cover of episode Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

2024/11/1
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David Yaffe-Bellany
David Yaffe-Bellany 是《纽约时报》的技术记者，专注于加密货币行业，曾报道了Sam Bankman-Fried和FTX的倒闭，并获得了FTX爆炸后与Bankman-Fried的首次采访。
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Kevin Roose
知名科技记者和作者，专注于技术、商业和社会交叉领域的报道。
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Miles Brundage
Topics
Kevin Roose 分析了杰夫·贝佐斯阻止《华盛顿邮报》背书卡马拉·哈里斯的事件，认为这可能出于多种考虑：维护公众对媒体的信任、规避政治风险以及应对政府对科技巨头的监管压力。他认为贝佐斯的决定时机不佳，且与他公开声明的理由存在矛盾。他还探讨了亿万富翁在当前政治环境下的复杂考量，以及公众对媒体信任度下降的影响。他认为贝佐斯的行为反映了亿万富翁在当前政治环境下的复杂考量，而公众对媒体信任度的下降是其中一个重要因素。他分析了贝佐斯可能出于多种动机：正常的企业风险规避、对特朗普潜在报复的担忧以及对拜登政府反垄断立场的考量。他指出，科技巨头在即将到来的选举结果的不确定性中，其在内容审核和信息传播方面的决策将对社会稳定产生重大影响。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Discussion on the role of tech billionaires, particularly Jeff Bezos, in the political landscape, including the Washington Post's decision to stop endorsing presidential candidates and the potential impact of billionaires on election outcomes.
  • Jeff Bezos canceled the Washington Post's presidential endorsement.
  • The decision led to significant subscriber cancellations.
  • Billionaires may hedge bets to maintain influence post-election.
  • Media trust issues and the role of opinion sections are discussed.
  • Concerns about tech billionaires' influence on election content moderation.

Shownotes Transcript

Last week, Jeff Bezos canceled the Washington Post editorial board’s plan to endorse Kamala Harris. Are tech billionaires hedging their bets in case Donald Trump wins? Then, Miles Brundage, a former OpenAI senior adviser on artificial general intelligence readiness, stops by to tell us how his old company is doing when it comes to being ready for superintelligence, and whether we should all keep saving for retirement. And finally, David Yaffe-Bellany, a Times technology reporter, joins us to explore the rise of Polymarket, a crypto-powered betting platform, and discuss whether prediction markets can tell us who is going to win the election.

 

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