cover of episode Moore’s Law at 60: how it’s still changing the world

Moore’s Law at 60: how it’s still changing the world

2024/12/19
logo of podcast Lexicon by Interesting Engineering

Lexicon by Interesting Engineering

People
S
Sanjay Natarajan
Topics
Sanjay Natarajan: 本人担任英特尔公司高级副总裁兼技术研究部门总经理,负责推进摩尔定律以及量子计算、氮化镓等相关技术的研发。摩尔定律的核心在于晶体管数量的指数级增长和成本的持续下降,它深刻地改变了现代世界,带来了计算能力的民主化、自动驾驶汽车的出现以及全球互联互通的进步。然而,摩尔定律并非自然规律,而是整个行业共同努力的结果,它驱动着半导体产业链的发展。英特尔通过材料创新(例如高K金属栅极、硅锗、应变硅等)、架构创新(从平面晶体管到FinFET,再到全栅极环绕晶体管)以及先进封装技术(例如Foveros和Foveros Direct)等突破,持续推动摩尔定律的延续。英特尔独特的研发制造一体化流程,使其能够高效地将研究成果转化为产品,并与产业链合作伙伴紧密合作,确保技术创新能够顺利落地。未来,先进封装技术,特别是将多个芯片集成到一个封装中,将是延续摩尔定律的重要途径。此外,英特尔正在积极探索二维材料(例如过渡金属二硫化物)和钌互连技术,以进一步提升晶体管性能和互连性能。然而,全球计算和通信的功耗增长速度远超能源供应增长速度,这需要行业在超低功耗开关和计算架构方面取得重大突破,并对整个计算堆栈进行重新思考。将算法硬编码到晶体管中,以及模块化计算机系统,可以降低功耗。最后,区域多元化对于增强全球半导体产业的韧性至关重要,美国正在努力重建其国内供应链,英特尔也积极参与其中。 Christopher McFadden: 主持访谈,引导话题,并对Sanjay Natarajan的观点进行提问和回应。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What is Moore's Law and why is it still relevant today?

Moore's Law, formulated by Gordon Moore in 1965, observes that the number of transistors on a chip doubles approximately every two years, leading to increased performance and reduced costs. It has driven technological advancements for 60 years, enabling innovations like smartphones and self-driving cars, and remains relevant as it continues to push the boundaries of computing power.

Why did Gordon Moore dislike the term 'Moore's Law'?

Gordon Moore never intended for his observation to be named after him and considered it an economics paper disguised as an electronics one. He preferred the term 'Carver Mead's Law,' named after a colleague at Caltech.

What are the three key pillars of Moore's Law?

The three key pillars of Moore's Law are: increasing the number of transistors on a chip, making them faster, and reducing their power consumption. These pillars have driven the evolution of semiconductor technology for decades.

How has Moore's Law enabled self-driving cars?

Moore's Law has enabled self-driving cars by increasing the number of transistors, reducing power consumption, and improving processing speeds by orders of magnitude. This has allowed the technology to shrink from a massive, slow-moving research project to practical, efficient vehicles.

What breakthroughs are keeping Moore's Law alive?

Breakthroughs such as advanced packaging, new materials (like high-K metal gate and strained silicon), and architectural innovations (like FinFET and gate-all-around transistors) are keeping Moore's Law alive. These advancements allow for more transistors, faster speeds, and lower power consumption.

What role does Intel play in maintaining Moore's Law?

Intel is a key steward of Moore's Law, with a unique integrated research-to-manufacturing pipeline. This allows them to innovate across materials, architecture, and packaging, ensuring that advancements reach consumers efficiently within a decade.

How does advanced packaging contribute to Moore's Law?

Advanced packaging, such as 3D chiplet integration, allows for more transistors in a package by combining multiple chips efficiently. This approach helps maintain Moore's Law by delivering increased functionality, lower power consumption, and higher speeds without relying solely on transistors on a single chip.

What is Selective Layer Transfer (SLT) and how does it impact chip assembly?

Selective Layer Transfer (SLT) is a breakthrough in packaging technology that combines the benefits of wafer-to-wafer and chip-to-wafer bonding. It allows for precise integration of chips, enabling more efficient and flexible chip assembly, which is critical for high-performance applications like AI.

What are the key benefits of Intel's approach to advanced packaging compared to competitors?

Intel's approach to advanced packaging is unique due to its holistic research-to-manufacturing pipeline, allowing seamless transfer of ideas from research to development and production. This integration ensures that innovations are quickly and efficiently brought to market.

What is RibbonFET and why is it critical for Moore's Law?

RibbonFET is a gate-all-around transistor design that optimizes the channel for better control of current flow. It represents the ultimate evolution of transistor design, enabling smaller, faster, and lower-power transistors, which are essential for maintaining Moore's Law.

How does ruthenium and air gap technology improve interconnect performance?

Ruthenium is a material that outperforms copper in smaller interconnects, offering better conductivity. Air gaps reduce capacitive crosstalk between wires, improving signal transmission speed. Together, they represent the next evolution in chip wiring technology.

What is the future of ultra-low power consumption in semiconductors?

The future lies in developing ultra-low power switches based on new physics, which would require a complete rethinking of chip design and software. This innovation is crucial to address the growing demand for computation power while reducing energy consumption.

How does regional diversification support global semiconductor resilience?

Regional diversification ensures a geopolitically secure supply chain by spreading manufacturing across multiple regions. This reduces reliance on any single geographic area, enhancing global resilience and addressing geopolitical risks.

Shownotes Transcript

In this episode, we dive into the future of computing with Sanjay Natarajan), SVP and GM of Intel Foundry) Technology Research. From keeping Moore’s Law alive to breakthroughs in advanced packaging, AI, and materials, discover how Intel is shaping the next era of innovation in semiconductors and global technology leadership.Also, check out our latest merch at Interesting Engineering Shop).