are not good. Couldn't kicked out the anas tic. In fact, as of yesterday, there was concerned that they're going to be delisted because they could not find an order or because they order uh, decide to to back out. No, no out video stepped in stock is up like thirty percent today. So now they target key filings by early two thousand and twenty five, and the next stack will keeps them in.

She's from a .

story that you wrote or cent and I wrote me about stock market has only done something three times since january of eighteen seventy one.

Yeah, somebody, somebody, you know, this is static cious. These guys are out there. So I guys to do baseball status, you know, is the first time ever that a third basement stole second base and the third inning of a game that was that was tied and was like the one of those guys, right? And so and you know these guys, there's tons of about their and somebody I don't know how you come up with this one, but they came up with IT, yeah and by the way, mean, he said me, I said I ask, i'll ask coras.

i'll know yeah well, this is something that we do track to cate sully um was the sully. P E ratio, K A P E ratio, which is it's a it's a ratio that is average over ten year periods. You get this kind of smoothing effect and when IT comes out at a certain level is a big concern in a couple years ago was you know thirty five or shown I like, wow, we have been seen that before.

That's really high. I mean, that actually over value. And then you'll go to the parish and where the short term is long term anyway, but by mine is really overvalued.

Well, where we are now is at thirty eight. Only three times during a bull mark rally in one hundred and fifty three years have we seen something like that was december of one thousand nine ninety nine. During the dark com boom, the ratio peaked at forty four point one nine dict ous.

Meanwhile.

in the first week of two thousand and twenty two, IT briefly lifted above forty. So now again, those triggers, right? First, first week or month of two thousand one two.

What happened afterwards was disaster markets were down like twenty five percent in two thousand twenty two, when the worst years on record. Then they talk about december one thousand nine hundred ninety nine. Again, a trigger, a trigger time where you, oh, what happened then? Well, IT failed miserably after the fact.

Whole point of this article was to show that, you know, when you have these situations, you can have, uh, really rough time. Thing is IT, i've seen that where also doesn't necessarily happened so quickly. Do anything IT IT goes up.

IT does need to level off. So a lot of things going to happen for that to be the case. But isn't that to be a crash? IT could just be a sideways action for a while. IT could also be the earnings lifted up.

They don't talk about that.

They think about so here's another point that is going on on right now, only a few times in history, we have this back to back. We have this now. We start adding some of these things in.

Then you start getting a little concerned. The next point is that we have very rarely have had to think only a few times in history back to back twenty, twenty plus percent gains in the markets over, you know, two year period. I think maybe twice in eight hundred years or something like that, we've seen three back to back twenty percent or more.

So we know that markets are a bit overvalued. okay? That is mean they can be overvalued for a long a period of time.

That's not that could happen. We know the case shiller showing us that there's an overvaluation. We know that we know there's a lot of a animal spirits have been to released recently with the whole trump for president.

You know, good to go back to the good times and everybody is getting free money and deregulation and bobb. So are we going to see a two thousand twenty five that's going to be amazing. I don't know the feed backed off last week said, you know, i'm nature first game. We're looking concerned about inflation and what's happening in the fact that maybe we move too quickly. They didn't say that overtly, but they said that they, you know can be more patient in their lowing of rates.

So talked about the Russell .

that was after election of five percent. That was all the financials. There's a new talk.

We talk about that already. Something talk about that. They think one thing about the nuclear talk that was interesting. What what are you thoughts in this? Where is a doctrine that russia sign today that says that an attack from a non nuclear state is backed by a nuclear power will be treated as a joint attack on russia?

Yeah, yeah. I saw that. Now I think it's reasonable. You know, you can just say, like all of a sudden I say russia for examples, a gives a bunch of what is what kind of what happen when they put about your missiles in cuba but let's say they uh armed coast rica with a bunch nux and then they always and attacked us but .

who's .

really attacking us?

But I don't think that they're talking about necessarily only nuclear here. Aren't they talking about attack generally speaking?

Yeah, I think so at some point you're going on. Well, that's again this is he to keep bring them up. But this is maybe pre negotiating with trump.

maybe.

But is this the same thing?

What's on the same thing as iran giving stuff to the hoods are then attacking israel? Yeah.

is the same thing.

But we're all upset about that. But we give the thumbs up to go ahead. The hey o go go.

Well, so that's what we do. So .

ridiculous.

We have these tendencies to say one thing, to do another.

But clearly, well, this more hacking going on, hack ers linked to a chinese intelligence agency were able to breach tea mobile as a part of a monthlong campaign despite the cell phone communications of high value intelligence targets. Last wednesday, FBI in the U. S.

Cyber, a watchdog, H Z sisa C I S A um said the chinese linked hackers have inacceptable is a violent data intended for american law enforcement agencies after breaking into an unspecified number of telecom companies. Now only october of the journal report that chinese hackers access to um access the network of U. S.

Broadband providers, bissing A T N T and loomin technologies and A T information from systems that federal government use of a court authorized riot p. So what? How does that happen? The wire types got tapped.

I don't know.

Anybody even care anyway, mean, know everything is out. There isn't IT.

Well, not necessarily the plans for the f thirty five, which the chinese apparently stole. Of course, stealing the plans for a supersonic jet is and then making the jet. I think people have to take that into consideration.

And that's like stealing my chilly recipe then trying to make IT and can happen.

I think IT can happen with your chilly recipe, but I don't think you can have with a jet engine. This you're really good at what you do.

Now what else do we have? We have some we have some heating up in the technology space in particularly talking about in video, which will be reporting earnings tomorrow after the bill. And as manufact, you know, the old we just say search stocks were bell weather. Remember that bell weather of the market will be reporting bill weather. G, E was a bell .

weather those days over over.

So in video, be reporting. And a lot of people think that this is more important than fed rate cuts or anything else. They hold such a huge position in so many portfolios and so many indices that the move that they're gonna will be pretty substantial, whether IT supper down. Well.

let's the world war down the street.

You know, the world on the street is jet wong is all over saying a great everything is that everything celling that is the that they they can't keep IT on the shelf that you know, Michael dell comes out and talks about how incredible the sales are and they just install these things left and right. Elon must comes out with. I don't even nobody y's buying six point two billion dollars with invidia chips for something x ai. Is you in the capitals to buy like six billion dollars with the chips, which gotto getting a lot of chips?

Yeah, I, well, they're not cheap chips.

Even if there a million dollars, you gets you plenty of chips.

Yeah, well, it's true. Is going to a lot of chips, lot of chips. But they are having trouble making these chips.

Well, the bigger problem is this black, well, this new yeah.

that's the chip.

The the is the newest and greatest chip. The black world chip is experiencing overheating issues when installed in these high capacity server racks. Big problem did .

thing get very hot.

Is the water cool and you know if you don't I don't know if it's not cool off in in in the the the high capacity server areas in the data centers break mom jim cramer came out on .

the defense is .

like kind of, you know, I can't believe this. I can't believe that the worst, I think was the journey came out with this story because yesterday, monday, because they knew that in video is in the acquired period right now, they can't and video can't defend themselves because the earnings coming out and they can't talk about these kind of things and the wall street jl knew this.

And what are they doing? What are they doing something like this that makes you look like that? There's new defense of this? Again, Michael dell came out was a few things and said he's stone still, you know, meanwhile, just wrong, who was the CEO was out on the road giving speeches. So I not exactly sure with this quiet period that jim crane premier was trying to pass on and he's also talking about. So the comments about delena, I mean, so surprised, surprise, surprise, surprise jim krim's blish ah shocker yeah I mean.

one day you can .

say something truck I wouldn't buy in video. The next day, video goes up like not. This is why we own the stock because IT goes up like this.

And those stupid people that are selling IT right now like what what are you talking about? So um in video watch the word I think is a lot of high expectations, very high bar is not much from a investor confidence in the investor animal spirits kind of backdrop that would take down the stock. That doesn't me go up a lot. It's been somewhere in the one forty one fifty range for a while now.

Yeah, it's gonna have to do something pretty spectacular to start discovery.

And how long can they continue at this pace? That's the bigger question. How long they can they continue with earnings up? You know mega multiple les on a regular basis? Again, we've seen this before.

This is this is not necessarily a new type, not a new situation. We've seen companies with new innovation come out. I mean, deal was one of those many companies come out. This is only so many things that people can buy in need. Now yes, when you come out to do in innovation and new products and you have a software package that supported and its new technology like the AI as they can run for a while, this, this, this particular, this train can continue. And I don't think we have any disagreement about that, right?

No, not at all.

But there's also a limitation of and when you start getting so big, how much more in percent connect growth go are you can be able to do one hundred percent a year. I mean, you doubled in every year. I mean that, that becomes large.

So I think, yeah, I think that seems unlikely.

Tesla, you want to talk about tesla because everybody else is.

yeah, I have no interested talking about tesla, but everyone else.

So we might as well as well. And musk is everywhere these days. Disney is like he's got close or something.

I think just two of them.

It's going to be at least two of them. So and he's spending .

all of time in maro log on. Trump can get rid of them. He jokes about IT. He jokes about I can't get read. He jokes about the Ellie an around, he's always .

around how was lost into the same thing? Yeah, same thing and he said, he's not.

which I don't know trump appreciate IT or likes IT or I don't know. I can't forget that almost has a possible of these guys.

What what do you do when you just go over there and ring the door bell? You go in the .

back and say they gave him a hand A, I guess, in marie on this, where you just stay .

in there most, is the checking up at the hashana.

yeah.

He deserves IT he bought election.

forgot he does because of the twitter stuff. Yeah, he probably has probably a company forever for this for four years.

We know that he was an election beneficiary. Tesla stocks, tesla stocks were up dramatically. Um elan seems to know how to properly manipulator situation.

I think he's very good at what he does. And to be honest with you, I think he knew that he can manipulate trump. I really do.

You are not going to argue against that. But then again, trump t may be manipulating him at the same time.

I think be manipulate other.

Yeah now now .

if remember, trump elan musk has been, I mean, really second on the government. Tit for how long ever.

right, this whole business approaches to get government money I I guess I just launched the missile. They all flew down trump's jet, down to taxes to watch the missile le go up and down and then then coming down was supposed be captured again and fill the room into the drink. Yes.

but I said about that.

but I think that money is the big thing. I .

mean, I stop now, right? And there's a big money graduate now what does he want more than anything right now for tesla? He's been talking about IT can't make that happen. Been talking about robot taxi right?

Full right? Yeah, it's been time. But that the very beginning.

a full self driving, that's the big ticket, right? Well, on monday, tesla shares jumped following report, the president elect, Donald transition team is planning to make a federal framework framework frame work as the word always look at that word.

That means they don't have anything by the way they is talking um and they are planning to make a framework by the way they don't have a framework to planning to make a framework to regulate self driving vehicles a top priority for U. S. Transport department.

But of course, trump s transition team did not verify stock jumped bigly on this news. In in speaking, involve this news, dog. D O G E, the department of government efficiency. How funny is that? Is like fifth creator saying the word penis.

yeah.

pretty much, you know, must get vivid is gonna.

I guarantee, is going to work that dog, the dogs, dog into this somehow .

I did already the, the dark, they, the dog, the the department of government efficiency with a dog on there, like a picture on a meme dog. I mean that I don't find IT funny. I don't know why. I just don't find IT humerus.

I don't I don't find IT.

do you?

I think IT is, I think is moderately funny. I from your your jewish and you only like jewish humor IT seems to me, I always notice that this me, this is john steward counting material. This you don't think it's funny.

Yeah I don't know .

about that gentle the gentle .

humor you can get.

You think this is .

I just think that the its juvenile yes.

gentle humor is what I said.

Gentle, juvenile humor .

is what IT is.

So no, 这个 i'm a little bit I guess an in your .

mature mail you're get old .

yeah I guess anyway, the doge committee that doesn't exist yet, by the way .

yeah actually probably can't exist. It's gonna very strange. They're going to try to implement you .

going to try to cut government expenses. And monday, trump advising G, O, P lawmakers iron to cut medicare, food stamps to fund tax cut extensions. I like that yeah, as a good one. So you basically gna rob from the poor to pay for the rich.

I don't think they accomplish anything. This has been tried as I we talked about this no agenda area, a thursdays and sundays of two P M. Eastern as you like to put IT, I do.

And and it's been tried the who, the hover commission began the whole thing back in the twenty years. And this been tried and tried and tried and tried. No one has gotten anywhere, nowhere. They haven't ten anywhere.

They can even get rid of the department of education, which is created by Jimmy Carter in one nine hundred and seventy eight or seventy nine, eight or seventy nine, and and IT creates the department of education. And since the day one of the department of education, they they worldwide scholarly scores are intellect in the united test drop from number one in the world to number twenty eight or something like that. IT just goes down every year because of this department of education fisco.

And one person after another comes in and tries to get rid of that. They can do IT. So if they can't do that.

they can do anything. No, no, they can, but they can make the doge coin move up and value up under. This is the election.

I don't know that this is .

the biggest money grab events that i've seen some of this all this, all this .

is a gift.

The whole thing is A I mean, he also have, like yesterday, that the you can see the kind of signs of some of things going on. You have the the the trump stopped buying back, which is one hundred sixty percent on the bike is getting more into cypher currency. Now this that's that's funny, that's funny.

IT is IT is funny. You got bit going up, bit going up over the ninety three, well up over the ninety three thousand dollar thresh hold drop back a bit. That role right back up. Where is IT now you ask? I think I almost saw ninety four thousand .

to ight .

may be back off a at ninety one thousand and. And tomorrow be, did the big, big assignment to be less regulation, new person in the S. C C, maybe no taxes on cypher to currency.

Who the hell knows that be the day election?

rec. Shares of vaccine makers fell on thursday and report a lot of this is centrate around all the stuff going on with the election because that's the news of the moment. Kennedy, Cindy.

rob advise investors to look at this from a comedian perspective. A, if you remember. And I I use this as the example, and I think I can help with the vaccine makers of drug companies, in particular, all of them.

If you remember when biden came in the office into this day talks, so we're going to end fossil fuels. If you had bought ten an x on mobile the day he got in office, I think IT doubled. IT may be tripled. It's just sky rocket.

Uh, and I don't know why would you know and what what is managed to do? And the other thing, the other kind of contrary thing you have to always know and that they don't like the I don't know what the democrat don't break about that, but for the reasons of their base, I think they won't say anything about IT. Our oil production went through the roof.

We've produced more oil now we did during trumps era. But somehow they managed to do the oil companies of favorite and and make IT sound like to sol. Everything's under threat.

So we have the expensive gasoline, while at the same time having pretty much a god. We have a four x blood and natural gas for sure, and there's a blood of regular fuel. It's ridiculous what's happened and is all because they point one way in some. I went back against the .

want to be against the farmers who in fact, if you think about like flu remedies and things like that because he's actually against vaccine, see major na stock closing five percent lowered over vx seven percent vizor into two percent lower. So maybe some of the companies like I don't know, like ah the mass companies together. So I don't know something Johnson yeah something that has flu remedy could be on the upside.

So things we're going have to watch for pretty interesting what else we have called water or five by the fed last thursday, federal ave. Chairman john power, the man who won't resign, and canopy fired. So that strong U.

S. Economic growth will allow policymakers to take their time in deciding health are and how fast to lower interest rates is not sending in the single, he said. We need to be in a hurry to load rates.

Ah markets weren't so happy about this. This is the strength that we are currently seeing in the economy, is the ability approach our decisions carefully, not day. Wouldn't be careful if there were other conditions.

I guess now that is a big participant. This is the problem. This set the stage for this, this set the stage free first to know that, you know, they get a problem there.

Backs up against the wall for a lot of different reasons. Uh, tariffs, potential tax break the regulation. All these things could be inflationary.

They also, moreover, could be growth or oriented. And they don't want to supercharge the economy. There's no reason to do so by lowering rates even further.

So they did the first time around. They screwed up. So um markets surprised in twenty five basic point cut in december. But I know IT looks like a pause from there kind of we can see attitude.

But I saw these predictions that they may over this year, we're going to do this many cuts or we're going to do that many cuts next year. And then they don't do him.

Now it's not them actually. They don't make predictions. They won't do that. That not stupid. It's the markets that are today.

You might be .

wronger about that, okay. But the markets are the ones making the predictions. They're kind of following along. They're being Priced in by the markets and then the following along not to creating undue surprises. That's how they're Operating.

Yeah, no surprises.

please. Yes, no surprises. Don't like that AMD. This is something like an a company that is making strides in a ito last week AMD. Secondly, of four percent of its global staff, they trying get IT, trying to get a stronger football in the growing artificial intelligence chip space dominated by video. As part of our aligning our resources, which are our largest growth opportunities, were taking a number of targeted steps that will unfortunate result in reducing our global workforce by a possible four percent. Can you explain that to me?

No, I can't. It's a good one though.

We are going to really we're .

going to make nothing about money. It's just gonna coming out of our year. So we have to lay bunch people off to do that though.

Ah we have so much product on the line because we going to lay off five people and instead of having ten people on the line making things were going on at five as there can be a lot greater production. stupid. thousand. You know.

if they say we've got we're doing an analysis of our a workflow and we have a lot of dead wood, we're getting rid of them, I think that would at least okay. Yeah, go. That's good. You do that once .

in a while in the in in the news of bankrupcy, so hard to say that spirit airlines, after years of financial loss and failed burger tempt is filing, has file for chapter eleven stock was fifteen percent on the close today the locals Carried and announced which to deal with bone holders, restructure its debt and expect to continue flying as Normal during his bankrupcy process, which is great.

because I have a fight on friday on spirit. Yeah, why did you take a spirit flight?

Well, I bought the tickets about six months ago and .

has been chep. IT was not terribly .

but yes was he was reasonably cheap, well compared to other alias and if has a good flight to where i'm going and then I did back IT up with another fully refundable ticket from american, which I cancelled .

today because .

just in case yeah just in case they cancelled them out. So um this is standard procedure. They are going to fly through this. They're to be probably out of their um bankrupted by the first quarter come back, meaning Green. Most.

but this can some leverage for for a emerge. Seems to me you guys won't let us merge, but now we broke. We're going to do now. Thanks for nothing.

Yeah, frontier may coming after them. After the fact, frontier said they may do something after the bank. Sy, no, maybe during .

the banker. Cy, together. wow. The jogger that be .

low earnings came out the same pitch. They have modest speed and concern about the outlook. Consumers are being more selective.

They're looking at pricing. Stock is a premarket down on the reality of the situation. We seen this from a lot of companies lately.

Disney report a nice court to last week. Revenue for the entertainment segment, which includes the traditional TV networks, direct consumer streaming and films, increased in percent year of year. That's good during disney's fiscal two thousand twenty five, they now expect high double.

No, see me, high single digit adjusted earnings grows and is IT compared about a year ago. So good book comment on the year. They have a lot of massive problem, is still to clean up a lot of bloating there.

Still many believe that this going to be continuing problem as long term for this company that can can of IT still accept about twenty five percent day, eight percent month to the buck fourteen, for sure. I think just did. The expectations were like one, one ten.

yeah. We had on the game for a while.

Yeah, what do we got here? The bird flu, the bird flu is back. The sensitive of disease control and prevention on friday, last friday confirm that a person contracted bird flu in a case linked to to an Operate at second thousand birds and class county.

yeah, where is that anyway?

Where is class county?

I have no idea. As already.

I think, say, let's put IT in here. Class county is one of the thirty six counties in the U. S.

State of oregon. I'll look you. The population was furious.

Twenty one thousand, its organ's third most populous county. Can do that. That's pretty good.

Yeah I live out new as coast.

So clock with county. Um the commercial poultry Operation public health itals declined to provide details about the person in the Operation or all the details also. No there's no evidence of birth through spreading from person to person, and the risk of the public is low.

So you get the first, the point of the report.

You can get bird flu from a bird, but the person can give you to another person. Pretty interesting.

This is correct. This has been the case in this, where they always kept an eye on bird flood, because because of that changes that we get issues, you have to take a horrible self replicating M R N A vaccine, which will find, which is what they called and and what you get. One of those in your system, you must also be a zombie.

I've talked to several people of last month there having a strange lag problems. Have you heard about this? Do we talk about this?

No talk about. I talk to the people that also.

they just can't work. Their legs aren't working. I'm my kidding.

Well.

doesn't sound good. One league, the other. And these are same people that i've talked to. Older people are older. That were the vaccine hunters. You know, the people like as soon as the vaccine came out, they were jumped over each other to get to you, to get to IT, and they, in the boost to came out.

G, put me online and they would like to know.

you know, the I voted the stickers, just stick on yourself. Fifty vote, yeah, it's like I was vaccinated. I was boosted. Like, how do you have I five, I six? Yes.

you could have up deny. I think that are, can maybe?

And these are the same people that are having late problems, you think is any? I brought this up to them. I said, do you know what is possible as the vaccine? Oh no, no, no, no, no, no. But do you know do you .

know what that actually does? Correlations and not what? IT causation not correlated.

Tions not causation. Yeah, is just a covent cowk. Kdc is a total coin.

I that the same people, at least i've you've you've empirically observed IT h that have gotten get of climbed for the shot, now can move a league. Okay, that sound good to me. yes.

And I guess in closing, let's talk about poor rudy. Poor, poor rudy. He just has to make a little bit longer, just hold out a little longer and trumpet public partner right now you think.

oh, absolute old trump's gonna knowledge, sexes and hell part and rooted is going to probably part in a banner and that in jail? No, no, he's not a jail. But you can still be part after the faster clears up your record.

What was guy? Was the guy? The guy .

naval Peter guy.

the other guy? I was lived in florida here. He was taken away. It's got the weird tattoo of like nixon on his back, or something, or ragan, or .

something roston. But yeah, you get i'm sure I get he was like in my .

neighbor. Call him away. Like right on the block for my office. Oh, really.

Way they it's gotta to nicks and .

is that is nixon back? I find that funny. Yeah yes.

he keeps people from, I guess, from certain kinds of sexual X.

I guess. Anyway, rudy Julian is relics, doesn't have watches. And the Mercedes, once owned by the moves star Laura, call two former georgia election workers who .

want trying to steal everything. Yeah, here's the guy who is the kind of heroic mayor of new york and for a long time. And then they just go, you know, they just decided the rate .

during nine level, let's be honest.

He was.

everybody knows this. And then him and the pillow guy, this is the pillow guy. GTA get a captain.

I don't think so. But the pillow guy is quiet. You know, Adams met the pillow guy? No, and he likes some guy. He thinks the guy is just a really nice guy.

But here's a little this for people that don't listen both shows uh, he made IT a, he says the pillow go who was really hard on the fraudulent election of twenty twenty for various statistical reasons he said this can be true um IT turns out that the pillow guy, what's his name is mike l. He, before he became the pillow guy, he was a professional car account. No, and he was a natural one of those guys they didn't have to really do, you know, just looking is like a savant, like in raining man.

I know they took to kid the vegas and they could just see everything. So that was that my and so when he saw the election results in twenty, twenty, he is just as mine clicked into know this can be possible. That would do I think that the way the numbers are coming out, just not right. And so that's mike lin dell and he thought is just a great guy well.

IT seems that unfortunately really Juliana, which turned out that he to get the strings there at the end um well.

he was strange actually even before that he had when he ran for president the first time and I think he was an twenty I am during the obama at era and he was getting weird then that he was little Better duty well.

a trove of watches in a ring were delivered by fedex to a bank in atlanta that the Mercedes was in nineteen eighty. Mercedes ban S. L five hundred was also was turned over to address and highly of florida undisclosed amount and an disposed amount of funds from Julia ani city bank account. Bring a Mercedes with cash to pay the civil, the iron stand this but anyway.

that the sound right .

they will give you. Now here's what interesting on this. The Mercedes S L five hundred was worth a wapping five hundred fifty five dollars and and the materials like, hey, hey, hey, how could you be taking this cards below some threshold? Ld of something for, you know him to give things that, I mean, if you could just not do stuff for a little while now, can trump stop, pardon and reverse this?

I don't know if you can. That's a civil case, I think.

right? civil? yeah. exactly. yes.

I don't think you do anything .

about IT poor rudy, paul, rudy. He made his bed though. He won't stop. He wouldn't stop. So now he .

was kind of the full of himself there at the end. Unfortunately for him, let's get him back off. And I wasn't doing any good is a game .

that we play. It's not a solicitation to buy ourselves. Any security is not a recommendation of a kind.

Nothing on the show should be considered investment advice or a recommendation if you chose to invest in any install ks mention, you should know that I may Carry risk along with the risk of a loss of principle. You should also seek out professional financial advice for your particularly situation. We assume no risk as these are not to be considered recommendations.

Harris, the company myself or john seed of org, may invest in any security mentioned and will disclose that on the website. Under the weekly stock pic section, you can go to D H M plug dot com and see all the names we discuss in the segment, along with the performance information from the date disgust as well as any additional important disclosures. I get kicked on my planet, fit this memory.

I want to to click to cancel. But trump was elected. And I think that the idea of those kinds of things um where companies have the apprehend IT was considered maybe less regulation and therefore, it's not going to go through or can IT would be squashed. So yeah, you're .

thinking was backwards.

What was he was? He was good thinking. But I didn't honestly think that trump s is going to come in. Well, not that you were going to come in. I didn't think that this would be related to IT.

yeah. Well, I think he has to do with the Kennedy.

why? What is a business? Uh, maybe enjoy .

your attention to IT that would that be enough?

Move and kick?

Oh, I think so, I think is in a jar on the mental.

So strange. what? Happy to people. So let's go. Another exciting here mean, you know, the same thing, same numbers, really not a lot of more movement on this.

Some of the things like simple energy that you board, which is utility services doing well, energy transferred up eleven percent, intel down ten percent. Then we have kicked on the planet fitness belly divided income. I, I, I mentioned this I don't think is a good idea. Not that we can kick. It's just not a going .

where I thought, yes, yes, I I realized that, but you I have to give you some koodi with the AMD short oh, because i'm the one who picked yes, I thought that was not onna work.

amy, one thirty nine now Price.

So you was the picture that month.

Pick the month. Pick the month. Pick the most two picks you do. Okay, go OK.

How many do you go with? These are insider because i'm looking at this list, single ly, only good insider stuff. Here I can. How come I just do that all the time and and I have to go get these numbers. I go get the sheet I was looking at um i'm going to .

go with the echo .

star sets insider. This is the chairman just bought forty three .

million dollars with the the .

stock that's a simple .

l set is this S.

A T S I I probably would not um ever think buying the stock, i'm not a fan. But to sump up there, some is going on with the chairman is buying that my child is a blue and november twelve, i'm thinking about what's well, you don't just do that.

echostar. Is that that's not dish, right?

No, I no, they should take about by eighty. And t IT was at one time I was, I did on dish. I think I don't think IT doesn't anymore. But why I went up anyway.

So that could start once to six point five million dollar. True to deploy military five g network for bliss um direct T V five days ago, direct T V drops ecosia merger bid. So they dropped the bed.

So okay, that's that's why a good thing. I think that that dish is not gonna stay for long. And then i've got, uh, this is a another one that is insider. This is the director David in horn decided to buy seventy million dollars worth of of the stock, which is Green .

light .

yeah Green light capital, Green brick, Green brick, Green partners. Green brick partners .

is a hedged phone that has a publicly traded tracking stock called Green light. He's very much aggravated with the market right now. He's a gambler, is a poker player, big poker player, Young guy, that was one of the upper ing stars. But I don't know a Green brick is I know Green light, but I don't know a .

Green brick is is a residential construction Operation is on the start under new york. And it's considered a consumer .

cyclical.

What was a symbol? G, R. B, K.

do you? B, K, it's a trading at sixty eight .

dollars year right .

inside us in horn.

Yeah, horn. And where is the Baker brothers when I need go? Subscribed to their service?

Yeah, yeah, alright, we going to ended that. I have nothing. I'm i'm of really trying to collect what's gonna good after I told you a mean of life, something for a couple weeks. Well, till after the election, stuff flushes out.

Yeah, well, it's flush and fast.

Fly is I will. I taught you again next week here.

Okay, see you then.

But youth been listening in on a conversation with john n sea to work and Andrew horowitz .

hope to be with you again soon. Ball bye. Now i'm not group, but basic thing, i'm not down to my last sink because I got a little, but it's my last.

Yes, in my pockets stands a thing. All my dew was nearly spin, but i've got a dollar and it's my last. Oh, I love just one more, but for you, leave me a chance.

Now, here's a hint. I feel like a in, you can help. I don't can. No, I can give me the ice. Staff was, I got a dollar .

my last 嗯。

Or with economy ink, is registered as an investment adviser with the state florida and conducts business in other states where IT is properly registered or is excluded from registration requirements. Registration does not imply any level of skill or training.